Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

San Lorenzo v Union Santa Fe

Inizio: 2026-08-15 17:30 UTC

Finale: San Lorenzo 1–0 Union Santa Fe

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

38 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

San Lorenzo (Casa)

Previsione 33.02%3.03quota equa
EV -1.61%
Vantaggio -0.540%
Kelly -0.813%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.98

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.26%33.53%32.98%37.95%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.452.752.802.9840.82%36.41%35.71%33.56%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Union Santa Fe (Trasferta)

Previsione 35.40%2.82quota equa
EV +9.75%
Vantaggio +3.14%
Kelly +4.64%
Crescita +0.452%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.99%34.93%35.49%36.55%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.452.662.653.1040.82%37.57%37.74%32.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 31.58%3.17quota equa
EV -2.10%
Vantaggio -0.677%
Kelly -0.999%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.39%31.54%31.53%32.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.932.953.1036.36%34.11%33.90%32.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: San Lorenzo (Casa): 33.02%; Union Santa Fe (Trasferta): 35.40%; Pareggio: 31.58%. Per Union Santa Fe (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.82. 3 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.10, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +9.75%.

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -19.11%E -7.80%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV +9.75%E +3.14%K +4.64%G +0.452%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 17:18
Unibet (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -13.17%E -5.01%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.56%EV +1.96%E +0.679%K +1.04%G +0.020%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 17:24
Unibet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -13.17%E -5.01%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.56%EV +1.96%E +0.679%K +1.04%G +0.020%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 17:24
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -15.81%E -6.20%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -0.875%E -0.313%K -0.486%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 17:15
1xBet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 34.15%EV -7.22%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.39%EV -1.23%E -0.441%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.68%E -1.21%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 17:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.87%EV -2.93%E -0.997%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -2.65%E -0.962%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.00%EV -4.62%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-15 17:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.87%EV -2.93%E -0.997%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -2.65%E -0.962%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.00%EV -4.62%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-15 17:09
Pinnacle🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 32.46%EV -1.61%E -0.540%K -0.813%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.83%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.71%EV -3.68%E -1.21%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 17:15
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.25%E -1.47%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.13%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 17:13
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.27%EV -5.90%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.12%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 17:15
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -13.50%E -5.15%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 17:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.66%EV -18.12%E -7.31%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.75%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-15 17:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.66%EV -18.12%E -7.31%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.75%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-15 17:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.74%EV -19.11%E -7.80%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.43%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.84%EV -13.15%E -4.78%K -7.52%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-15 17:24
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -4.25%E -1.47%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 17:19
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -4.25%E -1.47%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 17:15
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.90%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 17:15
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.90%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 17:14
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 17:14
BetAnything🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 17:14
SportsBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -5.90%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 17:14
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 17:15
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 17:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.96%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -2.10%E -0.677%K -0.999%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 17:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -4.91%E -1.71%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.59%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.04%EV -8.10%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 17:24
Betway🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.34%EV -4.91%E -1.71%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.55%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 17:14
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -13.50%E -5.15%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 17:15
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -5.26%E -1.75%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 17:09
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 17:15
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 17:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -11.57%E -4.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 17:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -12.51%E -4.72%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 17:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.60%EV -9.73%E -3.81%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -6.83%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 17:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.67%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.29%EV -9.99%E -3.51%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-15 17:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.63%EV -12.51%E -4.72%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 17:15
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -13.15%E -4.78%K -7.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-15 17:14
NetBet (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 32.84%EV -11.84%E -4.44%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 35.50%EV -12.56%E -5.08%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.66%EV -12.52%E -4.52%K -7.07%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-15 17:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -13.27%E -5.41%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -8.41%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 17:14
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.10%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%1.0%2026-08-15 17:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.10%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%1.0%2026-08-15 17:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.26%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-08-15 17:25
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.25%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.41%2.0%2026-08-15 17:20
Smarkets◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.48%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.05%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.48%2.6%2026-08-15 17:15