Language:English
Rosario Central v Gimnasia La Plata
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rosario Central (Local)
Prediction 58.51%1.71fair odd
EV -2.87%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -4.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.03%58.41%58.56%60.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.591.601.6666.67%62.91%62.50%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Gimnasia La Plata (Visit)
Prediction 16.50%6.06fair odd
EV +4.76%
Edge +0.749%
Kelly +0.889%
Growth +0.042%
assuming max odds 6.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.89%16.43%16.45%17.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.615.556.3520.00%17.81%18.02%15.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.99%4.00fair odd
EV -2.04%
Edge -0.521%
Kelly -0.700%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.90%25.17%24.98%27.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.643.633.9230.30%27.45%27.59%25.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rosario Central (Local): 58.51%; Gimnasia La Plata (Visit): 16.50%; Draw: 24.99%. For Gimnasia La Plata (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.06. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.76%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.39%EV -6.96%E -4.38%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 15.12%EV +4.76%E +0.749%K +0.889%G +0.042% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.49%EV -2.04%E -0.521%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-29 19:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.21%E -3.21%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.89%EV +3.93%E +0.624%K +0.742%G +0.029% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -13.79%E -4.00%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 19:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.21%E -3.21%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.89%EV +3.93%E +0.624%K +0.742%G +0.029% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -13.79%E -4.00%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 19:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.26%EV -4.62%E -2.84%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 6.12I 16.34%NM 15.78%EV +0.963%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.96%EV -3.29%E -0.851%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-29 19:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.26%EV -4.62%E -2.84%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 6.12I 16.34%NM 15.78%EV +0.963%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.96%EV -3.29%E -0.851%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-29 19:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.26%EV -4.62%E -2.84%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 6.12I 16.34%NM 15.78%EV +0.963%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.96%EV -3.29%E -0.851%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-29 19:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.41%EV -5.21%E -3.21%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 6.12I 16.34%NM 15.73%EV +0.963%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.87%EV -3.29%E -0.851%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-29 19:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -1.02%E -0.169%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 19:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.20%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.85%EV -2.67%E -0.452%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 19:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -8.72%E -5.59%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.79%EV -2.67%E -0.452%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 19:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.55%EV -5.21%E -3.21%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 19:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.70%EV -5.79%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.87%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 19:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.50%EV -5.79%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.38%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 19:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.85%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 19:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.15%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 19:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 19:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.68%EV -6.96%E -4.38%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV -5.97%E -1.05%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.95%EV -6.54%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 19:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.10%EV -5.21%E -3.21%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV -7.62%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 19:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.40%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -7.62%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 19:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.52%EV -2.87%E -1.73%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -9.27%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -11.29%E -3.18%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 19:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.52%EV -2.87%E -1.73%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -9.27%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -11.29%E -3.18%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 19:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -9.27%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 19:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.37%EV -6.96%E -4.38%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -9.27%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-29 19:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -9.27%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 19:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -10.47%E -6.85%K -19.76%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -9.27%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-29 19:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -10.47%E -6.85%K -19.76%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -9.27%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-29 19:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.03%EV -4.04%E -2.46%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -12.56%E -2.37%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -13.79%E -4.00%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 19:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.97%EV -9.89%E -6.42%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.13%EV -12.56%E -2.37%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-29 19:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -5.79%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -13.39%E -2.55%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -11.29%E -3.18%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 19:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -13.39%E -2.55%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-29 19:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.90%EV -9.89%E -6.42%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -13.39%E -2.55%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.12%EV -11.29%E -3.18%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-29 19:48 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.85%EV -10.47%E -6.85%K -19.76%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.86%EV -13.39%E -2.55%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.29%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-29 19:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.55%EV -10.47%E -6.85%K -19.76%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.93%EV -14.21%E -2.73%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.52%EV -13.79%E -4.00%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-29 19:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.24%EV -12.23%E -8.15%K -24.46%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.80%EV -14.21%E -2.73%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-29 19:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.13%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.39%EV -15.86%E -3.11%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -16.29%E -4.86%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-29 19:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.13%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.39%EV -15.86%E -3.11%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -16.29%E -4.86%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-29 19:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.81%EV -9.89%E -6.42%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.80%EV -17.51%E -3.50%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.39%EV -8.79%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-29 19:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.03%EV -8.72%E -5.59%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -17.51%E -3.50%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.49%EV -17.54%E -5.31%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-29 19:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.87% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.87% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.87% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 19:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.57% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.85% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.57% | 1.7% | 2026-08-29 19:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.79% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.69% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.52% | 2.0% | 2026-08-29 19:55 |