Language:English
Talleres v Lanus
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Talleres (Local)
Prediction 39.81%2.51fair odd
EV -1.28%
Edge -0.516%
Kelly -0.864%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.49%39.81%39.89%41.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.332.352.4846.51%42.90%42.55%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Lanus (Visit)
Prediction 26.88%3.72fair odd
EV +3.24%
Edge +0.843%
Kelly +1.14%
Growth +0.037%
assuming max odds 3.84
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.00%26.90%26.90%28.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.423.403.8431.75%29.28%29.41%26.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 33.31%3.00fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.81%33.29%33.22%34.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.772.802.9139.22%36.10%35.71%34.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Talleres (Local): 39.81%; Lanus (Visit): 26.88%; Draw: 33.31%. For Lanus (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.72. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.84, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.24%.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.20%EV -7.25%E -3.11%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.00%EV +3.24%E +0.843%K +1.14%G +0.037% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -5.40%E -1.90%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 23:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.03%EV -3.67%E -1.52%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.63%EV +1.62%E +0.429%K +0.584%G +0.009% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.35%EV -6.07%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-11 23:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.29%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.49%EV -1.87%E -0.513%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.23%EV -3.07%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-11 23:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.29%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.49%EV -1.87%E -0.513%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.23%EV -3.07%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-11 23:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.29%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.49%EV -1.87%E -0.513%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.23%EV -3.07%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-11 23:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.22%E -0.893%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-11 23:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.22%E -0.893%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.40%E -3.06%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-11 23:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.51%EV -6.06%E -2.57%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.34%EV -4.83%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.15%EV -9.07%E -3.32%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-11 23:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.45%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.07%E -1.78%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-11 23:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -5.07%E -1.78%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-11 23:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-11 23:43 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.07%EV -3.67%E -1.52%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.53%EV -6.07%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 23:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.07%EV -3.67%E -1.52%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.53%EV -6.07%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 23:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -5.26%E -2.21%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -5.07%E -1.78%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 23:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.45%EV -5.26%E -2.21%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.07%E -1.78%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -1.28%E -0.516%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -10.07%E -3.73%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-11 23:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -1.28%E -0.516%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -10.07%E -3.73%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-11 23:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.45%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -5.07%E -1.78%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-11 23:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -6.45%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.45%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.40%E -3.06%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-11 23:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -10.43%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -4.07%E -1.41%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-11 23:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -12.42%E -5.65%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.07%E -3.73%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-11 23:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -12.42%E -5.65%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.07%E -3.73%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-11 23:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.50%EV -14.42%E -6.70%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -9.94%E -2.97%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-11 23:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -10.43%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.58%EV -9.94%E -2.97%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.85%EV -12.40%E -4.71%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-11 23:42 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.95%EV -12.42%E -5.65%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -9.94%E -2.97%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -13.40%E -5.15%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-11 23:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%EV -6.45%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -4.07%E -1.41%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-11 23:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.69%EV -3.27%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -11.73%E -4.43%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-11 23:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -12.42%E -5.65%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -10.07%E -3.73%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-11 23:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.26%E -2.21%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -12.63%E -3.88%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-11 23:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -6.45%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -12.63%E -3.88%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-11 23:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -10.43%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -12.63%E -3.88%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -5.07%E -1.78%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -12.63%E -3.88%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -8.40%E -3.06%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-11 23:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -10.43%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.97%E -4.37%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.49%EV -6.45%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -15.31%E -4.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -15.06%E -5.91%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-11 23:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.49%EV -6.45%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -15.31%E -4.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -15.06%E -5.91%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-11 23:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.79%EV -7.65%E -3.30%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.83%EV -15.31%E -4.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.38%EV -15.06%E -5.91%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-11 23:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.77% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.39% | 0.5% | 2026-08-11 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.77% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.39% | 0.5% | 2026-08-11 23:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.57% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-08-11 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.16% | 1.2% | 2026-08-11 23:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.44% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.67% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.3% | 2026-08-11 23:55 |