A Escola das Odds

Talleres v San Lorenzo

Início: 2026-03-01 01:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

37 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Talleres (Local)

Previsão 43.45%2.30odd justa
EV -3.99%
Vantagem -1.80%
Kelly -3.29%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.21

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.69%43.42%43.43%44.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.902.132.152.2152.63%47.03%46.51%45.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

San Lorenzo (Visitante)

Previsão 22.71%4.40odd justa
EV -0.077%
Vantagem -0.018%
Kelly -0.023%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.38%22.74%22.74%24.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.604.044.004.4027.78%24.73%25.00%22.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 33.84%2.95odd justa
EV -0.157%
Vantagem -0.053%
Kelly -0.081%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.57%33.84%33.83%34.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.402.732.752.9541.67%36.64%36.36%33.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (37 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 43.75%EV -3.99%E -1.80%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 22.08%EV -0.532%E -0.121%K -0.157%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.17%EV -4.22%E -1.49%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-01 00:54
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -6.89%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 01:00
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -9.16%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 00:54
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -9.16%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 00:54
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -9.16%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 11:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -9.16%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 16:15
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 42.69%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -10.30%E -2.61%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 00:44
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.70%EV -5.29%E -2.43%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%EV -0.077%E -0.018%K -0.023%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 00:54
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.70%EV -5.29%E -2.43%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%EV -0.077%E -0.018%K -0.023%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 00:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.76%EV -5.72%E -2.64%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.30%E -2.61%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.74%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 00:55
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.82%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -2.35%E -0.546%K -0.712%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.26%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 01:09
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.76%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -0.077%E -0.018%K -0.023%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 01:08
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.76%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.62%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.84%EV -5.91%E -2.13%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 00:54
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.76%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.62%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.84%EV -5.91%E -2.13%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 00:54
Marathon Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.43%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -4.62%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.33%EV -7.94%E -2.92%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 00:54
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -9.16%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 11:11
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -9.16%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 00:59
BetAnything2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -9.16%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 01:09
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.36%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.89%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.90%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 01:09
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -9.16%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 01:09
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -9.16%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 00:59
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.16%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 20:19
1xBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.91%EV -7.03%E -3.28%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.51%EV -3.03%E -0.710%K -0.927%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.58%EV -0.157%E -0.053%K -0.081%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-01 01:09
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.81%EV -7.90%E -3.72%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -12.57%E -3.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.61%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-01 00:55
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.81%EV -7.90%E -3.72%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -12.57%E -3.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.61%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-01 00:54
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.19%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.43%EV -1.67%E -0.385%K -0.501%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 00:54
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 44.18%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -4.62%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 04:49
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.70%E -3.61%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 11:09
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.17%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -11.43%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-28 20:19
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 44.04%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -4.62%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.46%EV -11.33%E -4.32%K -6.99%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-01 00:53
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.47%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.27%EV -13.02%E -3.40%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 33.26%EV -9.30%E -3.47%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-01 00:54
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.46%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.27%EV -9.16%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -12.00%E -4.62%K -7.50%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-01 00:54
Parions Sport (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.23%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -13.70%E -3.61%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.44%EV -10.31%E -3.89%K -6.25%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-01 00:54
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.94%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -18.25%E -5.07%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.60%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-28 11:11
NetBet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -13.11%E -6.55%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.07%EV -14.84%E -3.96%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 33.67%EV -13.02%E -5.07%K -8.29%G +0.000%15.6%2026-03-01 01:08
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -13.11%E -6.55%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.86%EV -14.84%E -3.96%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.29%EV -15.39%E -6.16%K -10.26%G +0.000%16.7%2026-02-28 22:50
PMU (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 43.88%EV -17.45%E -9.19%K -19.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.38%EV -11.43%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.74%EV -18.77%E -7.82%K -13.41%G +0.000%19.9%2026-03-01 01:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.03%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.79%0.5%2026-03-01 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.03%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.79%0.5%2026-03-01 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.03%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.79%0.5%2026-03-01 01:00
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 44.03%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.79%0.5%2026-03-01 01:09
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.94%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.40%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.66%1.6%2026-03-01 01:00