Langue:Français
San Lorenzo v Union Santa Fe
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
San Lorenzo (Local)
Prévision 33.02%3.03cote équitable
EV -1.61%
Avantage -0.540%
Kelly -0.813%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.98
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.26%33.53%32.98%37.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.452.752.802.9840.82%36.41%35.71%33.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Union Santa Fe (Visiteur)
Prévision 35.40%2.82cote équitable
EV +9.75%
Avantage +3.14%
Kelly +4.64%
Croissance +0.452%
avec la cote maximale 3.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.99%34.93%35.49%36.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.452.662.653.1040.82%37.57%37.74%32.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 31.58%3.17cote équitable
EV -2.10%
Avantage -0.677%
Kelly -0.999%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.39%31.54%31.53%32.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.752.932.953.1036.36%34.11%33.90%32.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : San Lorenzo (Local) : 33.02% ; Union Santa Fe (Visiteur) : 35.40% ; Match nul : 31.58%. Pour Union Santa Fe (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.82. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.10, soit une espérance positive de +9.75%.
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -19.11%E -7.80%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV +9.75%E +3.14%K +4.64%G +0.452% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-11 17:18 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -13.17%E -5.01%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.56%EV +1.96%E +0.679%K +1.04%G +0.020% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -13.17%E -5.01%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.56%EV +1.96%E +0.679%K +1.04%G +0.020% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -15.81%E -6.20%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -0.875%E -0.313%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 17:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.15%EV -7.22%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.39%EV -1.23%E -0.441%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.68%E -1.21%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.87%EV -2.93%E -0.997%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -2.65%E -0.962%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.00%EV -4.62%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-15 17:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.87%EV -2.93%E -0.997%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -2.65%E -0.962%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.00%EV -4.62%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-15 17:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.46%EV -1.61%E -0.540%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.83%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.71%EV -3.68%E -1.21%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 17:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.25%E -1.47%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.13%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 17:13 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.27%EV -5.90%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.12%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 17:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -13.50%E -5.15%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 17:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.66%EV -18.12%E -7.31%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.75%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.66%EV -18.12%E -7.31%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.75%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.74%EV -19.11%E -7.80%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.43%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.84%EV -13.15%E -4.78%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -4.25%E -1.47%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 17:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -4.25%E -1.47%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 17:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.90%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 17:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.90%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 17:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 17:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 17:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -5.90%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 17:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 17:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 17:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.96%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -2.10%E -0.677%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 17:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -4.91%E -1.71%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.59%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.04%EV -8.10%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.34%EV -4.91%E -1.71%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.55%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 17:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -13.50%E -5.15%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-15 17:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 17:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 17:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 17:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 17:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -12.51%E -4.72%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 17:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.60%EV -9.73%E -3.81%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 17:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.67%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.29%EV -9.99%E -3.51%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-15 17:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.63%EV -12.51%E -4.72%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-15 17:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -13.15%E -4.78%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-15 17:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.84%EV -11.84%E -4.44%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 35.50%EV -12.56%E -5.08%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.66%EV -12.52%E -4.52%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-15 17:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -13.27%E -5.41%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-15 17:14 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.10% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.10% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.26% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.3% | 2026-08-15 17:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.25% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.41% | 2.0% | 2026-08-15 17:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.48% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.05% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.48% | 2.6% | 2026-08-15 17:15 |