Idioma:Español
San Lorenzo v Union Santa Fe
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
San Lorenzo (Local)
Predicción 33.02%3.03momio equitativo
EV -1.61%
Ventaja -0.540%
Kelly -0.813%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.98
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.26%33.53%32.98%37.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.452.752.802.9840.82%36.41%35.71%33.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Union Santa Fe (Visitante)
Predicción 35.40%2.82momio equitativo
EV +9.75%
Ventaja +3.14%
Kelly +4.64%
Crecimiento +0.452%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.99%34.93%35.49%36.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.452.662.653.1040.82%37.57%37.74%32.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 31.58%3.17momio equitativo
EV -2.10%
Ventaja -0.677%
Kelly -0.999%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.39%31.54%31.53%32.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.752.932.953.1036.36%34.11%33.90%32.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: San Lorenzo (Local): 33.02%; Union Santa Fe (Visitante): 35.40%; Empate: 31.58%. Para Union Santa Fe (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.82. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.10, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +9.75%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -19.11%E -7.80%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV +9.75%E +3.14%K +4.64%G +0.452% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-11 17:18 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -13.17%E -5.01%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.56%EV +1.96%E +0.679%K +1.04%G +0.020% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -13.17%E -5.01%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.56%EV +1.96%E +0.679%K +1.04%G +0.020% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -15.81%E -6.20%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -0.875%E -0.313%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 17:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.15%EV -7.22%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.39%EV -1.23%E -0.441%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.68%E -1.21%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.87%EV -2.93%E -0.997%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -2.65%E -0.962%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.00%EV -4.62%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-15 17:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.87%EV -2.93%E -0.997%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -2.65%E -0.962%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.00%EV -4.62%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-15 17:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.46%EV -1.61%E -0.540%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.83%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.71%EV -3.68%E -1.21%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 17:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.25%E -1.47%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.13%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 17:13 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.27%EV -5.90%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.12%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 17:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -13.50%E -5.15%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 17:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.66%EV -18.12%E -7.31%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.75%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.66%EV -18.12%E -7.31%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.75%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.74%EV -19.11%E -7.80%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.43%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.84%EV -13.15%E -4.78%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -4.25%E -1.47%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 17:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -4.25%E -1.47%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 17:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.90%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 17:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.90%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 17:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 17:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 17:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -5.90%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 17:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 17:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 17:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.96%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -2.10%E -0.677%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 17:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -4.91%E -1.71%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.59%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.04%EV -8.10%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.34%EV -4.91%E -1.71%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.55%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 17:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -13.50%E -5.15%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-15 17:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 17:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 17:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 17:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 17:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -12.51%E -4.72%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 17:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.60%EV -9.73%E -3.81%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 17:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.67%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.29%EV -9.99%E -3.51%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-15 17:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.63%EV -12.51%E -4.72%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-15 17:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -13.15%E -4.78%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-15 17:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.84%EV -11.84%E -4.44%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 35.50%EV -12.56%E -5.08%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.66%EV -12.52%E -4.52%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-15 17:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -13.27%E -5.41%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-15 17:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.10% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.10% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.26% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.3% | 2026-08-15 17:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.25% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.41% | 2.0% | 2026-08-15 17:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.48% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.05% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.48% | 2.6% | 2026-08-15 17:15 |