La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Rosario Central v Independiente
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Rosario Central (Local)
Predicción 46.33%2.16momio equitativo
EV -1.78%
Ventaja -0.842%
Kelly -1.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.51%46.30%46.28%48.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.882.012.002.1253.19%49.74%50.00%47.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Independiente (Visitante)
Predicción 22.81%4.38momio equitativo
EV +3.77%
Ventaja +0.829%
Kelly +1.06%
Crecimiento +0.040%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.94%22.82%22.91%25.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.973.904.5528.57%25.22%25.64%21.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.86%3.24momio equitativo
EV -2.78%
Ventaja -0.881%
Kelly -1.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.01%30.88%30.81%31.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.993.003.1536.36%33.40%33.33%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.97%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.08%EV +3.77%E +0.829%K +1.06%G +0.040% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.95%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.12%EV -8.27%E -4.18%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.94%EV +3.77%E +0.829%K +1.06%G +0.040% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -4.94%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.12%EV -8.27%E -4.18%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.94%EV +3.77%E +0.829%K +1.06%G +0.040% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -4.94%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| Pinnacle | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.67%EV -4.10%E -1.98%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.96%EV +0.352%E +0.080%K +0.104%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.37%EV -4.94%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 17:49 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -9.66%E -4.95%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -1.24%E -0.287%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-10 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -1.93%E -0.449%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.66%EV -6.42%E -3.18%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -4.21%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -5.86%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.21%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%EV -5.86%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.66%E -4.95%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -4.21%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| 1xBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.57%EV -5.35%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 17:49 |
| FanDuel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -6.49%E -1.58%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 17:44 |
| Bovada | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -6.49%E -1.58%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 17:52 |
| PlayUp | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -6.49%E -1.58%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -8.77%E -2.19%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -5.86%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.77%E -2.19%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 17:44 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.77%E -2.19%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 17:49 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.77%E -2.19%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| NordicBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -2.71%E -1.29%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -11.05%E -2.83%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -11.05%E -2.83%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 17:49 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -11.05%E -2.83%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 17:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.29%EV -10.59%E -5.49%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -11.05%E -2.83%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.81%EV -10.49%E -3.62%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-10 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.22%EV -8.27%E -4.18%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -12.19%E -3.17%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -5.86%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.03%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -13.33%E -3.51%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.27%EV -11.11%E -3.86%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-10 17:45 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.63%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.33%E -3.51%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.88%EV -13.58%E -4.85%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-10 17:44 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.27%EV -12.90%E -6.86%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.89%EV -13.33%E -3.51%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.84%EV -12.96%E -4.60%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.68%EV -1.78%E -0.842%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -14.47%E -3.86%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.07%EV -2.78%E -0.881%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 17:44 |
| Unibet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.68%EV -1.78%E -0.842%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -14.47%E -3.86%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.07%EV -2.78%E -0.881%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 17:44 |
| BetRivers | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -2.71%E -1.29%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -14.47%E -3.86%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 17:45 |
| Bet Right | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -14.47%E -3.86%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 17:49 |
| betfred_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -14.47%E -3.86%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 17:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.28%EV -12.90%E -6.86%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.20%EV -14.47%E -3.86%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -12.04%E -4.22%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.08%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -15.61%E -4.22%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-10 17:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.85%EV -11.05%E -5.76%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.79%EV -15.61%E -4.22%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -10.49%E -3.62%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.51%EV -5.49%E -2.69%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -17.89%E -4.97%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-10 17:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.51%EV -5.49%E -2.69%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -17.89%E -4.97%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-10 17:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.60%EV -6.42%E -3.18%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -19.03%E -5.36%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.64%EV -11.51%E -6.03%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.36%EV -20.17%E -5.76%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -15.12%E -5.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-05-10 17:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-05-10 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| Matchbook | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| Smarkets | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.35% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.68% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.97% | 2.5% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| Kalshi | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.57% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.33% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.10% | 3.0% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |