Language:English
Talleres v Union Santa Fe
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Talleres (Local)
Prediction 43.84%2.28fair odd
EV -2.24%
Edge -1.00%
Kelly -1.82%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.80%43.76%43.82%44.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.122.142.2350.76%47.06%46.73%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Union Santa Fe (Visit)
Prediction 24.73%4.04fair odd
EV -0.845%
Edge -0.211%
Kelly -0.281%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.01
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.87%24.83%24.78%26.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.693.704.0130.30%27.13%27.03%24.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.43%3.18fair odd
EV -3.19%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -1.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.20%31.41%31.40%32.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.932.953.0836.36%34.08%33.90%32.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Talleres (Local): 43.84%; Union Santa Fe (Visit): 24.73%; Draw: 31.43%. For Union Santa Fe (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.04. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.01, with an expected value of -0.845%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.17%EV -2.24%E -1.00%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -12.22%E -3.44%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.17%EV -2.24%E -1.00%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -12.22%E -3.44%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 22:56 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.74%EV -2.67%E -1.20%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.69%EV -3.11%E -1.41%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.44%EV -2.33%E -0.590%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.87%EV -4.76%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-12 22:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.69%EV -3.11%E -1.41%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.44%EV -2.33%E -0.590%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.87%EV -4.76%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-12 22:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.69%EV -3.11%E -1.41%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.44%EV -2.33%E -0.590%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.87%EV -4.76%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-12 22:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -13.46%E -3.84%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.42%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 24.15%EV -0.845%E -0.211%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.44%EV -3.19%E -1.03%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-12 22:56 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.20%EV -4.87%E -2.24%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.04%EV -1.34%E -0.336%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.76%EV -5.07%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -3.57%E -0.914%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.96%EV -7.27%E -2.47%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.85%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.87%EV -2.33%E -0.590%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.29%EV -8.22%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 22:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -7.27%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-12 22:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.27%E -2.47%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.96%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.27%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.41%EV -10.42%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-12 22:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.60%EV -6.18%E -2.89%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.84%EV -7.90%E -2.70%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 22:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.85%EV -6.18%E -2.89%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -17.17%E -5.12%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -10.42%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-12 22:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.85%EV -6.18%E -2.89%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -17.17%E -5.12%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -10.42%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-12 22:56 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.30%EV -7.06%E -3.33%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -4.80%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -4.80%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.54%EV -7.27%E -2.47%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-12 22:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.27%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.27%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.46%E -3.84%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-12 22:36 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.46%E -3.84%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-12 22:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.98%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-12 22:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -11.99%E -4.28%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -11.99%E -4.28%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -15.93%E -4.68%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-12 22:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -10.98%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -13.56%E -4.93%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -18.40%E -5.58%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -11.99%E -4.28%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.41%EV -12.22%E -3.44%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.58%EV -7.27%E -2.47%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.79%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.93%EV -10.98%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.28%EV -9.79%E -3.41%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.62%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -12.22%E -3.44%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.25%EV -7.27%E -2.47%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.91%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -10.98%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.70%EV -12.93%E -4.67%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.40%EV -13.20%E -6.66%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.76%EV -12.22%E -3.44%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.84%EV -10.42%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.58%EV -13.63%E -6.92%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -10.98%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 31.03%EV -11.05%E -3.90%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.85% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.97% | 0.9% | 2026-09-12 22:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.85% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.97% | 0.9% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.07% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85% | 1.3% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.07% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85% | 1.3% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.16% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40% | 2.1% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |