La escuela de los momiosSarmiento de Junin v Argentinos Juniors
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sarmiento de Junin (Local)
Predicción 22.07%4.53momio equitativo
EV +1.52%
Ventaja +0.331%
Kelly +0.424%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.87%22.01%22.17%23.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.214.204.6026.67%23.74%23.81%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Argentinos Juniors (Visitante)
Predicción 45.58%2.19momio equitativo
EV -3.36%
Ventaja -1.59%
Kelly -3.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.27%45.74%45.60%47.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.892.032.052.1252.91%49.28%48.78%47.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 32.35%3.09momio equitativo
EV -2.96%
Ventaja -0.987%
Kelly -1.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.13%32.26%32.23%33.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.882.903.0037.04%34.67%34.48%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.87%EV +1.52%E +0.331%K +0.424%G +0.006% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.64%E -2.73%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.76%EV -5.23%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.93%EV +0.421%E +0.093%K +0.119%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.23%EV -6.10%E -2.96%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 08:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.93%EV +0.421%E +0.093%K +0.119%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.23%EV -6.10%E -2.96%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 08:59 |
| BetAnything | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.93%EV +0.421%E +0.093%K +0.119%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.23%EV -6.10%E -2.96%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 08:59 |
| Fanatics | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07%EV -0.682%E -0.152%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.24%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.69%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |
| Pinnacle | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.55%EV -0.903%E -0.201%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.65%EV -3.36%E -1.59%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -4.58%E -1.55%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-23 22:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.89%E -0.657%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -8.83%E -4.42%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -2.96%E -0.987%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |
| Unibet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.89%E -0.657%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -8.83%E -4.42%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -2.96%E -0.987%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |
| BetRivers | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -2.89%E -0.657%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.65%EV -10.66%E -5.44%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.13%EV -2.96%E -0.987%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-23 22:05 |
| BoyleSports | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -4.43%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -11.11%E -5.70%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.68%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-23 12:15 |
| DraftKings | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -5.10%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20%EV -4.27%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-23 21:20 |
| FanDuel | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV -5.10%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -4.27%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -7.81%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-23 22:14 |
| Bovada | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV -5.10%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-23 22:24 |
| SportsBet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -5.10%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -5.19%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.36%EV -9.43%E -3.37%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-23 22:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -5.10%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.71%EV -7.01%E -3.44%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.60%EV -7.49%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-23 22:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -6.20%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.31%EV -12.48%E -6.50%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -6.20%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.31%EV -12.48%E -6.50%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.45%EV -5.19%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.04%EV -4.58%E -1.55%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-23 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -2.96%E -0.987%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-23 21:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -5.19%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-23 18:50 |
| BetMGM | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-23 21:20 |
| theScore Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-23 18:50 |
| Betway | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-23 22:05 |
| Everygame | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.30%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59%EV -7.81%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-23 22:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.48%EV -13.85%E -7.33%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -6.84%E -2.38%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |
| Betsson | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.99%EV -8.41%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.00%EV -3.36%E -1.59%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.01%EV -3.61%E -1.21%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-23 19:45 |
| NordicBet | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.99%EV -8.41%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.00%EV -3.36%E -1.59%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.01%EV -3.61%E -1.21%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-23 19:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -9.51%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -8.83%E -4.42%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.83%EV -11.05%E -4.02%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-23 22:15 |
| PlayUp | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.45%EV -5.19%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -7.81%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| betfred_uk | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -6.84%E -2.38%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-23 21:10 |
| Paddy Power | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -8.83%E -4.42%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -11.05%E -4.02%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.41%EV -12.16%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.51%EV -10.66%E -5.44%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 32.08%EV -10.08%E -3.63%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-23 22:04 |
| Bet Right | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%EV -12.82%E -3.25%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.68%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -7.81%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -12.82%E -3.25%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.54%EV -8.83%E -4.42%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-23 18:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.15%EV -12.82%E -3.25%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.04%EV -13.39%E -7.05%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -11.05%E -4.02%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-23 22:05 |
| Sky Bet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.76%EV -13.92%E -3.57%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.37%EV -8.83%E -4.42%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.87%EV -12.67%E -4.69%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-23 22:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -16.13%E -4.25%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.27%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -7.81%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.41%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.24%EV -11.57%E -5.96%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -9.43%E -3.37%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-23 18:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.22% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.16% | 0.5% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.22% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.16% | 0.5% | 2026-07-23 22:25 |
| Smarkets | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00% | 1.0% | 2026-07-23 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00% | 1.0% | 2026-07-23 22:15 |