StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

San Lorenzo v Union Santa Fe

Matchstart: 2026-08-15 17:30 UTC

Slutresultat: San Lorenzo 1–0 Union Santa Fe

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

38 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

San Lorenzo (Hemma)

Prognos 33.02%3.03rättvist odds
EV -1.61%
Fördel -0.540%
Kelly -0.813%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.98

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
32.26%33.53%32.98%37.95%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.452.752.802.9840.82%36.41%35.71%33.56%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Union Santa Fe (Borta)

Prognos 35.40%2.82rättvist odds
EV +9.75%
Fördel +3.14%
Kelly +4.64%
Tillväxt +0.452%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.99%34.93%35.49%36.55%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.452.662.653.1040.82%37.57%37.74%32.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 31.58%3.17rättvist odds
EV -2.10%
Fördel -0.677%
Kelly -0.999%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.39%31.54%31.53%32.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.752.932.953.1036.36%34.11%33.90%32.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: San Lorenzo (Hemma): 33.02%; Union Santa Fe (Borta): 35.40%; Oavgjort: 31.58%. För Union Santa Fe (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.82. 3 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.10, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +9.75%.

Spelbolagsodds (38 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -19.11%E -7.80%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV +9.75%E +3.14%K +4.64%G +0.452%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 17:18
Unibet (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -13.17%E -5.01%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.56%EV +1.96%E +0.679%K +1.04%G +0.020%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 17:24
Unibet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -13.17%E -5.01%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.56%EV +1.96%E +0.679%K +1.04%G +0.020%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 17:24
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -15.81%E -6.20%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -0.875%E -0.313%K -0.486%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 17:15
1xBet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 34.15%EV -7.22%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.39%EV -1.23%E -0.441%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.68%E -1.21%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 17:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.87%EV -2.93%E -0.997%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -2.65%E -0.962%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.00%EV -4.62%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-15 17:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.87%EV -2.93%E -0.997%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -2.65%E -0.962%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.00%EV -4.62%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-15 17:09
Pinnacle🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 32.46%EV -1.61%E -0.540%K -0.813%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.83%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.71%EV -3.68%E -1.21%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 17:15
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.25%E -1.47%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.13%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 17:13
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.27%EV -5.90%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.12%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 17:15
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -13.50%E -5.15%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 17:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.66%EV -18.12%E -7.31%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.75%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-15 17:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.66%EV -18.12%E -7.31%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.75%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-15 17:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.74%EV -19.11%E -7.80%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.43%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.84%EV -13.15%E -4.78%K -7.52%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-15 17:24
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -4.25%E -1.47%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 17:19
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -4.25%E -1.47%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 17:15
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.90%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 17:15
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.90%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 17:14
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 17:14
BetAnything🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 17:14
SportsBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -5.90%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 17:14
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 17:15
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 17:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.96%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -2.10%E -0.677%K -0.999%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 17:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -4.91%E -1.71%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.59%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.04%EV -8.10%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 17:24
Betway🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.34%EV -4.91%E -1.71%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.55%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 17:14
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -13.50%E -5.15%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 17:15
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 17:09
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 17:15
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 17:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 17:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -12.51%E -4.72%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 17:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.60%EV -9.73%E -3.81%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 17:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.67%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.29%EV -9.99%E -3.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-15 17:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.63%EV -12.51%E -4.72%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 17:15
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -13.15%E -4.78%K -7.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-15 17:14
NetBet (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 32.84%EV -11.84%E -4.44%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 35.50%EV -12.56%E -5.08%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.66%EV -12.52%E -4.52%K -7.07%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-15 17:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -13.27%E -5.41%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 17:14
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.10%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%1.0%2026-08-15 17:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.10%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%1.0%2026-08-15 17:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.26%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-08-15 17:25
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.25%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.41%2.0%2026-08-15 17:20
Smarkets◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.48%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.05%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.48%2.6%2026-08-15 17:15