Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.23
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.01
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.08
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Talleres (Casa): 43.84%; Union Santa Fe (Trasferta): 24.73%; Pareggio: 31.43%. Per Union Santa Fe (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.04. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 4.01, con un valore atteso del -0.845%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.17%EV -2.24%E -1.00%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -12.22%E -3.44%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.17%EV -2.24%E -1.00%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -12.22%E -3.44%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 22:56 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.74%EV -2.67%E -1.20%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.69%EV -3.11%E -1.41%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.44%EV -2.33%E -0.590%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.87%EV -4.76%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-12 22:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.69%EV -3.11%E -1.41%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.44%EV -2.33%E -0.590%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.87%EV -4.76%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-12 22:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.69%EV -3.11%E -1.41%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.44%EV -2.33%E -0.590%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.87%EV -4.76%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-12 22:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -13.46%E -3.84%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.42%EV -4.43%E -2.03%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 24.15%EV -0.845%E -0.211%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.44%EV -3.19%E -1.03%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-12 22:56 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.20%EV -4.87%E -2.24%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.04%EV -1.34%E -0.336%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.76%EV -5.07%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -3.57%E -0.914%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.96%EV -7.27%E -2.47%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.85%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.87%EV -2.33%E -0.590%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.29%EV -8.22%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 22:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -7.27%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-12 22:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.27%E -2.47%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.96%EV -5.74%E -2.67%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.27%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.41%EV -10.42%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-12 22:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.60%EV -6.18%E -2.89%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.84%EV -7.90%E -2.70%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 22:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.85%EV -6.18%E -2.89%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -17.17%E -5.12%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -10.42%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-12 22:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.85%EV -6.18%E -2.89%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -17.17%E -5.12%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -10.42%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-12 22:56 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.30%EV -7.06%E -3.33%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -4.80%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -4.80%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.54%EV -7.27%E -2.47%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-12 22:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.27%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.27%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.46%E -3.84%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-12 22:36 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.46%E -3.84%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-12 22:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.98%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-12 22:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -11.99%E -4.28%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -11.99%E -4.28%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -15.93%E -4.68%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-12 22:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -10.98%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -13.56%E -4.93%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -18.40%E -5.58%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -11.99%E -4.28%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.41%EV -12.22%E -3.44%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.58%EV -7.27%E -2.47%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.79%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.93%EV -10.98%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.28%EV -9.79%E -3.41%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.62%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -12.22%E -3.44%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.25%EV -7.27%E -2.47%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.91%EV -12.32%E -6.16%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -10.98%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.70%EV -12.93%E -4.67%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.40%EV -13.20%E -6.66%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.76%EV -12.22%E -3.44%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.84%EV -10.42%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.58%EV -13.63%E -6.92%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -10.98%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 31.03%EV -11.05%E -3.90%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.85% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.97% | 0.9% | 2026-09-12 22:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.85% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.97% | 0.9% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.07% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85% | 1.3% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.07% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85% | 1.3% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.16% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40% | 2.1% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |