Die Schule der Quoten

San Lorenzo v Defensa y Justicia

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-16 21:30 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

37 Wettanbieter (14 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

San Lorenzo (Heim)

Prognose 42.27%2.37faire Quote
EV -2.79%
Vorteil -1.21%
Kelly -2.15%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.30

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
41.09%42.36%42.18%43.83%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.902.172.182.3052.63%46.05%45.87%43.48%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Defensa y Justicia (Auswärts)

Prognose 23.94%4.18faire Quote
EV +5.11%
Vorteil +1.16%
Kelly +1.51%
Wachstum +0.077%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.39

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.04%23.87%24.12%26.36%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.403.853.804.3929.41%25.98%26.32%22.78%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 33.79%2.96faire Quote
EV -0.315%
Vorteil -0.107%
Kelly -0.162%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.95

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
31.91%33.77%33.70%35.27%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.452.742.752.9540.82%36.44%36.36%33.90%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (37 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -5.75%E -2.58%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 22.04%EV +5.11%E +1.16%K +1.51%G +0.077%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.56%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-16 21:15
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.83%EV -7.44%E -3.40%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.48%EV +2.24%E +0.524%K +0.685%G +0.015%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.68%EV -3.69%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-16 21:25
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 42.43%EV -5.33%E -2.38%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.36%EV +1.76%E +0.414%K +0.542%G +0.010%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.20%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-16 21:00
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 42.43%EV -5.33%E -2.38%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.36%EV +1.76%E +0.414%K +0.542%G +0.010%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.20%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-16 21:00
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.60%EV -9.13%E -4.25%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV +0.563%E +0.134%K +0.176%G +0.001%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-16 20:54
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV +0.563%E +0.134%K +0.176%G +0.001%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.27%EV -10.45%E -3.94%K -6.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-16 21:24
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.32%EV -9.13%E -4.25%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV +0.563%E +0.134%K +0.176%G +0.001%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-16 20:55
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -1.83%E -0.447%K -0.591%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-16 20:35
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -8.28%E -3.82%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -1.83%E -0.447%K -0.591%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.28%EV -8.09%E -2.97%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-16 21:24
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -9.13%E -4.25%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-16 21:19
BetAnything2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -9.13%E -4.25%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-16 21:20
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.98%EV -11.24%E -5.35%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.45%EV -11.47%E -4.38%K -7.08%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-16 20:55
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.90%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.16%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-16 21:20
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.90%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.16%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-16 21:18
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-16 20:35
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-16 20:35
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -11.24%E -5.35%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.95%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -12.14%E -4.67%K -7.59%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-16 20:55
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 41.09%EV -4.90%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -7.82%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -10.45%E -3.94%K -6.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-16 21:20
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.45%EV -2.79%E -1.21%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV -3.69%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-16 21:25
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -4.90%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 20:34
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.04%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-16 17:20
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 41.78%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-16 12:55
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%EV -9.13%E -4.25%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-16 21:25
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.90%EV -11.24%E -5.35%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -11.41%E -3.08%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.76%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-16 21:25
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.37%EV -11.24%E -5.35%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.05%EV -11.41%E -3.08%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.58%EV -10.45%E -3.94%K -6.34%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-16 21:05
PMU (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 43.69%EV -19.70%E -10.37%K -21.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.43%EV -11.41%E -3.08%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 33.88%EV -17.21%E -7.02%K -11.87%G +0.000%20.5%2026-03-16 20:55
Betclic (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.19%EV -10.40%E -4.90%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.31%EV -11.89%E -3.23%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 33.50%EV -9.78%E -3.66%K -5.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-16 21:03
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 42.25%EV -5.75%E -2.58%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -12.61%E -3.45%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -0.315%E -0.107%K -0.162%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-16 21:20
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -9.13%E -4.25%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -12.61%E -3.45%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-16 20:35
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 42.91%EV -14.62%E -7.24%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.75%EV -12.61%E -3.45%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.34%EV -12.14%E -4.67%K -7.59%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-16 20:40
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.90%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -0.315%E -0.107%K -0.162%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-16 21:25
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.90%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -0.315%E -0.107%K -0.162%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-16 21:25
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.80%EV -11.24%E -5.35%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -16.20%E -4.63%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -10.45%E -3.94%K -6.34%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-16 20:35
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.72%EV -7.86%E -3.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -17.39%E -5.04%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -3.69%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-16 21:25
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.72%EV -7.86%E -3.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -17.39%E -5.04%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -3.69%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-16 21:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.13%E -4.25%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -18.59%E -5.47%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-16 21:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.39%EV -11.24%E -5.35%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.56%EV -18.59%E -5.47%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.05%EV -11.13%E -4.23%K -6.83%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-16 20:55
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.18%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.25%0.7%2026-03-16 21:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.18%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.25%0.7%2026-03-16 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.18%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.25%0.7%2026-03-16 21:25
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.18%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.25%0.7%2026-03-16 21:25
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.07%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.84%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10%1.8%2026-03-16 21:20
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 42.77%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.28%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%3.0%2026-03-16 21:25