A Escola das Odds

Rosario Central v Independiente

Início: 2026-05-10 18:00 UTC

Final: Rosario Central 3–1 Independiente

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

37 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Rosario Central (Local)

Previsão 46.33%2.16odd justa
EV -1.78%
Vantagem -0.842%
Kelly -1.59%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.51%46.30%46.28%48.12%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.882.012.002.1253.19%49.74%50.00%47.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Independiente (Visitante)

Previsão 22.81%4.38odd justa
EV +3.77%
Vantagem +0.829%
Kelly +1.06%
Crescimento +0.040%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.94%22.82%22.91%25.38%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.503.973.904.5528.57%25.22%25.64%21.98%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 30.86%3.24odd justa
EV -2.78%
Vantagem -0.881%
Kelly -1.29%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.01%30.88%30.81%31.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.752.993.003.1536.36%33.40%33.33%31.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (37 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 47.97%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.08%EV +3.77%E +0.829%K +1.06%G +0.040%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.95%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-10 17:54
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.12%EV -8.27%E -4.18%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.94%EV +3.77%E +0.829%K +1.06%G +0.040%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -4.94%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 17:54
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.12%EV -8.27%E -4.18%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.94%EV +3.77%E +0.829%K +1.06%G +0.040%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -4.94%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 17:54
Pinnacle2.07I 48.31%NM 46.67%EV -4.10%E -1.98%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.96%EV +0.352%E +0.080%K +0.104%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.37%EV -4.94%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-10 17:49
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -9.66%E -4.95%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -1.24%E -0.287%K -0.374%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 17:55
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -1.93%E -0.449%K -0.584%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 17:54
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.66%EV -6.42%E -3.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -4.21%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -5.86%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 17:54
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.21%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%EV -5.86%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 17:54
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.66%E -4.95%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -4.21%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 17:54
1xBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.57%EV -5.35%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 17:49
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -6.49%E -1.58%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 17:44
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -6.49%E -1.58%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 17:52
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -6.49%E -1.58%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 17:54
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -8.77%E -2.19%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -5.86%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 17:54
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.77%E -2.19%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 17:44
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.77%E -2.19%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 17:49
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.77%E -2.19%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 17:54
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -2.71%E -1.29%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -11.05%E -2.83%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -11.05%E -2.83%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 17:49
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -11.05%E -2.83%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 17:49
Betclic (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.29%EV -10.59%E -5.49%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -11.05%E -2.83%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.81%EV -10.49%E -3.62%K -5.52%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-10 17:55
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.22%EV -8.27%E -4.18%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -12.19%E -3.17%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -5.86%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-10 17:54
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.03%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -13.33%E -3.51%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.27%EV -11.11%E -3.86%K -5.91%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-10 17:45
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.63%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.33%E -3.51%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.88%EV -13.58%E -4.85%K -7.54%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-10 17:44
NetBet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.27%EV -12.90%E -6.86%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.89%EV -13.33%E -3.51%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.84%EV -12.96%E -4.60%K -7.12%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-10 17:54
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.68%EV -1.78%E -0.842%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -14.47%E -3.86%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.07%EV -2.78%E -0.881%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 17:44
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.68%EV -1.78%E -0.842%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -14.47%E -3.86%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.07%EV -2.78%E -0.881%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 17:44
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -2.71%E -1.29%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -14.47%E -3.86%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 17:45
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -14.47%E -3.86%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 17:49
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -14.47%E -3.86%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 17:49
Unibet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.28%EV -12.90%E -6.86%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.20%EV -14.47%E -3.86%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -12.04%E -4.22%K -6.51%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-10 17:54
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.08%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -15.61%E -4.22%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-10 17:49
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.85%EV -11.05%E -5.76%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.79%EV -15.61%E -4.22%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -10.49%E -3.62%K -5.52%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-10 17:54
LiveScore Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.51%EV -5.49%E -2.69%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -17.89%E -4.97%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-10 17:44
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.51%EV -5.49%E -2.69%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -17.89%E -4.97%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-10 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.60%EV -6.42%E -3.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -19.03%E -5.36%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-10 17:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.64%EV -11.51%E -6.03%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.36%EV -20.17%E -5.76%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -15.12%E -5.50%K -8.64%G +0.000%17.3%2026-05-10 17:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%1.1%2026-05-10 17:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%1.1%2026-05-10 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%1.1%2026-05-10 17:54
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%1.1%2026-05-10 17:54
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.35%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.68%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.97%2.5%2026-05-10 17:54
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 47.57%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.33%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.10%3.0%2026-05-10 17:54