L’École des cotes

Sarmiento de Junin v Argentinos Juniors

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-23 22:30 UTC

Score final : Sarmiento de Junin 2–3 Argentinos Juniors

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sarmiento de Junin (Local)

Prévision 22.07%4.53cote équitable
EV +1.52%
Avantage +0.331%
Kelly +0.424%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.87%22.01%22.17%23.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.214.204.6026.67%23.74%23.81%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Argentinos Juniors (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.58%2.19cote équitable
EV -3.36%
Avantage -1.59%
Kelly -3.00%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.27%45.74%45.60%47.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.892.032.052.1252.91%49.28%48.78%47.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 32.35%3.09cote équitable
EV -2.96%
Avantage -0.987%
Kelly -1.48%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.13%32.26%32.23%33.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.882.903.0037.04%34.67%34.48%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.87%EV +1.52%E +0.331%K +0.424%G +0.006%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.64%E -2.73%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.76%EV -5.23%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-23 22:20
BetOnline.ag4.55I 21.98%NM 20.93%EV +0.421%E +0.093%K +0.119%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.23%EV -6.10%E -2.96%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-23 08:59
LowVig.ag4.55I 21.98%NM 20.93%EV +0.421%E +0.093%K +0.119%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.23%EV -6.10%E -2.96%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-23 08:59
BetAnything4.55I 21.98%NM 20.93%EV +0.421%E +0.093%K +0.119%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.23%EV -6.10%E -2.96%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-23 08:59
Fanatics4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07%EV -0.682%E -0.152%K -0.195%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.24%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.69%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-23 22:25
Pinnacle4.49I 22.27%NM 21.55%EV -0.903%E -0.201%K -0.259%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.65%EV -3.36%E -1.59%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -4.58%E -1.55%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-23 22:15
Unibet (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.89%E -0.657%K -0.850%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -8.83%E -4.42%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -2.96%E -0.987%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-23 22:25
Unibet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.89%E -0.657%K -0.850%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -8.83%E -4.42%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -2.96%E -0.987%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-23 22:25
BetRivers4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -2.89%E -0.657%K -0.850%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.65%EV -10.66%E -5.44%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.13%EV -2.96%E -0.987%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-23 22:05
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -4.43%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -11.11%E -5.70%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.68%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-23 12:15
DraftKings4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -5.10%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.20%EV -4.27%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-23 21:20
FanDuel4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV -5.10%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -4.27%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -7.81%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-23 22:14
Bovada4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV -5.10%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-23 22:24
SportsBet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -5.10%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -5.19%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.36%EV -9.43%E -3.37%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-23 22:15
Marathon Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -5.10%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.71%EV -7.01%E -3.44%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.60%EV -7.49%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 22:14
Virgin Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -6.20%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.31%EV -12.48%E -6.50%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-23 22:25
LiveScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -6.20%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.31%EV -12.48%E -6.50%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-23 22:25
Codere (IT)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.45%EV -5.19%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.04%EV -4.58%E -1.55%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -2.96%E -0.987%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-23 21:20
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -5.19%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-23 18:50
BetMGM4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-23 21:20
theScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-23 18:50
Betway4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-23 22:05
Everygame4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.30%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59%EV -7.81%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-23 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.48%EV -13.85%E -7.33%K -15.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -6.84%E -2.38%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-23 22:25
Betsson4.15I 24.10%NM 22.99%EV -8.41%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.00%EV -3.36%E -1.59%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.01%EV -3.61%E -1.21%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 19:45
NordicBet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.99%EV -8.41%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.00%EV -3.36%E -1.59%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.01%EV -3.61%E -1.21%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 19:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -9.51%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -8.83%E -4.42%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.83%EV -11.05%E -4.02%K -6.31%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-23 22:15
PlayUp4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.45%EV -5.19%E -2.49%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -7.81%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-23 22:20
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -6.84%E -2.38%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-23 21:10
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -8.83%E -4.42%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -11.05%E -4.02%K -6.31%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-23 22:20
Betclic (FR)3.98I 25.13%NM 22.41%EV -12.16%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.51%EV -10.66%E -5.44%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.08%EV -10.08%E -3.63%K -5.66%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-23 22:04
Bet Right3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%EV -12.82%E -3.25%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.68%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -7.81%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-23 22:20
Winamax (DE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -12.82%E -3.25%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.54%EV -8.83%E -4.42%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -6.20%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-23 18:50
Unibet (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 22.15%EV -12.82%E -3.25%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.04%EV -13.39%E -7.05%K -14.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -11.05%E -4.02%K -6.31%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-23 22:05
Sky Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 22.76%EV -13.92%E -3.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.37%EV -8.83%E -4.42%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.87%EV -12.67%E -4.69%K -7.45%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-23 22:15
Betr (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -16.13%E -4.25%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.27%EV -6.55%E -3.20%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -7.81%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-23 22:20
Winamax (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.41%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.24%EV -11.57%E -5.96%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -9.43%E -3.37%K -5.24%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-23 18:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.22%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.16%0.5%2026-07-23 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.22%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.16%0.5%2026-07-23 22:25
Smarkets4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%1.0%2026-07-23 22:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%1.0%2026-07-23 22:15