L’École des cotesFrançais
San Lorenzo v Defensa y Justicia
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
San Lorenzo (Local)
Prévision 42.27%2.37cote équitable
EV -2.79%
Avantage -1.21%
Kelly -2.15%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.09%42.36%42.18%43.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.902.172.182.3052.63%46.05%45.87%43.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Defensa y Justicia (Visiteur)
Prévision 23.94%4.18cote équitable
EV +5.11%
Avantage +1.16%
Kelly +1.51%
Croissance +0.077%
avec la cote maximale 4.39
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.04%23.87%24.12%26.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.853.804.3929.41%25.98%26.32%22.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 33.79%2.96cote équitable
EV -0.315%
Avantage -0.107%
Kelly -0.162%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.91%33.77%33.70%35.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.742.752.9540.82%36.44%36.36%33.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -5.75%E -2.58%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 22.04%EV +5.11%E +1.16%K +1.51%G +0.077% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.56%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-16 21:15 |
| 1xBet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.83%EV -7.44%E -3.40%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.48%EV +2.24%E +0.524%K +0.685%G +0.015% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.68%EV -3.69%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-16 21:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.43%EV -5.33%E -2.38%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.36%EV +1.76%E +0.414%K +0.542%G +0.010% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.20%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-16 21:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.43%EV -5.33%E -2.38%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.36%EV +1.76%E +0.414%K +0.542%G +0.010% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.20%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-16 21:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.60%EV -9.13%E -4.25%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV +0.563%E +0.134%K +0.176%G +0.001% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-16 20:54 |
| Everygame | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV +0.563%E +0.134%K +0.176%G +0.001% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.27%EV -10.45%E -3.94%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-16 21:24 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.32%EV -9.13%E -4.25%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV +0.563%E +0.134%K +0.176%G +0.001% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -1.83%E -0.447%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-16 20:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -8.28%E -3.82%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -1.83%E -0.447%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.28%EV -8.09%E -2.97%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-16 21:24 |
| Bovada | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -9.13%E -4.25%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-16 21:19 |
| BetAnything | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -9.13%E -4.25%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-16 21:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.98%EV -11.24%E -5.35%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.45%EV -11.47%E -4.38%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.90%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.16%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-16 21:20 |
| Betsson | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.90%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.16%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-16 21:18 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-16 20:35 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-16 20:35 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -11.24%E -5.35%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.95%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -12.14%E -4.67%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.09%EV -4.90%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -7.82%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -10.45%E -3.94%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-16 21:20 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.45%EV -2.79%E -1.21%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV -3.69%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-16 21:25 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -4.90%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-16 20:34 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.04%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-16 17:20 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.78%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-16 12:55 |
| Bet Right | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%EV -9.13%E -4.25%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-16 21:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.90%EV -11.24%E -5.35%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -11.41%E -3.08%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.76%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-16 21:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.37%EV -11.24%E -5.35%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.05%EV -11.41%E -3.08%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.58%EV -10.45%E -3.94%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-16 21:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 43.69%EV -19.70%E -10.37%K -21.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.43%EV -11.41%E -3.08%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 33.88%EV -17.21%E -7.02%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 20.5% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.19%EV -10.40%E -4.90%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.31%EV -11.89%E -3.23%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 33.50%EV -9.78%E -3.66%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-16 21:03 |
| BetRivers | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.25%EV -5.75%E -2.58%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -12.61%E -3.45%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -0.315%E -0.107%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-16 21:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -9.13%E -4.25%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -12.61%E -3.45%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-16 20:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 42.91%EV -14.62%E -7.24%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.75%EV -12.61%E -3.45%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.34%EV -12.14%E -4.67%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-16 20:40 |
| Unibet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.90%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -0.315%E -0.107%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-16 21:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.90%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -0.315%E -0.107%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-16 21:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.80%EV -11.24%E -5.35%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -16.20%E -4.63%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -10.45%E -3.94%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-16 20:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.72%EV -7.86%E -3.61%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -17.39%E -5.04%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -3.69%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-16 21:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.72%EV -7.86%E -3.61%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -17.39%E -5.04%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -3.69%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-16 21:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.13%E -4.25%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -18.59%E -5.47%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-16 21:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.39%EV -11.24%E -5.35%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.56%EV -18.59%E -5.47%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.05%EV -11.13%E -4.23%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.18% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.25% | 0.7% | 2026-03-16 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.18% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.25% | 0.7% | 2026-03-16 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.18% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.25% | 0.7% | 2026-03-16 21:25 |
| Matchbook | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.18% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.25% | 0.7% | 2026-03-16 21:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.07% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.84% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10% | 1.8% | 2026-03-16 21:20 |
| Kalshi | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.77% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.28% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95% | 3.0% | 2026-03-16 21:25 |