Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Talleres v Lanus

Inizio: 2026-08-12 00:00 UTC

Finale: Talleres 0–3 Lanus

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

37 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Talleres (Casa)

Previsione 39.81%2.51quota equa
EV -1.28%
Vantaggio -0.516%
Kelly -0.864%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.48

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.49%39.81%39.89%41.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.332.352.4846.51%42.90%42.55%40.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Lanus (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.88%3.72quota equa
EV +3.24%
Vantaggio +0.843%
Kelly +1.14%
Crescita +0.037%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.84

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.00%26.90%26.90%28.36%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.153.423.403.8431.75%29.28%29.41%26.04%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 33.31%3.00quota equa
EV -3.07%
Vantaggio -1.06%
Kelly -1.61%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.91

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.81%33.29%33.22%34.69%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.552.772.802.9139.22%36.10%35.71%34.36%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Talleres (Casa): 39.81%; Lanus (Trasferta): 26.88%; Pareggio: 33.31%. Per Lanus (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.72. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.84, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.24%.

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.20%EV -7.25%E -3.11%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.00%EV +3.24%E +0.843%K +1.14%G +0.037%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -5.40%E -1.90%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-11 23:54
Pinnacle🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.03%EV -3.67%E -1.52%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.63%EV +1.62%E +0.429%K +0.584%G +0.009%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.35%EV -6.07%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-11 23:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.29%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.49%EV -1.87%E -0.513%K -0.706%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.23%EV -3.07%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-11 23:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.29%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.49%EV -1.87%E -0.513%K -0.706%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.23%EV -3.07%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-11 23:25
BetAnything🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.29%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.49%EV -1.87%E -0.513%K -0.706%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.23%EV -3.07%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-11 23:24
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.22%E -0.893%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 23:45
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.22%E -0.893%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.40%E -3.06%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 23:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.51%EV -6.06%E -2.57%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.34%EV -4.83%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.15%EV -9.07%E -3.32%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 23:54
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.45%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.07%E -1.78%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 23:44
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -5.07%E -1.78%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-11 23:55
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-11 23:43
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.07%EV -3.67%E -1.52%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.53%EV -6.07%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 23:49
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.07%EV -3.67%E -1.52%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.53%EV -6.07%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 23:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -5.26%E -2.21%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -5.07%E -1.78%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-11 23:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.45%EV -5.26%E -2.21%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.07%E -1.78%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-11 23:39
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -1.28%E -0.516%K -0.864%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -10.07%E -3.73%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-11 23:24
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -1.28%E -0.516%K -0.864%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -10.07%E -3.73%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-11 23:25
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.45%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -5.07%E -1.78%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-11 23:44
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -6.45%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-11 23:39
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.45%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.40%E -3.06%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-11 23:54
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -10.43%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -4.07%E -1.41%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-11 23:54
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -12.42%E -5.65%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.07%E -3.73%K -5.92%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-11 23:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -12.42%E -5.65%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.07%E -3.73%K -5.92%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-11 23:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.50%EV -14.42%E -6.70%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -9.94%E -2.97%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-11 23:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -10.43%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.58%EV -9.94%E -2.97%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.85%EV -12.40%E -4.71%K -7.61%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-11 23:42
NetBet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.95%EV -12.42%E -5.65%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -9.94%E -2.97%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -13.40%E -5.15%K -8.37%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-11 23:55
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%EV -6.45%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -4.07%E -1.41%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 23:54
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.69%EV -3.27%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -11.73%E -4.43%K -7.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-11 23:35
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -12.42%E -5.65%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -10.07%E -3.73%K -5.92%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-11 23:45
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.26%E -2.21%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -12.63%E -3.88%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-11 23:49
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -6.45%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -12.63%E -3.88%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-11 23:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -10.43%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -12.63%E -3.88%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -5.07%E -1.78%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-11 23:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -12.63%E -3.88%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -8.40%E -3.06%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-11 23:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -10.43%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.97%E -4.37%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-11 23:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.49%EV -6.45%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -15.31%E -4.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -15.06%E -5.91%K -9.72%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-11 23:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.49%EV -6.45%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -15.31%E -4.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -15.06%E -5.91%K -9.72%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-11 23:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 37.79%EV -7.65%E -3.30%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.83%EV -15.31%E -4.86%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.38%EV -15.06%E -5.91%K -9.72%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-11 23:24
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.77%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.39%0.5%2026-08-11 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.77%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.39%0.5%2026-08-11 23:55
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-08-11 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.16%1.2%2026-08-11 23:55
Smarkets◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.44%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.67%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.3%2026-08-11 23:55