语言:简体中文
Talleres v Lanus
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Talleres (主队)
预测 39.81%2.51公平赔率
EV -1.28%
优势 -0.516%
Kelly -0.864%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.48
博彩公司预测分布
37.49%39.81%39.89%41.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.152.332.352.4846.51%42.90%42.55%40.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
Lanus (客队)
预测 26.88%3.72公平赔率
EV +3.24%
优势 +0.843%
Kelly +1.14%
增长率 +0.037%
假设最高赔率为 3.84
博彩公司预测分布
25.00%26.90%26.90%28.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.153.423.403.8431.75%29.28%29.41%26.04%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 33.31%3.00公平赔率
EV -3.07%
优势 -1.06%
Kelly -1.61%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.91
博彩公司预测分布
31.81%33.29%33.22%34.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.552.772.802.9139.22%36.10%35.71%34.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Talleres (主队)：39.81%；Lanus (客队)：26.88%；平局：33.31%。 对于“Lanus (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.72。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.84，对应+3.24%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (37 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.20%EV -7.25%E -3.11%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.00%EV +3.24%E +0.843%K +1.14%G +0.037% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -5.40%E -1.90%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 23:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.03%EV -3.67%E -1.52%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.63%EV +1.62%E +0.429%K +0.584%G +0.009% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.35%EV -6.07%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-11 23:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.29%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.49%EV -1.87%E -0.513%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.23%EV -3.07%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-11 23:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.29%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.49%EV -1.87%E -0.513%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.23%EV -3.07%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-11 23:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.29%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.49%EV -1.87%E -0.513%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.23%EV -3.07%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-11 23:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.22%E -0.893%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-11 23:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.22%E -0.893%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.40%E -3.06%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-11 23:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.51%EV -6.06%E -2.57%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.34%EV -4.83%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.15%EV -9.07%E -3.32%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-11 23:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.45%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.07%E -1.78%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-11 23:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -5.07%E -1.78%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-11 23:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-11 23:43 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.07%EV -3.67%E -1.52%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.53%EV -6.07%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 23:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.07%EV -3.67%E -1.52%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.53%EV -6.07%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 23:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -5.26%E -2.21%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -5.07%E -1.78%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 23:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.45%EV -5.26%E -2.21%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.07%E -1.78%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -1.28%E -0.516%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -10.07%E -3.73%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-11 23:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -1.28%E -0.516%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -10.07%E -3.73%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-11 23:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.45%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -5.07%E -1.78%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-11 23:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -6.45%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.45%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.40%E -3.06%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-11 23:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -10.43%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -4.07%E -1.41%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-11 23:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -12.42%E -5.65%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.07%E -3.73%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-11 23:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -12.42%E -5.65%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.07%E -3.73%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-11 23:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.50%EV -14.42%E -6.70%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -9.94%E -2.97%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-11 23:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -10.43%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.58%EV -9.94%E -2.97%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.85%EV -12.40%E -4.71%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-11 23:42 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.95%EV -12.42%E -5.65%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -9.94%E -2.97%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -13.40%E -5.15%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-11 23:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%EV -6.45%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -4.07%E -1.41%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-11 23:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.69%EV -3.27%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -11.73%E -4.43%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-11 23:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -12.42%E -5.65%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -10.07%E -3.73%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-11 23:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.26%E -2.21%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -12.63%E -3.88%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-11 23:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -6.45%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -12.63%E -3.88%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-11 23:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -10.43%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -12.63%E -3.88%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -5.07%E -1.78%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -12.63%E -3.88%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -8.40%E -3.06%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-11 23:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -10.43%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.97%E -4.37%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.49%EV -6.45%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -15.31%E -4.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -15.06%E -5.91%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-11 23:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.49%EV -6.45%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -15.31%E -4.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -15.06%E -5.91%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-11 23:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.79%EV -7.65%E -3.30%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.83%EV -15.31%E -4.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.38%EV -15.06%E -5.91%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-11 23:24 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.77% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.39% | 0.5% | 2026-08-11 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.77% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.39% | 0.5% | 2026-08-11 23:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.57% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-08-11 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.16% | 1.2% | 2026-08-11 23:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.44% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.67% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.3% | 2026-08-11 23:55 |