A Escola das OddsPortuguês
San Lorenzo v Defensa y Justicia
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
San Lorenzo (Local)
Previsão 42.27%2.37odd justa
EV -2.79%
Vantagem -1.21%
Kelly -2.15%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.09%42.36%42.18%43.83%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.902.172.182.3052.63%46.05%45.87%43.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Defensa y Justicia (Visitante)
Previsão 23.94%4.18odd justa
EV +5.11%
Vantagem +1.16%
Kelly +1.51%
Crescimento +0.077%
pressupondo odds máximas de 4.39
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.04%23.87%24.12%26.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.403.853.804.3929.41%25.98%26.32%22.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Empate
Previsão 33.79%2.96odd justa
EV -0.315%
Vantagem -0.107%
Kelly -0.162%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.95
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.91%33.77%33.70%35.27%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.452.742.752.9540.82%36.44%36.36%33.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Odds das casas de apostas (37 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -5.75%E -2.58%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 22.04%EV +5.11%E +1.16%K +1.51%G +0.077% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.56%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-16 21:15 |
| 1xBet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.83%EV -7.44%E -3.40%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.48%EV +2.24%E +0.524%K +0.685%G +0.015% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.68%EV -3.69%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-16 21:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.43%EV -5.33%E -2.38%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.36%EV +1.76%E +0.414%K +0.542%G +0.010% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.20%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-16 21:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.43%EV -5.33%E -2.38%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.36%EV +1.76%E +0.414%K +0.542%G +0.010% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.20%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-16 21:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.60%EV -9.13%E -4.25%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV +0.563%E +0.134%K +0.176%G +0.001% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-16 20:54 |
| Everygame | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV +0.563%E +0.134%K +0.176%G +0.001% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.27%EV -10.45%E -3.94%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-16 21:24 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.32%EV -9.13%E -4.25%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV +0.563%E +0.134%K +0.176%G +0.001% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -1.83%E -0.447%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-16 20:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -8.28%E -3.82%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -1.83%E -0.447%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.28%EV -8.09%E -2.97%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-16 21:24 |
| Bovada | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -9.13%E -4.25%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-16 21:19 |
| BetAnything | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -9.13%E -4.25%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-16 21:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.98%EV -11.24%E -5.35%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.45%EV -11.47%E -4.38%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.90%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.16%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-16 21:20 |
| Betsson | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.90%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.16%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-16 21:18 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-16 20:35 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-16 20:35 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -11.24%E -5.35%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.95%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -12.14%E -4.67%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.09%EV -4.90%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -7.82%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -10.45%E -3.94%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-16 21:20 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.45%EV -2.79%E -1.21%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV -3.69%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-16 21:25 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -4.90%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-16 20:34 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.04%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-16 17:20 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.78%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-16 12:55 |
| Bet Right | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%EV -9.13%E -4.25%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-16 21:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.90%EV -11.24%E -5.35%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -11.41%E -3.08%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.76%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-16 21:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.37%EV -11.24%E -5.35%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.05%EV -11.41%E -3.08%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.58%EV -10.45%E -3.94%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-16 21:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 43.69%EV -19.70%E -10.37%K -21.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.43%EV -11.41%E -3.08%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 33.88%EV -17.21%E -7.02%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 20.5% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.19%EV -10.40%E -4.90%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.31%EV -11.89%E -3.23%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 33.50%EV -9.78%E -3.66%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-16 21:03 |
| BetRivers | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.25%EV -5.75%E -2.58%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -12.61%E -3.45%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -0.315%E -0.107%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-16 21:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -9.13%E -4.25%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -12.61%E -3.45%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-16 20:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 42.91%EV -14.62%E -7.24%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.75%EV -12.61%E -3.45%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.34%EV -12.14%E -4.67%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-16 20:40 |
| Unibet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.90%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -0.315%E -0.107%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-16 21:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.90%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -0.315%E -0.107%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-16 21:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.80%EV -11.24%E -5.35%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -16.20%E -4.63%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -10.45%E -3.94%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-16 20:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.72%EV -7.86%E -3.61%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -17.39%E -5.04%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -3.69%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-16 21:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.72%EV -7.86%E -3.61%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -17.39%E -5.04%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -3.69%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-16 21:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.13%E -4.25%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -18.59%E -5.47%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-16 21:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.39%EV -11.24%E -5.35%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.56%EV -18.59%E -5.47%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.05%EV -11.13%E -4.23%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (6)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.18% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.25% | 0.7% | 2026-03-16 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.18% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.25% | 0.7% | 2026-03-16 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.18% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.25% | 0.7% | 2026-03-16 21:25 |
| Matchbook | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.18% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.25% | 0.7% | 2026-03-16 21:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.07% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.84% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10% | 1.8% | 2026-03-16 21:20 |
| Kalshi | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.77% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.28% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95% | 3.0% | 2026-03-16 21:25 |