Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

San Lorenzo v Atlético Huracán

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-09 18:00 UTC

Score final : San Lorenzo 0–2 Atlético Huracán

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

San Lorenzo (Local)

Prévision 34.21%2.92cote équitable
EV -2.50%
Avantage -0.877%
Kelly -1.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.83%34.18%34.27%35.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.712.702.8540.00%36.93%37.04%35.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Atlético Huracán (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.49%3.18cote équitable
EV -1.75%
Avantage -0.562%
Kelly -0.826%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.68%31.50%31.41%32.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.802.942.933.1235.71%34.04%34.13%32.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 34.30%2.92cote équitable
EV +4.61%
Avantage +1.51%
Kelly +2.25%
Croissance +0.104%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.48%34.32%34.32%36.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.702.703.0540.00%37.08%37.04%32.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : San Lorenzo (Local) : 34.21% ; Atlético Huracán (Visiteur) : 31.49% ; Match nul : 34.30%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.92. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.05, soit une espérance positive de +4.61%.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.96%EV -8.66%E -3.24%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.55%EV -7.11%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.48%EV +4.61%E +1.51%K +2.25%G +0.104%4.1%2026-08-09 17:55
Pinnacle🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.30%EV -3.52%E -1.25%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%EV -3.01%E -0.978%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.30%EV -3.28%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-09 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.51%EV -4.21%E -1.50%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.97%EV -1.75%E -0.562%K -0.826%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.51%EV -3.96%E -1.42%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-09 17:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.51%EV -4.21%E -1.50%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.97%EV -1.75%E -0.562%K -0.826%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.51%EV -3.96%E -1.42%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-09 17:15
NordicBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.35%EV -4.89%E -1.76%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -3.96%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.35%EV -4.65%E -1.67%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 17:50
Betsson🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.35%EV -4.89%E -1.76%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -3.96%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.35%EV -4.65%E -1.67%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 17:50
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.49%EV -2.50%E -0.877%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.81%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.70%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 17:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -5.92%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 16:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -5.92%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 16:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.28%EV -6.95%E -2.55%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.82%EV -7.74%E -2.64%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.90%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 17:54
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -7.63%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 17:50
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -5.92%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -11.83%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -4.21%E -1.50%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 17:55
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -4.21%E -1.50%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 17:55
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -4.21%E -1.50%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 16:55
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -7.63%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -3.96%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 17:45
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -5.92%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.11%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 17:48
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.63%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 17:44
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.63%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 16:30
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -5.92%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 17:54
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -5.92%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 17:54
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.63%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 17:45
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -7.63%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -10.25%E -3.60%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-09 17:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.35%EV -9.34%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.94%EV -10.25%E -3.60%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 16:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.52%EV -7.63%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -11.83%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -9.11%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-09 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -11.05%E -4.25%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.83%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.72%EV -9.11%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 16:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -14.47%E -5.79%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.63%EV -9.11%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-09 17:34
NetBet (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 34.63%EV -12.08%E -4.70%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.79%EV -11.83%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.58%EV -9.11%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-09 17:50
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.58%EV -5.92%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.30%EV -7.11%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.11%EV -9.79%E -3.72%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 17:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.40%EV -10.02%E -3.81%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.20%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.40%EV -9.79%E -3.72%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-09 17:45
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -10.37%E -3.96%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -10.14%E -3.87%K -6.26%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-09 17:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 34.77%EV -12.08%E -4.70%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.13%EV -9.62%E -3.35%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.10%EV -10.14%E -3.87%K -6.26%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 17:34
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.45%EV -11.05%E -4.25%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.10%EV -9.31%E -3.23%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.45%EV -10.82%E -4.16%K -6.76%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-09 17:45
BetAnything🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 32.83%EV -3.52%E -1.25%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 12:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.85%EV -10.02%E -3.81%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.24%EV -10.25%E -3.60%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.91%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 17:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.85%EV -10.02%E -3.81%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.24%EV -10.25%E -3.60%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.91%EV -12.54%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -11.05%E -4.25%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.28%EV -11.83%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.03%EV -14.25%E -5.70%K -9.50%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-09 17:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.92%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.63%1.0%2026-08-09 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.92%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.63%1.0%2026-08-09 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.92%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.63%1.0%2026-08-09 17:55
Kalshi◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.29%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.43%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.29%2.0%2026-08-09 17:45
Smarkets◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.22%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.22%2.2%2026-08-09 17:55