Idioma:Español
Talleres v Lanus
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Talleres (Local)
Predicción 39.81%2.51momio equitativo
EV -1.28%
Ventaja -0.516%
Kelly -0.864%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.49%39.81%39.89%41.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.152.332.352.4846.51%42.90%42.55%40.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Lanus (Visitante)
Predicción 26.88%3.72momio equitativo
EV +3.24%
Ventaja +0.843%
Kelly +1.14%
Crecimiento +0.037%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.84
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.00%26.90%26.90%28.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.153.423.403.8431.75%29.28%29.41%26.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 33.31%3.00momio equitativo
EV -3.07%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -1.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.91
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.81%33.29%33.22%34.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.552.772.802.9139.22%36.10%35.71%34.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Talleres (Local): 39.81%; Lanus (Visitante): 26.88%; Empate: 33.31%. Para Lanus (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.72. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.84, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.24%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.20%EV -7.25%E -3.11%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.00%EV +3.24%E +0.843%K +1.14%G +0.037% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -5.40%E -1.90%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 23:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.03%EV -3.67%E -1.52%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.63%EV +1.62%E +0.429%K +0.584%G +0.009% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.35%EV -6.07%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-11 23:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.29%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.49%EV -1.87%E -0.513%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.23%EV -3.07%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-11 23:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.29%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.49%EV -1.87%E -0.513%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.23%EV -3.07%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-11 23:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.29%EV -4.46%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.49%EV -1.87%E -0.513%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.23%EV -3.07%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-11 23:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.22%E -0.893%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-11 23:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.22%E -0.893%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.40%E -3.06%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-11 23:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.51%EV -6.06%E -2.57%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.34%EV -4.83%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.15%EV -9.07%E -3.32%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-11 23:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.45%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.07%E -1.78%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-11 23:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -5.07%E -1.78%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-11 23:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.90%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-11 23:43 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.07%EV -3.67%E -1.52%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.53%EV -6.07%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 23:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.07%EV -3.67%E -1.52%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.53%EV -6.07%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 23:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -5.26%E -2.21%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -5.07%E -1.78%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 23:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.45%EV -5.26%E -2.21%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.07%E -1.78%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -1.28%E -0.516%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -10.07%E -3.73%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-11 23:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -1.28%E -0.516%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -10.07%E -3.73%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-11 23:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.45%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -5.07%E -1.78%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-11 23:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -6.45%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.45%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.40%E -3.06%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-11 23:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -10.43%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -4.07%E -1.41%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-11 23:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -12.42%E -5.65%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.07%E -3.73%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-11 23:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -12.42%E -5.65%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -8.59%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.07%E -3.73%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-11 23:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.50%EV -14.42%E -6.70%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -9.94%E -2.97%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-11 23:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -10.43%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.58%EV -9.94%E -2.97%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.85%EV -12.40%E -4.71%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-11 23:42 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.95%EV -12.42%E -5.65%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -9.94%E -2.97%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -13.40%E -5.15%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-11 23:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%EV -6.45%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -4.07%E -1.41%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-11 23:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.69%EV -3.27%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -11.73%E -4.43%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-11 23:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -12.42%E -5.65%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.28%E -3.42%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -10.07%E -3.73%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-11 23:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.26%E -2.21%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -12.63%E -3.88%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-11 23:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -6.45%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -12.63%E -3.88%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-11 23:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -10.43%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -12.63%E -3.88%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -5.07%E -1.78%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -8.44%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -12.63%E -3.88%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -8.40%E -3.06%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-11 23:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -10.43%E -4.64%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.97%E -4.37%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.49%EV -6.45%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -15.31%E -4.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -15.06%E -5.91%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-11 23:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.49%EV -6.45%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -15.31%E -4.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -15.06%E -5.91%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-11 23:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.79%EV -7.65%E -3.30%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.83%EV -15.31%E -4.86%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.38%EV -15.06%E -5.91%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-11 23:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.77% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.39% | 0.5% | 2026-08-11 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.77% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.39% | 0.5% | 2026-08-11 23:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.57% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-08-11 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.16% | 1.2% | 2026-08-11 23:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.44% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.67% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.3% | 2026-08-11 23:55 |