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San Lorenzo v Atlético Huracán
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
San Lorenzo (Local)
Predicción 34.21%2.92momio equitativo
EV -2.50%
Ventaja -0.877%
Kelly -1.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.83%34.18%34.27%35.96%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.712.702.8540.00%36.93%37.04%35.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Atlético Huracán (Visitante)
Predicción 31.49%3.18momio equitativo
EV -1.75%
Ventaja -0.562%
Kelly -0.826%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.68%31.50%31.41%32.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.802.942.933.1235.71%34.04%34.13%32.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 34.30%2.92momio equitativo
EV +4.61%
Ventaja +1.51%
Kelly +2.25%
Crecimiento +0.104%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.48%34.32%34.32%36.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.702.703.0540.00%37.08%37.04%32.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: San Lorenzo (Local): 34.21%; Atlético Huracán (Visitante): 31.49%; Empate: 34.30%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.92. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.05, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.61%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.96%EV -8.66%E -3.24%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.55%EV -7.11%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.48%EV +4.61%E +1.51%K +2.25%G +0.104% | 4.1% | 2026-08-09 17:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.30%EV -3.52%E -1.25%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%EV -3.01%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.30%EV -3.28%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-09 17:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.51%EV -4.21%E -1.50%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.97%EV -1.75%E -0.562%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.51%EV -3.96%E -1.42%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-09 17:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.51%EV -4.21%E -1.50%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.97%EV -1.75%E -0.562%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.51%EV -3.96%E -1.42%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-09 17:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.35%EV -4.89%E -1.76%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -3.96%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.35%EV -4.65%E -1.67%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.35%EV -4.89%E -1.76%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -3.96%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.35%EV -4.65%E -1.67%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 17:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.49%EV -2.50%E -0.877%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.81%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.70%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 17:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -5.92%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -5.92%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.28%EV -6.95%E -2.55%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.82%EV -7.74%E -2.64%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.90%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 17:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -7.63%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-09 17:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -5.92%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -11.83%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -4.21%E -1.50%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 17:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -4.21%E -1.50%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 17:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -4.21%E -1.50%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 16:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -7.63%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -3.96%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 17:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -5.92%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.11%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 17:48 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.63%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 17:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.63%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -5.92%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-09 17:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -5.92%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-09 17:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.63%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-09 17:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -7.63%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -10.25%E -3.60%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-09 17:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.35%EV -9.34%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.94%EV -10.25%E -3.60%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.52%EV -7.63%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -11.83%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -9.11%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -11.05%E -4.25%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.83%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.72%EV -9.11%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -14.47%E -5.79%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.63%EV -9.11%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 34.63%EV -12.08%E -4.70%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.79%EV -11.83%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.58%EV -9.11%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-09 17:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.58%EV -5.92%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.30%EV -7.11%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.11%EV -9.79%E -3.72%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.40%EV -10.02%E -3.81%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.20%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.40%EV -9.79%E -3.72%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-09 17:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -10.37%E -3.96%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -10.14%E -3.87%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-09 17:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 34.77%EV -12.08%E -4.70%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.13%EV -9.62%E -3.35%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.10%EV -10.14%E -3.87%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-09 17:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.45%EV -11.05%E -4.25%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.10%EV -9.31%E -3.23%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.45%EV -10.82%E -4.16%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-09 17:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.83%EV -3.52%E -1.25%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 12:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.85%EV -10.02%E -3.81%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.24%EV -10.25%E -3.60%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.91%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-09 17:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.85%EV -10.02%E -3.81%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.24%EV -10.25%E -3.60%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.91%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-09 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -11.05%E -4.25%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.28%EV -11.83%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.03%EV -14.25%E -5.70%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-09 17:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.92% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.63% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.92% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.63% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.92% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.63% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 17:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.29% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.43% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.29% | 2.0% | 2026-08-09 17:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.22% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.22% | 2.2% | 2026-08-09 17:55 |