La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Talleres v San Lorenzo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Talleres (Local)
Predicción 43.45%2.30momio equitativo
EV -3.99%
Ventaja -1.80%
Kelly -3.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.21
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.69%43.42%43.43%44.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.902.132.152.2152.63%47.03%46.51%45.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
San Lorenzo (Visitante)
Predicción 22.71%4.40momio equitativo
EV -0.077%
Ventaja -0.018%
Kelly -0.023%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.38%22.74%22.74%24.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.044.004.4027.78%24.73%25.00%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 33.84%2.95momio equitativo
EV -0.157%
Ventaja -0.053%
Kelly -0.081%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.57%33.84%33.83%34.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.732.752.9541.67%36.64%36.36%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.75%EV -3.99%E -1.80%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 22.08%EV -0.532%E -0.121%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.17%EV -4.22%E -1.49%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-01 00:54 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -6.89%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 01:00 |
| Unibet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -9.16%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-01 00:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -9.16%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-01 00:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -9.16%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 11:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -9.16%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| BetRivers | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.69%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -10.30%E -2.61%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-01 00:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.70%EV -5.29%E -2.43%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%EV -0.077%E -0.018%K -0.023%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 00:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.70%EV -5.29%E -2.43%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%EV -0.077%E -0.018%K -0.023%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-01 00:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.76%EV -5.72%E -2.64%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.30%E -2.61%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.74%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-01 00:55 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.82%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -2.35%E -0.546%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.26%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-01 01:09 |
| FanDuel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.76%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -0.077%E -0.018%K -0.023%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 01:08 |
| NordicBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.76%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.62%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.84%EV -5.91%E -2.13%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 00:54 |
| Betsson | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.76%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.62%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.84%EV -5.91%E -2.13%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 00:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.43%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -4.62%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.33%EV -7.94%E -2.92%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 00:54 |
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -9.16%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 11:11 |
| Everygame | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -9.16%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-01 00:59 |
| BetAnything | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -9.16%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-01 01:09 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.36%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.89%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.90%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-01 01:09 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -9.16%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-01 01:09 |
| Bovada | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -9.16%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-01 00:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.16%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 20:19 |
| 1xBet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.91%EV -7.03%E -3.28%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.51%EV -3.03%E -0.710%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.58%EV -0.157%E -0.053%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-01 01:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.81%EV -7.90%E -3.72%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -12.57%E -3.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.61%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-01 00:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.81%EV -7.90%E -3.72%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -12.57%E -3.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.61%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-01 00:54 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.19%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.43%EV -1.67%E -0.385%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-01 00:54 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.18%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -4.62%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 04:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.70%E -3.61%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 11:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.17%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -11.43%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-28 20:19 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.04%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -4.62%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.46%EV -11.33%E -4.32%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-01 00:53 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.47%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 23.27%EV -13.02%E -3.40%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 33.26%EV -9.30%E -3.47%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-01 00:54 |
| Sky Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.46%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.27%EV -9.16%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -12.00%E -4.62%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-01 00:54 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.23%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -13.70%E -3.61%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.44%EV -10.31%E -3.89%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-01 00:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.94%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -18.25%E -5.07%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.60%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-02-28 11:11 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -13.11%E -6.55%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.07%EV -14.84%E -3.96%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 33.67%EV -13.02%E -5.07%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-03-01 01:08 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -13.11%E -6.55%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.86%EV -14.84%E -3.96%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.29%EV -15.39%E -6.16%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-02-28 22:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 43.88%EV -17.45%E -9.19%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.38%EV -11.43%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.74%EV -18.77%E -7.82%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-03-01 01:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.03% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.79% | 0.5% | 2026-03-01 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.03% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.79% | 0.5% | 2026-03-01 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.03% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.79% | 0.5% | 2026-03-01 01:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.03% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.79% | 0.5% | 2026-03-01 01:09 |
| Smarkets | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.94% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.40% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.66% | 1.6% | 2026-03-01 01:00 |