Language:English
Sarmiento de Junin v Argentinos Juniors
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sarmiento de Junin (Local)
Prediction 22.07%4.53fair odd
EV +1.52%
Edge +0.331%
Kelly +0.424%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.87%22.01%22.17%23.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.214.204.6026.67%23.74%23.81%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Argentinos Juniors (Visit)
Prediction 45.58%2.19fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -3.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.27%45.74%45.60%47.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.892.032.052.1252.91%49.28%48.78%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 32.35%3.09fair odd
EV -2.96%
Edge -0.987%
Kelly -1.48%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.13%32.26%32.23%33.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.882.903.0037.04%34.67%34.48%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sarmiento de Junin (Local): 22.07%; Argentinos Juniors (Visit): 45.58%; Draw: 32.35%. For Sarmiento de Junin (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.53. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.52%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.87%EV +1.52%E +0.331%K +0.424%G +0.006% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.64%E -2.73%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.76%EV -5.23%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.93%EV +0.421%E +0.093%K +0.119%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.23%EV -6.10%E -2.96%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 08:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.93%EV +0.421%E +0.093%K +0.119%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.23%EV -6.10%E -2.96%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 08:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.93%EV +0.421%E +0.093%K +0.119%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.23%EV -6.10%E -2.96%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 08:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07%EV -0.682%E -0.152%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.24%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.69%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.55%EV -0.903%E -0.201%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.65%EV -3.36%E -1.59%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -4.58%E -1.55%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-23 22:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.89%E -0.657%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -8.83%E -4.42%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -2.96%E -0.987%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.89%E -0.657%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -8.83%E -4.42%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -2.96%E -0.987%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -2.89%E -0.657%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.65%EV -10.66%E -5.44%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.13%EV -2.96%E -0.987%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-23 22:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -4.43%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -11.11%E -5.70%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.68%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-23 12:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -5.10%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20%EV -4.27%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-23 21:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV -5.10%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -4.27%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -7.81%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-23 22:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV -5.10%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-23 22:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -5.10%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -5.19%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.36%EV -9.43%E -3.37%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-23 22:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -5.10%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.71%EV -7.01%E -3.44%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.60%EV -7.49%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-23 22:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -6.20%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.31%EV -12.48%E -6.50%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -6.20%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.31%EV -12.48%E -6.50%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.45%EV -5.19%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.04%EV -4.58%E -1.55%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-23 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -2.96%E -0.987%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-23 21:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -5.19%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-23 18:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-23 21:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-23 18:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-23 22:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.30%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59%EV -7.81%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-23 22:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.48%EV -13.85%E -7.33%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -6.84%E -2.38%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.99%EV -8.41%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.00%EV -3.36%E -1.59%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.01%EV -3.61%E -1.21%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-23 19:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.99%EV -8.41%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.00%EV -3.36%E -1.59%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.01%EV -3.61%E -1.21%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-23 19:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -9.51%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -8.83%E -4.42%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.83%EV -11.05%E -4.02%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-23 22:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.45%EV -5.19%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -7.81%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -6.84%E -2.38%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-23 21:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -8.83%E -4.42%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -11.05%E -4.02%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.41%EV -12.16%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.51%EV -10.66%E -5.44%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 32.08%EV -10.08%E -3.63%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-23 22:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%EV -12.82%E -3.25%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.68%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -7.81%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -12.82%E -3.25%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.54%EV -8.83%E -4.42%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-23 18:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.15%EV -12.82%E -3.25%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.04%EV -13.39%E -7.05%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -11.05%E -4.02%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-23 22:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.76%EV -13.92%E -3.57%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.37%EV -8.83%E -4.42%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.87%EV -12.67%E -4.69%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-23 22:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -16.13%E -4.25%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.27%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -7.81%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.41%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.24%EV -11.57%E -5.96%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -9.43%E -3.37%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-23 18:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.22% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.16% | 0.5% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.22% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.16% | 0.5% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00% | 1.0% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00% | 1.0% | 2026-07-23 22:15 |
Discuss this game on odds.forum
No published comments yet.