Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Rosario Central v Gimnasia La Plata

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-29 20:00 UTC

Score final : Rosario Central 1–2 Gimnasia La Plata

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Rosario Central (Local)

Prévision 58.51%1.71cote équitable
EV -2.87%
Avantage -1.73%
Kelly -4.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.03%58.41%58.56%60.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.591.601.6666.67%62.91%62.50%60.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Gimnasia La Plata (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.50%6.06cote équitable
EV +4.76%
Avantage +0.749%
Kelly +0.889%
Croissance +0.042%

avec la cote maximale 6.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.89%16.43%16.45%17.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.005.615.556.3520.00%17.81%18.02%15.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.99%4.00cote équitable
EV -2.04%
Avantage -0.521%
Kelly -0.700%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.90%25.17%24.98%27.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.643.633.9230.30%27.45%27.59%25.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Rosario Central (Local) : 58.51% ; Gimnasia La Plata (Visiteur) : 16.50% ; Match nul : 24.99%. Pour Gimnasia La Plata (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.06. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.35, soit une espérance positive de +4.76%.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.39%EV -6.96%E -4.38%K -11.80%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 15.12%EV +4.76%E +0.749%K +0.889%G +0.042%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.49%EV -2.04%E -0.521%K -0.700%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 19:50
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.21%E -3.21%K -8.40%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.89%EV +3.93%E +0.624%K +0.742%G +0.029%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -13.79%E -4.00%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 19:50
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.21%E -3.21%K -8.40%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.89%EV +3.93%E +0.624%K +0.742%G +0.029%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -13.79%E -4.00%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 19:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.26%EV -4.62%E -2.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.12I 16.34%NM 15.78%EV +0.963%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.96%EV -3.29%E -0.851%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-29 19:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.26%EV -4.62%E -2.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.12I 16.34%NM 15.78%EV +0.963%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.96%EV -3.29%E -0.851%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-29 19:55
BetAnything🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.26%EV -4.62%E -2.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.12I 16.34%NM 15.78%EV +0.963%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.96%EV -3.29%E -0.851%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-29 19:55
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.41%EV -5.21%E -3.21%K -8.40%G +0.000%6.12I 16.34%NM 15.73%EV +0.963%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.87%EV -3.29%E -0.851%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 19:50
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -1.02%E -0.169%K -0.203%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 19:55
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.20%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.85%EV -2.67%E -0.452%K -0.544%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 19:55
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -8.72%E -5.59%K -15.57%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.79%EV -2.67%E -0.452%K -0.544%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 19:54
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.55%EV -5.21%E -3.21%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 19:50
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.70%EV -5.79%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.87%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 19:55
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.50%EV -5.79%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.38%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 19:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.85%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 19:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.15%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 19:55
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 19:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.68%EV -6.96%E -4.38%K -11.80%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV -5.97%E -1.05%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.95%EV -6.54%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 19:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.10%EV -5.21%E -3.21%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV -7.62%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 19:50
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.40%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -7.62%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 19:54
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.52%EV -2.87%E -1.73%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -9.27%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -11.29%E -3.18%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 19:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.52%EV -2.87%E -1.73%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -9.27%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -11.29%E -3.18%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 19:30
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -9.27%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 19:50
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.37%EV -6.96%E -4.38%K -11.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -9.27%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 19:55
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -9.27%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 19:25
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -10.47%E -6.85%K -19.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -9.27%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 19:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -10.47%E -6.85%K -19.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -9.27%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 19:50
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.03%EV -4.04%E -2.46%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -12.56%E -2.37%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -13.79%E -4.00%K -5.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 19:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.97%EV -9.89%E -6.42%K -18.31%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.13%EV -12.56%E -2.37%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 19:55
Bet Right🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -5.79%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -13.39%E -2.55%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -11.29%E -3.18%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 19:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -13.39%E -2.55%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 19:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.90%EV -9.89%E -6.42%K -18.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -13.39%E -2.55%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.12%EV -11.29%E -3.18%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 19:48
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.85%EV -10.47%E -6.85%K -19.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.86%EV -13.39%E -2.55%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.29%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-29 19:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.55%EV -10.47%E -6.85%K -19.76%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.93%EV -14.21%E -2.73%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.52%EV -13.79%E -4.00%K -5.63%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-29 19:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.24%EV -12.23%E -8.15%K -24.46%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.80%EV -14.21%E -2.73%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-29 19:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.13%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.39%EV -15.86%E -3.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -16.29%E -4.86%K -6.93%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-29 19:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.13%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.39%EV -15.86%E -3.11%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -16.29%E -4.86%K -6.93%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-29 19:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.81%EV -9.89%E -6.42%K -18.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.80%EV -17.51%E -3.50%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.39%EV -8.79%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-29 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.03%EV -8.72%E -5.59%K -15.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -17.51%E -3.50%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.49%EV -17.54%E -5.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-29 19:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.87%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-08-29 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.87%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-08-29 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.87%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-08-29 19:50
Smarkets◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.57%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.85%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.57%1.7%2026-08-29 19:55
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 59.79%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.69%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.52%2.0%2026-08-29 19:55