La scuola delle quote

San Lorenzo v Defensa y Justicia

Inizio: 2026-03-16 21:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

37 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

San Lorenzo (Casa)

Previsione 42.27%2.37quota equa
EV -2.79%
Vantaggio -1.21%
Kelly -2.15%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.09%42.36%42.18%43.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.902.172.182.3052.63%46.05%45.87%43.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Defensa y Justicia (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.94%4.18quota equa
EV +5.11%
Vantaggio +1.16%
Kelly +1.51%
Crescita +0.077%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.39

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.04%23.87%24.12%26.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.853.804.3929.41%25.98%26.32%22.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 33.79%2.96quota equa
EV -0.315%
Vantaggio -0.107%
Kelly -0.162%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.91%33.77%33.70%35.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.452.742.752.9540.82%36.44%36.36%33.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -5.75%E -2.58%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 22.04%EV +5.11%E +1.16%K +1.51%G +0.077%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.56%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-16 21:15
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.83%EV -7.44%E -3.40%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.48%EV +2.24%E +0.524%K +0.685%G +0.015%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.68%EV -3.69%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-16 21:25
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 42.43%EV -5.33%E -2.38%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.36%EV +1.76%E +0.414%K +0.542%G +0.010%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.20%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-16 21:00
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 42.43%EV -5.33%E -2.38%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.36%EV +1.76%E +0.414%K +0.542%G +0.010%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.20%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-16 21:00
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.60%EV -9.13%E -4.25%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV +0.563%E +0.134%K +0.176%G +0.001%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-16 20:54
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV +0.563%E +0.134%K +0.176%G +0.001%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.27%EV -10.45%E -3.94%K -6.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-16 21:24
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.32%EV -9.13%E -4.25%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV +0.563%E +0.134%K +0.176%G +0.001%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-16 20:55
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -1.83%E -0.447%K -0.591%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-16 20:35
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -8.28%E -3.82%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -1.83%E -0.447%K -0.591%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.28%EV -8.09%E -2.97%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-16 21:24
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -9.13%E -4.25%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-16 21:19
BetAnything2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -9.13%E -4.25%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-16 21:20
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.98%EV -11.24%E -5.35%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.45%EV -11.47%E -4.38%K -7.08%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-16 20:55
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.90%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.16%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-16 21:20
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.90%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.16%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-16 21:18
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-16 20:35
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-16 20:35
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -11.24%E -5.35%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.95%EV -6.62%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -12.14%E -4.67%K -7.59%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-16 20:55
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 41.09%EV -4.90%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -7.82%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -10.45%E -3.94%K -6.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-16 21:20
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.45%EV -2.79%E -1.21%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV -3.69%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-16 21:25
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -4.90%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 20:34
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.04%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-16 17:20
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 41.78%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-16 12:55
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%EV -9.13%E -4.25%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-16 21:25
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.90%EV -11.24%E -5.35%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -11.41%E -3.08%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.76%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-16 21:25
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.37%EV -11.24%E -5.35%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.05%EV -11.41%E -3.08%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.58%EV -10.45%E -3.94%K -6.34%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-16 21:05
PMU (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 43.69%EV -19.70%E -10.37%K -21.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.43%EV -11.41%E -3.08%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 33.88%EV -17.21%E -7.02%K -11.87%G +0.000%20.5%2026-03-16 20:55
Betclic (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.19%EV -10.40%E -4.90%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.31%EV -11.89%E -3.23%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 33.50%EV -9.78%E -3.66%K -5.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-16 21:03
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 42.25%EV -5.75%E -2.58%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -12.61%E -3.45%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -0.315%E -0.107%K -0.162%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-16 21:20
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -9.13%E -4.25%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -12.61%E -3.45%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-16 20:35
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 42.91%EV -14.62%E -7.24%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.75%EV -12.61%E -3.45%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.34%EV -12.14%E -4.67%K -7.59%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-16 20:40
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.90%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -0.315%E -0.107%K -0.162%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-16 21:25
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.90%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -0.315%E -0.107%K -0.162%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-16 21:25
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.80%EV -11.24%E -5.35%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -16.20%E -4.63%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -10.45%E -3.94%K -6.34%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-16 20:35
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.72%EV -7.86%E -3.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -17.39%E -5.04%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -3.69%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-16 21:25
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.72%EV -7.86%E -3.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -17.39%E -5.04%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -3.69%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-16 21:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.13%E -4.25%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -18.59%E -5.47%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-16 21:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.39%EV -11.24%E -5.35%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.56%EV -18.59%E -5.47%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.05%EV -11.13%E -4.23%K -6.83%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-16 20:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.18%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.25%0.7%2026-03-16 21:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.18%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.25%0.7%2026-03-16 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.18%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.25%0.7%2026-03-16 21:25
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.18%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.25%0.7%2026-03-16 21:25
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.07%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.84%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10%1.8%2026-03-16 21:20
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 42.77%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.28%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%3.0%2026-03-16 21:25