默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Talleres v Union Santa Fe

开赛时间: 2026-09-12 23:00 UTC

最终结果: Talleres 2–1 Union Santa Fe

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

38 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Talleres (主队)

预测 43.84%2.28公平赔率
EV -2.24%
优势 -1.00%
Kelly -1.82%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.23

博彩公司预测分布
41.80%43.76%43.82%44.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.972.122.142.2350.76%47.06%46.73%44.84%最小值均值中位数最大值

Union Santa Fe (客队)

预测 24.73%4.04公平赔率
EV -0.845%
优势 -0.211%
Kelly -0.281%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.01

博彩公司预测分布
23.87%24.83%24.78%26.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.693.704.0130.30%27.13%27.03%24.94%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 31.43%3.18公平赔率
EV -3.19%
优势 -1.03%
Kelly -1.53%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.08

博彩公司预测分布
30.20%31.41%31.40%32.54%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.752.932.953.0836.36%34.08%33.90%32.47%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Talleres (主队):43.84%;Union Santa Fe (客队):24.73%;平局:31.43%。 对于“Union Santa Fe (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.04。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为4.01,期望值为-0.845%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (38 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.17%EV -2.24%E -1.00%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -12.22%E -3.44%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 22:55
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.17%EV -2.24%E -1.00%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -12.22%E -3.44%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 22:56
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.74%EV -2.67%E -1.20%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 22:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.69%EV -3.11%E -1.41%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.44%EV -2.33%E -0.590%K -0.790%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.87%EV -4.76%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-12 22:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.69%EV -3.11%E -1.41%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.44%EV -2.33%E -0.590%K -0.790%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.87%EV -4.76%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-12 22:30
BetAnything🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.69%EV -3.11%E -1.41%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.44%EV -2.33%E -0.590%K -0.790%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.87%EV -4.76%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-12 22:30
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -13.46%E -3.84%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-12 22:45
Pinnacle🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.42%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 24.15%EV -0.845%E -0.211%K -0.281%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.44%EV -3.19%E -1.03%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-12 22:56
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.20%EV -4.87%E -2.24%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.04%EV -1.34%E -0.336%K -0.448%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.76%EV -5.07%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 22:55
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -3.57%E -0.914%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.96%EV -7.27%E -2.47%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 22:50
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.85%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.87%EV -2.33%E -0.590%K -0.790%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.29%EV -8.22%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 22:55
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 22:45
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 22:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -7.27%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 22:55
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 22:44
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.27%E -2.47%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 22:55
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.96%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.27%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.41%EV -10.42%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 22:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.60%EV -6.18%E -2.89%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.84%EV -7.90%E -2.70%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 22:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.85%EV -6.18%E -2.89%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -17.17%E -5.12%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -10.42%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-12 22:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.85%EV -6.18%E -2.89%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -17.17%E -5.12%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -10.42%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-12 22:56
Codere (IT)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.30%EV -7.06%E -3.33%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -4.80%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 22:50
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -4.80%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.54%EV -7.27%E -2.47%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-12 22:49
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.27%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 22:50
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.27%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 22:45
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.46%E -3.84%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-12 22:36
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.46%E -3.84%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-12 22:35
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.98%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-12 22:35
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -11.99%E -4.28%K -6.66%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-12 22:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -11.99%E -4.28%K -6.66%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-12 22:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -15.93%E -4.68%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-12 22:35
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -10.98%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -13.56%E -4.93%K -7.75%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-12 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -18.40%E -5.58%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -11.99%E -4.28%K -6.66%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-12 22:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.41%EV -12.22%E -3.44%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.58%EV -7.27%E -2.47%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-12 22:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.79%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.93%EV -10.98%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.28%EV -9.79%E -3.41%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-12 22:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.62%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -12.22%E -3.44%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.25%EV -7.27%E -2.47%K -3.73%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-12 22:45
NetBet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.91%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -10.98%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.70%EV -12.93%E -4.67%K -7.31%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-12 22:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.40%EV -13.20%E -6.66%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.76%EV -12.22%E -3.44%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.84%EV -10.42%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-12 22:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.58%EV -13.63%E -6.92%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -10.98%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 31.03%EV -11.05%E -3.90%K -6.04%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-12 22:45
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.85%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.97%0.9%2026-09-12 22:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.85%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.97%0.9%2026-09-12 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85%1.3%2026-09-12 22:55
Smarkets◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85%1.3%2026-09-12 22:55
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.16%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40%2.1%2026-09-12 22:45