L’École des cotesRosario Central v Independiente
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Rosario Central (Local)
Prévision 46.33%2.16cote équitable
EV -1.78%
Avantage -0.842%
Kelly -1.59%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.12
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.51%46.30%46.28%48.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.882.012.002.1253.19%49.74%50.00%47.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Independiente (Visiteur)
Prévision 22.81%4.38cote équitable
EV +3.77%
Avantage +0.829%
Kelly +1.06%
Croissance +0.040%
avec la cote maximale 4.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.94%22.82%22.91%25.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.973.904.5528.57%25.22%25.64%21.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 30.86%3.24cote équitable
EV -2.78%
Avantage -0.881%
Kelly -1.29%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.15
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.01%30.88%30.81%31.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.993.003.1536.36%33.40%33.33%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.97%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.08%EV +3.77%E +0.829%K +1.06%G +0.040% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.95%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.12%EV -8.27%E -4.18%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.94%EV +3.77%E +0.829%K +1.06%G +0.040% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -4.94%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.12%EV -8.27%E -4.18%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.94%EV +3.77%E +0.829%K +1.06%G +0.040% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -4.94%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| Pinnacle | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.67%EV -4.10%E -1.98%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.96%EV +0.352%E +0.080%K +0.104%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.37%EV -4.94%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 17:49 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -9.66%E -4.95%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -1.24%E -0.287%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-10 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -1.93%E -0.449%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.66%EV -6.42%E -3.18%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -4.21%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -5.86%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.21%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%EV -5.86%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.66%E -4.95%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -4.21%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| 1xBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.57%EV -5.35%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 17:49 |
| FanDuel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -6.49%E -1.58%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 17:44 |
| Bovada | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -6.49%E -1.58%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 17:52 |
| PlayUp | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -6.49%E -1.58%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -8.77%E -2.19%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -5.86%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.77%E -2.19%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 17:44 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.77%E -2.19%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 17:49 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.77%E -2.19%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| NordicBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -2.71%E -1.29%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -11.05%E -2.83%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -11.05%E -2.83%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 17:49 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -11.05%E -2.83%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 17:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.29%EV -10.59%E -5.49%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -11.05%E -2.83%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.81%EV -10.49%E -3.62%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-10 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.22%EV -8.27%E -4.18%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -12.19%E -3.17%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -5.86%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.03%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -13.33%E -3.51%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.27%EV -11.11%E -3.86%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-10 17:45 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.63%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.33%E -3.51%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.88%EV -13.58%E -4.85%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-10 17:44 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.27%EV -12.90%E -6.86%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.89%EV -13.33%E -3.51%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.84%EV -12.96%E -4.60%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.68%EV -1.78%E -0.842%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -14.47%E -3.86%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.07%EV -2.78%E -0.881%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 17:44 |
| Unibet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.68%EV -1.78%E -0.842%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -14.47%E -3.86%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.07%EV -2.78%E -0.881%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 17:44 |
| BetRivers | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -2.71%E -1.29%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -14.47%E -3.86%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 17:45 |
| Bet Right | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -14.47%E -3.86%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 17:49 |
| betfred_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -5.03%E -2.45%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -14.47%E -3.86%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 17:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.28%EV -12.90%E -6.86%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.20%EV -14.47%E -3.86%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -12.04%E -4.22%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.08%EV -7.34%E -3.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -15.61%E -4.22%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-10 17:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.85%EV -11.05%E -5.76%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.79%EV -15.61%E -4.22%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -10.49%E -3.62%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.51%EV -5.49%E -2.69%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -17.89%E -4.97%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-10 17:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.51%EV -5.49%E -2.69%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -17.89%E -4.97%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-10 17:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.60%EV -6.42%E -3.18%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -19.03%E -5.36%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.64%EV -11.51%E -6.03%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.36%EV -20.17%E -5.76%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -15.12%E -5.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-05-10 17:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-05-10 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| Matchbook | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| Smarkets | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.35% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.68% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.97% | 2.5% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |
| Kalshi | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.57% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.33% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.10% | 3.0% | 2026-05-10 17:54 |