Language:English
Rosario Central v CA Tigre BA
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rosario Central (Local)
Prediction 30.18%3.31fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -0.497%
Kelly -0.717%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.22%30.44%30.22%34.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.003.003.2637.04%33.37%33.33%30.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
CA Tigre BA (Visit)
Prediction 36.52%2.74fair odd
EV +5.17%
Edge +1.79%
Kelly +2.75%
Growth +0.142%
assuming max odds 2.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.61%36.33%36.44%38.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.572.552.8843.48%38.89%39.22%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 33.31%3.00fair odd
EV -4.08%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -2.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.37%33.23%33.34%34.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.782.802.8838.46%35.97%35.71%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rosario Central (Local): 30.18%; CA Tigre BA (Visit): 36.52%; Draw: 33.31%. For CA Tigre BA (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.74. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.17%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -18.52%E -6.86%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV +5.17%E +1.79%K +2.75%G +0.142% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -4.08%E -1.42%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 18:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -15.50%E -5.54%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV +2.25%E +0.802%K +1.25%G +0.028% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.08%E -1.42%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -15.50%E -5.54%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV +2.25%E +0.802%K +1.25%G +0.028% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.08%E -1.42%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.90%EV -9.16%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.41%EV +1.88%E +0.674%K +1.05%G +0.020% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.69%EV -5.08%E -1.78%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-03 18:51 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -18.52%E -6.86%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -1.41%E -0.520%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -18.52%E -6.86%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -1.41%E -0.520%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -6.45%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -3.23%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -8.41%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.33%EV -18.52%E -6.86%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -3.23%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.72%EV -8.41%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.45%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.52%EV -4.33%E -1.65%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -10.08%E -3.73%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.56%EV -6.45%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.06%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.01%EV -4.41%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-03 18:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -6.45%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.06%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 18:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -6.45%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.06%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 18:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -7.96%E -2.61%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.06%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 18:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -7.96%E -2.61%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.06%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -5.06%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -8.41%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-03 18:21 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -5.06%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -12.74%E -4.86%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.60%EV -2.83%E -0.878%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.95%EV -5.79%E -2.24%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV -5.08%E -1.78%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-03 18:51 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.22%EV -1.62%E -0.497%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.36%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.42%EV -5.08%E -1.78%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.22%EV -1.62%E -0.497%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.36%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.42%EV -5.08%E -1.78%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.94%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.08%E -1.78%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 18:36 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.94%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.08%E -1.78%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -3.43%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 18:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -4.94%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -8.41%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-03 18:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-03 18:36 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -10.97%E -3.72%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -4.94%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.72%EV -7.25%E -2.85%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.67%EV -7.74%E -2.80%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -3.43%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -5.08%E -1.78%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 18:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 18:43 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -10.97%E -3.72%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.49%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-03 18:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -10.97%E -3.72%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -8.41%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-03 18:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -12.48%E -4.30%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -13.41%E -5.16%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.06%EV -15.50%E -5.54%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.49%EV -10.53%E -4.30%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.45%EV -13.41%E -5.16%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-03 18:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.10%EV -10.97%E -3.72%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.00%EV -12.36%E -5.15%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.89%EV -10.08%E -3.73%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.21%EV -15.50%E -5.54%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.42%EV -12.36%E -5.15%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -10.08%E -3.73%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-03 18:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.63%EV -10.97%E -3.72%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.00%EV -16.01%E -6.96%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -10.08%E -3.73%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-03 18:33 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -13.09%E -4.54%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -16.01%E -6.96%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.72%EV -12.41%E -4.72%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-03 18:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.55% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.21% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24% | 0.7% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.47% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.37% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.15% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.47% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.37% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.15% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.40% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.54% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.07% | 1.2% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.62% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.13% | 1.7% | 2026-05-03 18:56 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.35% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34% | 2.0% | 2026-05-03 18:45 |