A Escola das Odds

Sarmiento de Junin v Argentinos Juniors

Início: 2026-07-23 22:30 UTC

Final: Sarmiento de Junin 2–3 Argentinos Juniors

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Sarmiento de Junin (Local)

Previsão 22.07%4.53odd justa
EV +1.52%
Vantagem +0.331%
Kelly +0.424%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.87%22.01%22.17%23.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.754.214.204.6026.67%23.74%23.81%21.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Argentinos Juniors (Visitante)

Previsão 45.58%2.19odd justa
EV -3.36%
Vantagem -1.59%
Kelly -3.00%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.27%45.74%45.60%47.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.892.032.052.1252.91%49.28%48.78%47.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 32.35%3.09odd justa
EV -2.96%
Vantagem -0.987%
Kelly -1.48%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.13%32.26%32.23%33.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.702.882.903.0037.04%34.67%34.48%33.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.87%EV +1.52%E +0.331%K +0.424%G +0.006%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.64%E -2.73%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.76%EV -5.23%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-23 22:20
BetOnline.ag4.55I 21.98%NM 20.93%EV +0.421%E +0.093%K +0.119%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.23%EV -6.10%E -2.96%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-23 08:59
LowVig.ag4.55I 21.98%NM 20.93%EV +0.421%E +0.093%K +0.119%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.23%EV -6.10%E -2.96%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-23 08:59
BetAnything4.55I 21.98%NM 20.93%EV +0.421%E +0.093%K +0.119%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.23%EV -6.10%E -2.96%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-23 08:59
Fanatics4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07%EV -0.682%E -0.152%K -0.195%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.24%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.69%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-23 22:25
Pinnacle4.49I 22.27%NM 21.55%EV -0.903%E -0.201%K -0.259%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.65%EV -3.36%E -1.59%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -4.58%E -1.55%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-23 22:15
Unibet (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.89%E -0.657%K -0.850%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -8.83%E -4.42%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -2.96%E -0.987%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-23 22:25
Unibet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.89%E -0.657%K -0.850%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -8.83%E -4.42%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -2.96%E -0.987%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-23 22:25
BetRivers4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -2.89%E -0.657%K -0.850%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.65%EV -10.66%E -5.44%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.13%EV -2.96%E -0.987%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-23 22:05
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -4.43%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -11.11%E -5.70%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.68%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-23 12:15
DraftKings4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -5.10%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20%EV -4.27%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-23 21:20
FanDuel4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV -5.10%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -4.27%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -7.81%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-23 22:14
Bovada4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV -5.10%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-23 22:24
SportsBet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -5.10%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -5.19%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.36%EV -9.43%E -3.37%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-23 22:15
Marathon Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -5.10%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.71%EV -7.01%E -3.44%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.60%EV -7.49%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 22:14
Virgin Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -6.20%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.31%EV -12.48%E -6.50%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-23 22:25
LiveScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -6.20%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.31%EV -12.48%E -6.50%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-23 22:25
Codere (IT)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.45%EV -5.19%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.04%EV -4.58%E -1.55%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -2.96%E -0.987%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-23 21:20
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -5.19%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-23 18:50
BetMGM4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-23 21:20
theScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-23 18:50
Betway4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-23 22:05
Everygame4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.30%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59%EV -7.81%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-23 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.48%EV -13.85%E -7.33%K -15.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -6.84%E -2.38%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-23 22:25
Betsson4.15I 24.10%NM 22.99%EV -8.41%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.00%EV -3.36%E -1.59%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.01%EV -3.61%E -1.21%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 19:45
NordicBet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.99%EV -8.41%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.00%EV -3.36%E -1.59%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.01%EV -3.61%E -1.21%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 19:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -9.51%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -8.83%E -4.42%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.83%EV -11.05%E -4.02%K -6.31%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-23 22:15
PlayUp4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.45%EV -5.19%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -7.81%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-23 22:20
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -6.84%E -2.38%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-23 21:10
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -8.83%E -4.42%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -11.05%E -4.02%K -6.31%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-23 22:20
Betclic (FR)3.98I 25.13%NM 22.41%EV -12.16%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.51%EV -10.66%E -5.44%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.08%EV -10.08%E -3.63%K -5.66%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-23 22:04
Bet Right3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%EV -12.82%E -3.25%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.68%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -7.81%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-23 22:20
Winamax (DE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -12.82%E -3.25%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.54%EV -8.83%E -4.42%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-23 18:50
Unibet (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 22.15%EV -12.82%E -3.25%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.04%EV -13.39%E -7.05%K -14.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -11.05%E -4.02%K -6.31%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-23 22:05
Sky Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 22.76%EV -13.92%E -3.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.37%EV -8.83%E -4.42%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.87%EV -12.67%E -4.69%K -7.45%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-23 22:15
Betr (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -16.13%E -4.25%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.27%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -7.81%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-23 22:20
Winamax (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.41%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.24%EV -11.57%E -5.96%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -9.43%E -3.37%K -5.24%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-23 18:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.22%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.16%0.5%2026-07-23 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.22%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.16%0.5%2026-07-23 22:25
Smarkets4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%1.0%2026-07-23 22:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%1.0%2026-07-23 22:15