L’École des cotes

Talleres v San Lorenzo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-01 01:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Talleres (Local)

Prévision 43.45%2.30cote équitable
EV -3.99%
Avantage -1.80%
Kelly -3.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.69%43.42%43.43%44.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.902.132.152.2152.63%47.03%46.51%45.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

San Lorenzo (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.71%4.40cote équitable
EV -0.077%
Avantage -0.018%
Kelly -0.023%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.38%22.74%22.74%24.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.044.004.4027.78%24.73%25.00%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 33.84%2.95cote équitable
EV -0.157%
Avantage -0.053%
Kelly -0.081%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.57%33.84%33.83%34.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.732.752.9541.67%36.64%36.36%33.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 43.75%EV -3.99%E -1.80%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 22.08%EV -0.532%E -0.121%K -0.157%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.17%EV -4.22%E -1.49%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-01 00:54
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -6.89%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 01:00
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -9.16%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 00:54
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -9.16%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 00:54
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -9.16%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 11:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -9.16%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 16:15
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 42.69%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -10.30%E -2.61%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 00:44
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.70%EV -5.29%E -2.43%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%EV -0.077%E -0.018%K -0.023%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 00:54
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.70%EV -5.29%E -2.43%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%EV -0.077%E -0.018%K -0.023%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 00:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.76%EV -5.72%E -2.64%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.30%E -2.61%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.74%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 00:55
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.82%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -2.35%E -0.546%K -0.712%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.26%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 01:09
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.76%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -0.077%E -0.018%K -0.023%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 01:08
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.76%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.62%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.84%EV -5.91%E -2.13%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 00:54
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.76%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.62%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.84%EV -5.91%E -2.13%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 00:54
Marathon Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.43%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -4.62%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.33%EV -7.94%E -2.92%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 00:54
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -9.16%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 11:11
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -9.16%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 00:59
BetAnything2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -9.16%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 01:09
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.36%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.89%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.90%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 01:09
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -9.16%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 01:09
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -9.16%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 00:59
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -6.59%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.16%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 20:19
1xBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.91%EV -7.03%E -3.28%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.51%EV -3.03%E -0.710%K -0.927%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.58%EV -0.157%E -0.053%K -0.081%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-01 01:09
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.81%EV -7.90%E -3.72%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -12.57%E -3.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.61%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-01 00:55
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.81%EV -7.90%E -3.72%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -12.57%E -3.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.61%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-01 00:54
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.19%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.43%EV -1.67%E -0.385%K -0.501%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 00:54
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 44.18%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -4.62%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 04:49
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.70%E -3.61%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -5.23%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 11:09
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.17%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -11.43%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-28 20:19
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 44.04%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -4.62%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.46%EV -11.33%E -4.32%K -6.99%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-01 00:53
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.47%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.27%EV -13.02%E -3.40%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 33.26%EV -9.30%E -3.47%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-01 00:54
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.46%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.27%EV -9.16%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -12.00%E -4.62%K -7.50%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-01 00:54
Parions Sport (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.23%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -13.70%E -3.61%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.44%EV -10.31%E -3.89%K -6.25%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-01 00:54
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.94%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -18.25%E -5.07%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.60%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-28 11:11
NetBet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -13.11%E -6.55%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.07%EV -14.84%E -3.96%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 33.67%EV -13.02%E -5.07%K -8.29%G +0.000%15.6%2026-03-01 01:08
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -13.11%E -6.55%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.86%EV -14.84%E -3.96%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.29%EV -15.39%E -6.16%K -10.26%G +0.000%16.7%2026-02-28 22:50
PMU (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 43.88%EV -17.45%E -9.19%K -19.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.38%EV -11.43%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.74%EV -18.77%E -7.82%K -13.41%G +0.000%19.9%2026-03-01 01:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.03%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.79%0.5%2026-03-01 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.03%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.79%0.5%2026-03-01 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.03%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.79%0.5%2026-03-01 01:00
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 44.03%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.79%0.5%2026-03-01 01:09
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.94%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.40%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.66%1.6%2026-03-01 01:00