Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

San Lorenzo v Atlético Huracán

Inizio: 2026-08-09 18:00 UTC

Finale: San Lorenzo 0–2 Atlético Huracán

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

37 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

San Lorenzo (Casa)

Previsione 34.21%2.92quota equa
EV -2.50%
Vantaggio -0.877%
Kelly -1.35%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.83%34.18%34.27%35.96%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.712.702.8540.00%36.93%37.04%35.09%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Atlético Huracán (Trasferta)

Previsione 31.49%3.18quota equa
EV -1.75%
Vantaggio -0.562%
Kelly -0.826%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.12

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.68%31.50%31.41%32.93%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.802.942.933.1235.71%34.04%34.13%32.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 34.30%2.92quota equa
EV +4.61%
Vantaggio +1.51%
Kelly +2.25%
Crescita +0.104%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.48%34.32%34.32%36.31%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.702.703.0540.00%37.08%37.04%32.79%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: San Lorenzo (Casa): 34.21%; Atlético Huracán (Trasferta): 31.49%; Pareggio: 34.30%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.92. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 3.05, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +4.61%.

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.96%EV -8.66%E -3.24%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.55%EV -7.11%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.48%EV +4.61%E +1.51%K +2.25%G +0.104%4.1%2026-08-09 17:55
Pinnacle🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.30%EV -3.52%E -1.25%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%EV -3.01%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.30%EV -3.28%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-09 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.51%EV -4.21%E -1.50%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.97%EV -1.75%E -0.562%K -0.826%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.51%EV -3.96%E -1.42%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-09 17:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.51%EV -4.21%E -1.50%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.97%EV -1.75%E -0.562%K -0.826%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.51%EV -3.96%E -1.42%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-09 17:15
NordicBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.35%EV -4.89%E -1.76%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -3.96%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.35%EV -4.65%E -1.67%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 17:50
Betsson🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.35%EV -4.89%E -1.76%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -3.96%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.35%EV -4.65%E -1.67%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 17:50
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.49%EV -2.50%E -0.877%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.81%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.70%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 17:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -5.92%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 16:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -5.92%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 16:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.28%EV -6.95%E -2.55%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.82%EV -7.74%E -2.64%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.90%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 17:54
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -7.63%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 17:50
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -5.92%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -11.83%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -4.21%E -1.50%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 17:55
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -4.21%E -1.50%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 17:55
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -4.21%E -1.50%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 16:55
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -7.63%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -3.96%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 17:45
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -5.92%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.11%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 17:48
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.63%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 17:44
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.63%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 16:30
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -5.92%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 17:54
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -5.92%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 17:54
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.63%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 17:45
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -7.63%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -10.25%E -3.60%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-09 17:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.35%EV -9.34%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.94%EV -10.25%E -3.60%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 16:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.52%EV -7.63%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -11.83%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -9.11%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-09 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -11.05%E -4.25%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.83%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.72%EV -9.11%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 16:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -14.47%E -5.79%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.63%EV -9.11%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-09 17:34
NetBet (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 34.63%EV -12.08%E -4.70%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.79%EV -11.83%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.58%EV -9.11%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-09 17:50
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.58%EV -5.92%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.30%EV -7.11%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.11%EV -9.79%E -3.72%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 17:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.40%EV -10.02%E -3.81%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.20%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.40%EV -9.79%E -3.72%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-09 17:45
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -10.37%E -3.96%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -10.14%E -3.87%K -6.26%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-09 17:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 34.77%EV -12.08%E -4.70%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.13%EV -9.62%E -3.35%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.10%EV -10.14%E -3.87%K -6.26%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 17:34
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.45%EV -11.05%E -4.25%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.10%EV -9.31%E -3.23%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.45%EV -10.82%E -4.16%K -6.76%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-09 17:45
BetAnything🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 32.83%EV -3.52%E -1.25%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 12:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.85%EV -10.02%E -3.81%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.24%EV -10.25%E -3.60%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.91%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 17:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.85%EV -10.02%E -3.81%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.24%EV -10.25%E -3.60%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.91%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -11.05%E -4.25%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.28%EV -11.83%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.03%EV -14.25%E -5.70%K -9.50%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-09 17:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.92%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.63%1.0%2026-08-09 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.92%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.63%1.0%2026-08-09 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.92%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.63%1.0%2026-08-09 17:55
Kalshi◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.29%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.43%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.29%2.0%2026-08-09 17:45
Smarkets◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.22%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.22%2.2%2026-08-09 17:55