La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
San Lorenzo v Defensa y Justicia
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
San Lorenzo (Local)
Predicción 42.27%2.37momio equitativo
EV -2.79%
Ventaja -1.21%
Kelly -2.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.09%42.36%42.18%43.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.902.172.182.3052.63%46.05%45.87%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Defensa y Justicia (Visitante)
Predicción 23.94%4.18momio equitativo
EV +5.11%
Ventaja +1.16%
Kelly +1.51%
Crecimiento +0.077%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.39
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.04%23.87%24.12%26.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.853.804.3929.41%25.98%26.32%22.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 33.79%2.96momio equitativo
EV -0.315%
Ventaja -0.107%
Kelly -0.162%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.91%33.77%33.70%35.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.742.752.9540.82%36.44%36.36%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -5.75%E -2.58%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 22.04%EV +5.11%E +1.16%K +1.51%G +0.077% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.56%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-16 21:15 |
| 1xBet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.83%EV -7.44%E -3.40%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.48%EV +2.24%E +0.524%K +0.685%G +0.015% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.68%EV -3.69%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-16 21:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.43%EV -5.33%E -2.38%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.36%EV +1.76%E +0.414%K +0.542%G +0.010% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.20%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-16 21:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.43%EV -5.33%E -2.38%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.36%EV +1.76%E +0.414%K +0.542%G +0.010% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.20%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-16 21:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.60%EV -9.13%E -4.25%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV +0.563%E +0.134%K +0.176%G +0.001% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-16 20:54 |
| Everygame | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV +0.563%E +0.134%K +0.176%G +0.001% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.27%EV -10.45%E -3.94%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-16 21:24 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.32%EV -9.13%E -4.25%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV +0.563%E +0.134%K +0.176%G +0.001% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -1.83%E -0.447%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-16 20:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -8.28%E -3.82%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -1.83%E -0.447%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.28%EV -8.09%E -2.97%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-16 21:24 |
| Bovada | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -9.13%E -4.25%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-16 21:19 |
| BetAnything | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -9.13%E -4.25%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-16 21:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.98%EV -11.24%E -5.35%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.45%EV -11.47%E -4.38%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.90%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.16%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-16 21:20 |
| Betsson | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.90%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.16%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-16 21:18 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-16 20:35 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-16 20:35 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -11.24%E -5.35%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.95%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -12.14%E -4.67%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.09%EV -4.90%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -7.82%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -10.45%E -3.94%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-16 21:20 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.45%EV -2.79%E -1.21%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV -3.69%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-16 21:25 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -4.90%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-16 20:34 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.04%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-16 17:20 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.78%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-16 12:55 |
| Bet Right | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%EV -9.13%E -4.25%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-16 21:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.90%EV -11.24%E -5.35%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -11.41%E -3.08%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.76%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-16 21:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.37%EV -11.24%E -5.35%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.05%EV -11.41%E -3.08%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.58%EV -10.45%E -3.94%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-16 21:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 43.69%EV -19.70%E -10.37%K -21.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.43%EV -11.41%E -3.08%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 33.88%EV -17.21%E -7.02%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 20.5% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.19%EV -10.40%E -4.90%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.31%EV -11.89%E -3.23%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 33.50%EV -9.78%E -3.66%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-16 21:03 |
| BetRivers | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.25%EV -5.75%E -2.58%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -12.61%E -3.45%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -0.315%E -0.107%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-16 21:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -9.13%E -4.25%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -12.61%E -3.45%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-16 20:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 42.91%EV -14.62%E -7.24%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.75%EV -12.61%E -3.45%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.34%EV -12.14%E -4.67%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-16 20:40 |
| Unibet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.90%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -0.315%E -0.107%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-16 21:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.90%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -0.315%E -0.107%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-16 21:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.80%EV -11.24%E -5.35%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -16.20%E -4.63%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -10.45%E -3.94%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-16 20:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.72%EV -7.86%E -3.61%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -17.39%E -5.04%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -3.69%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-16 21:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.72%EV -7.86%E -3.61%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -17.39%E -5.04%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -3.69%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-16 21:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.13%E -4.25%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -18.59%E -5.47%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-16 21:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.39%EV -11.24%E -5.35%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.56%EV -18.59%E -5.47%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.05%EV -11.13%E -4.23%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-03-16 20:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.18% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.25% | 0.7% | 2026-03-16 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.18% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.25% | 0.7% | 2026-03-16 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.18% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.25% | 0.7% | 2026-03-16 21:25 |
| Matchbook | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.18% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.25% | 0.7% | 2026-03-16 21:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.07% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.84% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10% | 1.8% | 2026-03-16 21:20 |
| Kalshi | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.77% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.28% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95% | 3.0% | 2026-03-16 21:25 |