La escuela de los momiosRosario Central v CA Tigre BA
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Rosario Central (Local)
Predicción 30.18%3.31momio equitativo
EV -1.62%
Ventaja -0.497%
Kelly -0.717%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.26
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.22%30.44%30.22%34.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.003.003.2637.04%33.37%33.33%30.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
CA Tigre BA (Visitante)
Predicción 36.52%2.74momio equitativo
EV +5.17%
Ventaja +1.79%
Kelly +2.75%
Crecimiento +0.142%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.61%36.33%36.44%38.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.572.552.8843.48%38.89%39.22%34.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 33.31%3.00momio equitativo
EV -4.08%
Ventaja -1.42%
Kelly -2.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.37%33.23%33.34%34.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.782.802.8838.46%35.97%35.71%34.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -18.52%E -6.86%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV +5.17%E +1.79%K +2.75%G +0.142% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -4.08%E -1.42%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 18:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -15.50%E -5.54%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV +2.25%E +0.802%K +1.25%G +0.028% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.08%E -1.42%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Unibet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -15.50%E -5.54%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV +2.25%E +0.802%K +1.25%G +0.028% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.08%E -1.42%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| 1xBet | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.90%EV -9.16%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.41%EV +1.88%E +0.674%K +1.05%G +0.020% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.69%EV -5.08%E -1.78%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-03 18:51 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -18.52%E -6.86%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -1.41%E -0.520%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -18.52%E -6.86%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -1.41%E -0.520%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| FanDuel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -6.45%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -3.23%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -8.41%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.33%EV -18.52%E -6.86%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -3.23%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.72%EV -8.41%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| SportsBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.45%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.52%EV -4.33%E -1.65%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -10.08%E -3.73%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.56%EV -6.45%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.06%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.01%EV -4.41%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-03 18:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -6.45%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.06%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 18:30 |
| theScore Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -6.45%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.06%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 18:30 |
| Bovada | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -7.96%E -2.61%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.06%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 18:54 |
| BetAnything | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -7.96%E -2.61%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.06%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -5.06%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -8.41%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-03 18:21 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -5.06%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -12.74%E -4.86%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Pinnacle | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.60%EV -2.83%E -0.878%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.95%EV -5.79%E -2.24%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV -5.08%E -1.78%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-03 18:51 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.22%EV -1.62%E -0.497%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.36%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.42%EV -5.08%E -1.78%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.22%EV -1.62%E -0.497%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.36%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.42%EV -5.08%E -1.78%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
| Betsson | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.94%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.08%E -1.78%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 18:36 |
| NordicBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.94%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.08%E -1.78%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
| DraftKings | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -3.43%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 18:44 |
| Everygame | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -4.94%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -8.41%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
| BetMGM | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-03 18:25 |
| PlayUp | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-03 18:36 |
| Bet Right | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -10.97%E -3.72%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -4.94%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.72%EV -7.25%E -2.85%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.67%EV -7.74%E -2.80%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
| Fanatics | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -3.43%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -5.08%E -1.78%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| BoyleSports | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 18:20 |
| betfred_uk | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 18:43 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -10.97%E -3.72%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.49%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-03 18:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -10.97%E -3.72%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -8.41%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-03 18:45 |
| Sky Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -12.48%E -4.30%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -13.41%E -5.16%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.06%EV -15.50%E -5.54%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.49%EV -10.53%E -4.30%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.45%EV -13.41%E -5.16%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-03 18:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.10%EV -10.97%E -3.72%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.00%EV -12.36%E -5.15%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.89%EV -10.08%E -3.73%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.21%EV -15.50%E -5.54%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.42%EV -12.36%E -5.15%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -10.08%E -3.73%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-03 18:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.63%EV -10.97%E -3.72%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.00%EV -16.01%E -6.96%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -10.08%E -3.73%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-03 18:33 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -13.09%E -4.54%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -16.01%E -6.96%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.72%EV -12.41%E -4.72%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-03 18:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.55% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.21% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24% | 0.7% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.47% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.37% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.15% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.47% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.37% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.15% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.40% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.54% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.07% | 1.2% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.62% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.13% | 1.7% | 2026-05-03 18:56 |
| Kalshi | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.35% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34% | 2.0% | 2026-05-03 18:45 |