Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Rosario Central v Gimnasia La Plata

Inizio: 2026-08-29 20:00 UTC

Finale: Rosario Central 1–2 Gimnasia La Plata

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

38 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Rosario Central (Casa)

Previsione 58.51%1.71quota equa
EV -2.87%
Vantaggio -1.73%
Kelly -4.34%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.66

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.03%58.41%58.56%60.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.591.601.6666.67%62.91%62.50%60.24%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Gimnasia La Plata (Trasferta)

Previsione 16.50%6.06quota equa
EV +4.76%
Vantaggio +0.749%
Kelly +0.889%
Crescita +0.042%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.89%16.43%16.45%17.80%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.005.615.556.3520.00%17.81%18.02%15.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 24.99%4.00quota equa
EV -2.04%
Vantaggio -0.521%
Kelly -0.700%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.92

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.90%25.17%24.98%27.19%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.643.633.9230.30%27.45%27.59%25.51%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Rosario Central (Casa): 58.51%; Gimnasia La Plata (Trasferta): 16.50%; Pareggio: 24.99%. Per Gimnasia La Plata (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 6.06. 7 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 6.35, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +4.76%.

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.39%EV -6.96%E -4.38%K -11.80%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 15.12%EV +4.76%E +0.749%K +0.889%G +0.042%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.49%EV -2.04%E -0.521%K -0.700%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 19:50
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.21%E -3.21%K -8.40%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.89%EV +3.93%E +0.624%K +0.742%G +0.029%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -13.79%E -4.00%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 19:50
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.21%E -3.21%K -8.40%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.89%EV +3.93%E +0.624%K +0.742%G +0.029%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -13.79%E -4.00%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 19:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.26%EV -4.62%E -2.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.12I 16.34%NM 15.78%EV +0.963%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.96%EV -3.29%E -0.851%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-29 19:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.26%EV -4.62%E -2.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.12I 16.34%NM 15.78%EV +0.963%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.96%EV -3.29%E -0.851%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-29 19:55
BetAnything🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.26%EV -4.62%E -2.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.12I 16.34%NM 15.78%EV +0.963%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.96%EV -3.29%E -0.851%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-29 19:55
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.41%EV -5.21%E -3.21%K -8.40%G +0.000%6.12I 16.34%NM 15.73%EV +0.963%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.87%EV -3.29%E -0.851%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 19:50
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -1.02%E -0.169%K -0.203%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 19:55
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.20%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.85%EV -2.67%E -0.452%K -0.544%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 19:55
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -8.72%E -5.59%K -15.57%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.79%EV -2.67%E -0.452%K -0.544%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 19:54
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.55%EV -5.21%E -3.21%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 19:50
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.70%EV -5.79%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.87%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 19:55
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.50%EV -5.79%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.38%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 19:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.85%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 19:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.15%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 19:55
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 19:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.68%EV -6.96%E -4.38%K -11.80%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV -5.97%E -1.05%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.95%EV -6.54%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 19:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.10%EV -5.21%E -3.21%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV -7.62%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 19:50
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.40%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -7.62%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 19:54
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.52%EV -2.87%E -1.73%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -9.27%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -11.29%E -3.18%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 19:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.52%EV -2.87%E -1.73%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -9.27%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -11.29%E -3.18%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 19:30
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -9.27%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 19:50
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.37%EV -6.96%E -4.38%K -11.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -9.27%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 19:55
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -9.27%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 19:25
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -10.47%E -6.85%K -19.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -9.27%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 19:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -10.47%E -6.85%K -19.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -9.27%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 19:50
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.03%EV -4.04%E -2.46%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -12.56%E -2.37%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -13.79%E -4.00%K -5.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 19:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.97%EV -9.89%E -6.42%K -18.31%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.13%EV -12.56%E -2.37%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 19:55
Bet Right🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -5.79%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -13.39%E -2.55%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -11.29%E -3.18%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 19:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -13.39%E -2.55%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 19:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.90%EV -9.89%E -6.42%K -18.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -13.39%E -2.55%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.12%EV -11.29%E -3.18%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 19:48
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.85%EV -10.47%E -6.85%K -19.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.86%EV -13.39%E -2.55%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.29%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-29 19:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.55%EV -10.47%E -6.85%K -19.76%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.93%EV -14.21%E -2.73%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.52%EV -13.79%E -4.00%K -5.63%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-29 19:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.24%EV -12.23%E -8.15%K -24.46%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.80%EV -14.21%E -2.73%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-29 19:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.13%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.39%EV -15.86%E -3.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -16.29%E -4.86%K -6.93%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-29 19:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.13%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.39%EV -15.86%E -3.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -16.29%E -4.86%K -6.93%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-29 19:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.81%EV -9.89%E -6.42%K -18.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.80%EV -17.51%E -3.50%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.39%EV -8.79%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-29 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.03%EV -8.72%E -5.59%K -15.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -17.51%E -3.50%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.49%EV -17.54%E -5.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-29 19:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.87%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-08-29 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.87%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-08-29 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.87%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-08-29 19:50
Smarkets◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.57%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.85%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.57%1.7%2026-08-29 19:55
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 59.79%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.69%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.52%2.0%2026-08-29 19:55