La scuola delle quote

Rosario Central v CA Tigre BA

Inizio: 2026-05-03 19:00 UTC

Finale: Rosario Central 1–1 CA Tigre BA

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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38 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Rosario Central (Casa)

Previsione 30.18%3.31quota equa
EV -1.62%
Vantaggio -0.497%
Kelly -0.717%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.26

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.22%30.44%30.22%34.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.703.003.003.2637.04%33.37%33.33%30.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

CA Tigre BA (Trasferta)

Previsione 36.52%2.74quota equa
EV +5.17%
Vantaggio +1.79%
Kelly +2.75%
Crescita +0.142%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.88

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.61%36.33%36.44%38.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.572.552.8843.48%38.89%39.22%34.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 33.31%3.00quota equa
EV -4.08%
Vantaggio -1.42%
Kelly -2.17%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.88

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.37%33.23%33.34%34.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.602.782.802.8838.46%35.97%35.71%34.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -18.52%E -6.86%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV +5.17%E +1.79%K +2.75%G +0.142%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -4.08%E -1.42%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 18:45
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -15.50%E -5.54%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV +2.25%E +0.802%K +1.25%G +0.028%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.08%E -1.42%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 18:55
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -15.50%E -5.54%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV +2.25%E +0.802%K +1.25%G +0.028%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.08%E -1.42%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 18:55
1xBet3.01I 33.22%NM 31.90%EV -9.16%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.41%EV +1.88%E +0.674%K +1.05%G +0.020%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.69%EV -5.08%E -1.78%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 18:51
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -18.52%E -6.86%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -1.41%E -0.520%K -0.827%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 18:55
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -18.52%E -6.86%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -1.41%E -0.520%K -0.827%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 18:55
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -6.45%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -3.23%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -8.41%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.33%EV -18.52%E -6.86%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -3.23%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.72%EV -8.41%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 18:55
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.45%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.52%EV -4.33%E -1.65%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -10.08%E -3.73%K -5.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.56%EV -6.45%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.06%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.01%EV -4.41%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 18:25
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -6.45%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.06%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 18:30
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -6.45%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.06%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 18:30
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -7.96%E -2.61%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.06%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 18:54
BetAnything3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -7.96%E -2.61%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.06%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 18:55
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -5.06%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -8.41%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 18:21
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -5.06%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -12.74%E -4.86%K -7.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 18:55
Pinnacle3.22I 31.06%NM 29.60%EV -2.83%E -0.878%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.95%EV -5.79%E -2.24%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV -5.08%E -1.78%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 18:51
LowVig.ag3.26I 30.67%NM 29.22%EV -1.62%E -0.497%K -0.717%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.36%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.42%EV -5.08%E -1.78%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 18:55
BetOnline.ag3.26I 30.67%NM 29.22%EV -1.62%E -0.497%K -0.717%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.36%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.42%EV -5.08%E -1.78%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 18:50
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.94%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.08%E -1.78%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 18:36
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.94%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.08%E -1.78%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 18:35
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -3.43%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 18:44
Everygame3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -4.94%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -8.41%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 18:35
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 18:25
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 18:36
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -10.97%E -3.72%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 18:55
Marathon Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -4.94%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.72%EV -7.25%E -2.85%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.67%EV -7.74%E -2.80%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 18:50
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -3.43%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -5.08%E -1.78%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 18:55
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 18:20
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 18:43
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -10.97%E -3.72%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.49%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 18:30
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -10.97%E -3.72%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -8.41%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-03 18:45
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -12.48%E -4.30%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -13.41%E -5.16%K -8.38%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-03 18:55
NetBet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.06%EV -15.50%E -5.54%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.49%EV -10.53%E -4.30%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.45%EV -13.41%E -5.16%K -8.38%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-03 18:45
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.10%EV -10.97%E -3.72%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.00%EV -12.36%E -5.15%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.89%EV -10.08%E -3.73%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-03 18:35
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.21%EV -15.50%E -5.54%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.42%EV -12.36%E -5.15%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -10.08%E -3.73%K -5.93%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-03 18:30
Betclic (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.63%EV -10.97%E -3.72%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.00%EV -16.01%E -6.96%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -10.08%E -3.73%K -5.93%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-03 18:33
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -13.09%E -4.54%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -16.01%E -6.96%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.72%EV -12.41%E -4.72%K -7.61%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-03 18:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.55%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.21%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-05-03 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.47%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.37%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.15%1.0%2026-05-03 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.47%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.37%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.15%1.0%2026-05-03 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.40%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.54%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.07%1.2%2026-05-03 18:55
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.62%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.13%1.7%2026-05-03 18:56
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.35%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34%2.0%2026-05-03 18:45