The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

San Lorenzo v Atlético Huracán

Kickoff: 2026-08-09 18:00 UTC

Final: San Lorenzo 0–2 Atlético Huracán

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Lorenzo (Local)

Prediction 34.21%2.92fair odd
EV -2.50%
Edge -0.877%
Kelly -1.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.83%34.18%34.27%35.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.712.702.8540.00%36.93%37.04%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlético Huracán (Visit)

Prediction 31.49%3.18fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -0.562%
Kelly -0.826%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.68%31.50%31.41%32.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.942.933.1235.71%34.04%34.13%32.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 34.30%2.92fair odd
EV +4.61%
Edge +1.51%
Kelly +2.25%
Growth +0.104%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.48%34.32%34.32%36.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.702.703.0540.00%37.08%37.04%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Lorenzo (Local): 34.21%; Atlético Huracán (Visit): 31.49%; Draw: 34.30%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.92. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.61%.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.96%EV -8.66%E -3.24%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.55%EV -7.11%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.48%EV +4.61%E +1.51%K +2.25%G +0.104%4.1%2026-08-09 17:55
Pinnacle🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.30%EV -3.52%E -1.25%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%EV -3.01%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.30%EV -3.28%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-09 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.51%EV -4.21%E -1.50%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.97%EV -1.75%E -0.562%K -0.826%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.51%EV -3.96%E -1.42%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-09 17:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.51%EV -4.21%E -1.50%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.97%EV -1.75%E -0.562%K -0.826%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.51%EV -3.96%E -1.42%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-09 17:15
NordicBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.35%EV -4.89%E -1.76%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -3.96%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.35%EV -4.65%E -1.67%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 17:50
Betsson🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.35%EV -4.89%E -1.76%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -3.96%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.35%EV -4.65%E -1.67%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 17:50
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.49%EV -2.50%E -0.877%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.81%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.70%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 17:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -5.92%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 16:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -5.92%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 16:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.28%EV -6.95%E -2.55%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.82%EV -7.74%E -2.64%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.90%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 17:54
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -7.63%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 17:50
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -5.92%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -11.83%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -4.21%E -1.50%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 17:55
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -4.21%E -1.50%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 17:55
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -4.21%E -1.50%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 16:55
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -7.63%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -3.96%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 17:45
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -5.92%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.11%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 17:48
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.63%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 17:44
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.63%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 16:30
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -5.92%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 17:54
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -5.92%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 17:54
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.63%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 17:45
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -7.63%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -10.25%E -3.60%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-09 17:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.35%EV -9.34%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.94%EV -10.25%E -3.60%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 16:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.52%EV -7.63%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -11.83%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -9.11%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-09 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -11.05%E -4.25%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.83%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.72%EV -9.11%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 16:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -14.47%E -5.79%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.63%EV -9.11%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-09 17:34
NetBet (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 34.63%EV -12.08%E -4.70%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.79%EV -11.83%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.58%EV -9.11%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-09 17:50
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.58%EV -5.92%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.30%EV -7.11%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.11%EV -9.79%E -3.72%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 17:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.40%EV -10.02%E -3.81%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.20%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.40%EV -9.79%E -3.72%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-09 17:45
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -10.37%E -3.96%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -10.14%E -3.87%K -6.26%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-09 17:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 34.77%EV -12.08%E -4.70%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.13%EV -9.62%E -3.35%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.10%EV -10.14%E -3.87%K -6.26%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 17:34
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.45%EV -11.05%E -4.25%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.10%EV -9.31%E -3.23%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.45%EV -10.82%E -4.16%K -6.76%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-09 17:45
BetAnything🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 32.83%EV -3.52%E -1.25%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 12:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.85%EV -10.02%E -3.81%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.24%EV -10.25%E -3.60%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.91%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 17:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.85%EV -10.02%E -3.81%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.24%EV -10.25%E -3.60%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.91%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -11.05%E -4.25%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.28%EV -11.83%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.03%EV -14.25%E -5.70%K -9.50%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-09 17:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.92%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.63%1.0%2026-08-09 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.92%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.63%1.0%2026-08-09 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.92%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.63%1.0%2026-08-09 17:55
Kalshi◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.29%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.43%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.29%2.0%2026-08-09 17:45
Smarkets◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.22%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.22%2.2%2026-08-09 17:55

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.