Language:English
Talleres v San Lorenzo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Talleres (Local)
Prediction 43.45%2.30fair odd
EV -3.99%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -3.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.69%43.42%43.43%44.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.132.152.2152.63%47.03%46.51%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
San Lorenzo (Visit)
Prediction 22.71%4.40fair odd
EV -0.077%
Edge -0.018%
Kelly -0.023%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.38%22.74%22.74%24.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.044.004.4027.78%24.73%25.00%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 33.84%2.95fair odd
EV -0.157%
Edge -0.053%
Kelly -0.081%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.57%33.84%33.83%34.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.732.752.9541.67%36.64%36.36%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Talleres (Local): 43.45%; San Lorenzo (Visit): 22.71%; Draw: 33.84%. For San Lorenzo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.403. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.400, with an expected value of -0.077%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.75%EV -3.99%E -1.80%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 22.08%EV -0.532%E -0.121%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.17%EV -4.22%E -1.49%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-01 00:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -6.89%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 01:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -9.16%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-01 00:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -9.16%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-01 00:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -9.16%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 11:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -9.16%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.69%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -10.30%E -2.61%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-01 00:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.70%EV -5.29%E -2.43%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%EV -0.077%E -0.018%K -0.023%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 00:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.70%EV -5.29%E -2.43%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%EV -0.077%E -0.018%K -0.023%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 00:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.76%EV -5.72%E -2.64%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.30%E -2.61%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.74%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-01 00:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.82%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -2.35%E -0.546%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.26%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-01 01:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.76%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -0.077%E -0.018%K -0.023%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 01:08 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.76%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.62%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.84%EV -5.91%E -2.13%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 00:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.76%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.62%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.84%EV -5.91%E -2.13%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 00:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.43%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -4.62%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.33%EV -7.94%E -2.92%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 00:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -9.16%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 11:11 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -9.16%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-01 00:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -9.16%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-01 01:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.36%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.89%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.90%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-01 01:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -9.16%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-01 01:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -9.16%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-01 00:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.16%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 20:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.91%EV -7.03%E -3.28%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.51%EV -3.03%E -0.710%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.58%EV -0.157%E -0.053%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-01 01:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.81%EV -7.90%E -3.72%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -12.57%E -3.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.61%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-01 00:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.81%EV -7.90%E -3.72%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -12.57%E -3.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.61%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-01 00:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.19%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.43%EV -1.67%E -0.385%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-01 00:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.18%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -4.62%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 04:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.70%E -3.61%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 11:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.17%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -11.43%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-28 20:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.04%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -4.62%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.46%EV -11.33%E -4.32%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-01 00:53 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.47%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 23.27%EV -13.02%E -3.40%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 33.26%EV -9.30%E -3.47%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-01 00:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.46%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.27%EV -9.16%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -12.00%E -4.62%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-01 00:54 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.23%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -13.70%E -3.61%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.44%EV -10.31%E -3.89%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-01 00:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.94%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -18.25%E -5.07%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.60%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-02-28 11:11 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -13.11%E -6.55%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.07%EV -14.84%E -3.96%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 33.67%EV -13.02%E -5.07%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-03-01 01:08 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -13.11%E -6.55%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.86%EV -14.84%E -3.96%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.29%EV -15.39%E -6.16%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-02-28 22:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 43.88%EV -17.45%E -9.19%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.38%EV -11.43%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.74%EV -18.77%E -7.82%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-03-01 01:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.03% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.79% | 0.5% | 2026-03-01 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.03% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.79% | 0.5% | 2026-03-01 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.03% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.79% | 0.5% | 2026-03-01 01:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.03% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.79% | 0.5% | 2026-03-01 01:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.94% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.40% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.66% | 1.6% | 2026-03-01 01:00 |