Idioma:Español
Rosario Central v Gimnasia La Plata
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Rosario Central (Local)
Predicción 58.51%1.71momio equitativo
EV -2.87%
Ventaja -1.73%
Kelly -4.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.03%58.41%58.56%60.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.501.591.601.6666.67%62.91%62.50%60.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Gimnasia La Plata (Visitante)
Predicción 16.50%6.06momio equitativo
EV +4.76%
Ventaja +0.749%
Kelly +0.889%
Crecimiento +0.042%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.89%16.43%16.45%17.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.005.615.556.3520.00%17.81%18.02%15.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 24.99%4.00momio equitativo
EV -2.04%
Ventaja -0.521%
Kelly -0.700%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.92
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.90%25.17%24.98%27.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.643.633.9230.30%27.45%27.59%25.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Rosario Central (Local): 58.51%; Gimnasia La Plata (Visitante): 16.50%; Empate: 24.99%. Para Gimnasia La Plata (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.06. 7 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.35, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.76%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.39%EV -6.96%E -4.38%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 15.12%EV +4.76%E +0.749%K +0.889%G +0.042% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.49%EV -2.04%E -0.521%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-29 19:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.21%E -3.21%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.89%EV +3.93%E +0.624%K +0.742%G +0.029% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -13.79%E -4.00%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 19:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.21%E -3.21%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.89%EV +3.93%E +0.624%K +0.742%G +0.029% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -13.79%E -4.00%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 19:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.26%EV -4.62%E -2.84%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 6.12I 16.34%NM 15.78%EV +0.963%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.96%EV -3.29%E -0.851%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-29 19:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.26%EV -4.62%E -2.84%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 6.12I 16.34%NM 15.78%EV +0.963%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.96%EV -3.29%E -0.851%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-29 19:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.26%EV -4.62%E -2.84%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 6.12I 16.34%NM 15.78%EV +0.963%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.96%EV -3.29%E -0.851%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-29 19:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.41%EV -5.21%E -3.21%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 6.12I 16.34%NM 15.73%EV +0.963%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.87%EV -3.29%E -0.851%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-29 19:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -1.02%E -0.169%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 19:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.20%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.85%EV -2.67%E -0.452%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 19:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -8.72%E -5.59%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.79%EV -2.67%E -0.452%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 19:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.55%EV -5.21%E -3.21%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 19:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.70%EV -5.79%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.87%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 19:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.50%EV -5.79%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.38%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 19:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.85%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 19:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.15%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 19:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 19:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.68%EV -6.96%E -4.38%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV -5.97%E -1.05%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.95%EV -6.54%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 19:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.10%EV -5.21%E -3.21%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV -7.62%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 19:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.40%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -7.62%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 19:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.52%EV -2.87%E -1.73%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -9.27%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -11.29%E -3.18%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 19:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.52%EV -2.87%E -1.73%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -9.27%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -11.29%E -3.18%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 19:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -9.27%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 19:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.37%EV -6.96%E -4.38%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -9.27%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-29 19:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -9.27%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 19:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -10.47%E -6.85%K -19.76%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -9.27%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-29 19:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -10.47%E -6.85%K -19.76%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -9.27%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-29 19:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.03%EV -4.04%E -2.46%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -12.56%E -2.37%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -13.79%E -4.00%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 19:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.97%EV -9.89%E -6.42%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.13%EV -12.56%E -2.37%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-29 19:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -5.79%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -13.39%E -2.55%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -11.29%E -3.18%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 19:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -13.39%E -2.55%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-29 19:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.90%EV -9.89%E -6.42%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -13.39%E -2.55%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.12%EV -11.29%E -3.18%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-29 19:48 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.85%EV -10.47%E -6.85%K -19.76%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.86%EV -13.39%E -2.55%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.29%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-29 19:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.55%EV -10.47%E -6.85%K -19.76%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.93%EV -14.21%E -2.73%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.52%EV -13.79%E -4.00%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-29 19:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.24%EV -12.23%E -8.15%K -24.46%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.80%EV -14.21%E -2.73%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-29 19:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.13%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.39%EV -15.86%E -3.11%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -16.29%E -4.86%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-29 19:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.13%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.39%EV -15.86%E -3.11%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -16.29%E -4.86%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-29 19:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.81%EV -9.89%E -6.42%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.80%EV -17.51%E -3.50%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.39%EV -8.79%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-29 19:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.03%EV -8.72%E -5.59%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -17.51%E -3.50%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.49%EV -17.54%E -5.31%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-29 19:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.87% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.87% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.87% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 19:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.57% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.85% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.57% | 1.7% | 2026-08-29 19:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.79% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.69% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.52% | 2.0% | 2026-08-29 19:55 |