L’École des cotesRosario Central v CA Tigre BA
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Rosario Central (Local)
Prévision 30.18%3.31cote équitable
EV -1.62%
Avantage -0.497%
Kelly -0.717%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.26
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.22%30.44%30.22%34.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.003.003.2637.04%33.37%33.33%30.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
CA Tigre BA (Visiteur)
Prévision 36.52%2.74cote équitable
EV +5.17%
Avantage +1.79%
Kelly +2.75%
Croissance +0.142%
avec la cote maximale 2.88
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.61%36.33%36.44%38.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.572.552.8843.48%38.89%39.22%34.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 33.31%3.00cote équitable
EV -4.08%
Avantage -1.42%
Kelly -2.17%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.88
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.37%33.23%33.34%34.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.782.802.8838.46%35.97%35.71%34.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -18.52%E -6.86%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV +5.17%E +1.79%K +2.75%G +0.142% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -4.08%E -1.42%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 18:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -15.50%E -5.54%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV +2.25%E +0.802%K +1.25%G +0.028% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.08%E -1.42%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Unibet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -15.50%E -5.54%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV +2.25%E +0.802%K +1.25%G +0.028% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.08%E -1.42%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| 1xBet | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.90%EV -9.16%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.41%EV +1.88%E +0.674%K +1.05%G +0.020% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.69%EV -5.08%E -1.78%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-03 18:51 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -18.52%E -6.86%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -1.41%E -0.520%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -18.52%E -6.86%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -1.41%E -0.520%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| FanDuel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -6.45%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -3.23%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -8.41%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.33%EV -18.52%E -6.86%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -3.23%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.72%EV -8.41%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| SportsBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.45%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.52%EV -4.33%E -1.65%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -10.08%E -3.73%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.56%EV -6.45%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.06%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.01%EV -4.41%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-03 18:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -6.45%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.06%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 18:30 |
| theScore Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -6.45%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.06%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 18:30 |
| Bovada | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -7.96%E -2.61%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.06%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 18:54 |
| BetAnything | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -7.96%E -2.61%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.06%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -5.06%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -8.41%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-03 18:21 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -5.06%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -12.74%E -4.86%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Pinnacle | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.60%EV -2.83%E -0.878%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.95%EV -5.79%E -2.24%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV -5.08%E -1.78%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-03 18:51 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.22%EV -1.62%E -0.497%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.36%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.42%EV -5.08%E -1.78%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.22%EV -1.62%E -0.497%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.36%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.42%EV -5.08%E -1.78%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
| Betsson | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.94%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.08%E -1.78%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 18:36 |
| NordicBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.94%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.08%E -1.78%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
| DraftKings | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -3.43%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 18:44 |
| Everygame | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -4.94%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -8.41%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
| BetMGM | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-03 18:25 |
| PlayUp | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-03 18:36 |
| Bet Right | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -10.97%E -3.72%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -4.94%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.72%EV -7.25%E -2.85%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.67%EV -7.74%E -2.80%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 18:50 |
| Fanatics | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -3.43%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -5.08%E -1.78%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| BoyleSports | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 18:20 |
| betfred_uk | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.47%E -3.16%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 18:43 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -10.97%E -3.72%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.49%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -6.74%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-03 18:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -10.97%E -3.72%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -8.41%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-03 18:45 |
| Sky Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -12.48%E -4.30%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -13.41%E -5.16%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.06%EV -15.50%E -5.54%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.49%EV -10.53%E -4.30%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.45%EV -13.41%E -5.16%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-03 18:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.10%EV -10.97%E -3.72%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.00%EV -12.36%E -5.15%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.89%EV -10.08%E -3.73%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-03 18:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.21%EV -15.50%E -5.54%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.42%EV -12.36%E -5.15%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -10.08%E -3.73%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-03 18:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.63%EV -10.97%E -3.72%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.00%EV -16.01%E -6.96%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -10.08%E -3.73%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-03 18:33 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -13.09%E -4.54%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -16.01%E -6.96%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.72%EV -12.41%E -4.72%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-03 18:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.55% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.21% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24% | 0.7% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.47% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.37% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.15% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.47% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.37% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.15% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.40% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.54% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.07% | 1.2% | 2026-05-03 18:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.62% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.13% | 1.7% | 2026-05-03 18:56 |
| Kalshi | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.35% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34% | 2.0% | 2026-05-03 18:45 |