Language:English
Rosario Central v Independiente
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rosario Central (Local)
Prediction 46.33%2.16fair odd
EV -1.78%
Edge -0.842%
Kelly -1.59%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.51%46.30%46.28%48.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.012.002.1253.19%49.74%50.00%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Independiente (Visit)
Prediction 22.81%4.38fair odd
EV +3.77%
Edge +0.829%
Kelly +1.06%
Growth +0.040%
assuming max odds 4.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.94%22.82%22.91%25.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.973.904.5528.57%25.22%25.64%21.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.86%3.24fair odd
EV -2.78%
Edge -0.881%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.01%30.88%30.81%31.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.993.003.1536.36%33.40%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rosario Central (Local): 46.33%; Independiente (Visit): 22.81%; Draw: 30.86%. For Independiente (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.38. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.77%.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.97%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.08%EV +3.77%E +0.829%K +1.06%G +0.040% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.95%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.12%EV -8.27%E -4.18%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.94%EV +3.77%E +0.829%K +1.06%G +0.040% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -4.94%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.12%EV -8.27%E -4.18%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.94%EV +3.77%E +0.829%K +1.06%G +0.040% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -4.94%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.67%EV -4.10%E -1.98%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.96%EV +0.352%E +0.080%K +0.104%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.37%EV -4.94%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 17:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -9.66%E -4.95%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -1.24%E -0.287%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-10 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -1.93%E -0.449%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.66%EV -6.42%E -3.18%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -4.21%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -5.86%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.21%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%EV -5.86%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.66%E -4.95%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -4.21%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.57%EV -5.35%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 17:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -6.49%E -1.58%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 17:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -6.49%E -1.58%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 17:52 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -6.49%E -1.58%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -8.77%E -2.19%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -5.86%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.77%E -2.19%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 17:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.77%E -2.19%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 17:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.77%E -2.19%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -2.71%E -1.29%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -11.05%E -2.83%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -11.05%E -2.83%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 17:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -11.05%E -2.83%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 17:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.29%EV -10.59%E -5.49%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -11.05%E -2.83%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.81%EV -10.49%E -3.62%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-10 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.22%EV -8.27%E -4.18%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -12.19%E -3.17%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -5.86%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.03%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -13.33%E -3.51%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.27%EV -11.11%E -3.86%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-10 17:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.63%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.33%E -3.51%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.88%EV -13.58%E -4.85%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-10 17:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.27%EV -12.90%E -6.86%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.89%EV -13.33%E -3.51%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.84%EV -12.96%E -4.60%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.68%EV -1.78%E -0.842%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -14.47%E -3.86%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.07%EV -2.78%E -0.881%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 17:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.68%EV -1.78%E -0.842%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -14.47%E -3.86%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.07%EV -2.78%E -0.881%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 17:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -2.71%E -1.29%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -14.47%E -3.86%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 17:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -14.47%E -3.86%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 17:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -14.47%E -3.86%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 17:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.28%EV -12.90%E -6.86%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.20%EV -14.47%E -3.86%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -12.04%E -4.22%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.08%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -15.61%E -4.22%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-10 17:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.85%EV -11.05%E -5.76%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.79%EV -15.61%E -4.22%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -10.49%E -3.62%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.51%EV -5.49%E -2.69%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -17.89%E -4.97%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-10 17:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.51%EV -5.49%E -2.69%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -17.89%E -4.97%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-10 17:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.60%EV -6.42%E -3.18%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -19.03%E -5.36%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.64%EV -11.51%E -6.03%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.36%EV -20.17%E -5.76%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -15.12%E -5.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-05-10 17:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-05-10 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.35% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.68% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.97% | 2.5% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.57% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.33% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.10% | 3.0% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |