La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
River Plate v Sarmiento de Junin
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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River Plate (Casa)
Previsione 64.35%1.55quota equa
EV -4.77%
Vantaggio -3.22%
Kelly -9.93%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.48
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
62.56%64.28%64.36%65.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.281.431.441.4878.13%69.72%69.44%67.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Sarmiento de Junin (Trasferta)
Previsione 12.08%8.28quota equa
EV +14.61%
Vantaggio +1.54%
Kelly +1.72%
Crescita +0.251%
ipotizzando la quota massima 9.49
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
10.12%12.13%12.01%13.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.507.778.009.4915.38%12.87%12.50%10.54%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 23.58%4.24quota equa
EV -1.68%
Vantaggio -0.403%
Kelly -0.530%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.17
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.52%23.59%23.63%25.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.883.904.1729.41%25.76%25.64%23.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.32%EV -5.41%E -3.68%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 9.49I 10.54%NM 10.12%EV +14.61%E +1.54%K +1.72%G +0.251% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.56%EV -7.81%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.63%EV -9.92%E -7.08%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV +2.65%E +0.312%K +0.353%G +0.009% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.20%EV -7.99%E -5.58%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.37%EV -0.973%E -0.119%K -0.135%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.43%EV -6.16%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.08%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 8.15I 12.27%NM 11.82%EV -1.58%E -0.194%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.10%EV -1.68%E -0.403%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| Betsson | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.59%EV -2.18%E -0.269%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.19%EV -4.51%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.59%EV -2.18%E -0.269%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.19%EV -4.51%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.98%EV -5.41%E -3.68%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.94%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.07%EV -2.39%E -0.577%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 21:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.98%EV -5.41%E -3.68%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.94%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.07%EV -2.39%E -0.577%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 21:15 |
| Unibet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.12%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.02%EV -6.87%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.12%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.02%EV -6.87%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 22:35 |
| Fanatics | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.31%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.76%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -3.33%E -0.812%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 21:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.78%EV -6.70%E -4.62%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 22:30 |
| Bovada | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.74%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.87%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-15 22:37 |
| Betway | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.99%EV -6.70%E -4.62%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -10.40%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| Everygame | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.94%EV -9.92%E -7.08%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -3.33%E -0.812%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.67%EV -8.63%E -6.08%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -9.22%E -2.40%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.73%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.47%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -12.76%E -3.45%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-15 22:35 |
| FanDuel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.19%EV -9.92%E -7.08%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-15 22:39 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.79%EV -9.92%E -7.08%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -10.40%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| BetAnything | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.18%EV -6.06%E -4.15%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.09%EV -6.41%E -0.827%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -6.87%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.38%EV -8.63%E -6.08%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.61%EV -6.41%E -0.827%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -15.12%E -4.20%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.80%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.43%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-15 22:35 |
| theScore Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.80%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.43%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-15 22:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.96%EV -5.41%E -3.68%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -9.43%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-15 22:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.42%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV -9.43%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 22:35 |
| BetMGM | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.42%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV -9.43%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 22:34 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.66%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -9.43%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -10.40%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-15 22:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.98%EV -8.63%E -6.08%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -9.43%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -10.40%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.98%EV -8.63%E -6.08%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -9.43%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -10.40%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10%EV -9.92%E -7.08%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -9.43%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.93%EV -11.58%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-15 22:35 |
| Sky Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.47%EV -9.92%E -7.08%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -9.43%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.68%EV -15.12%E -4.20%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.56%EV -9.92%E -7.08%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.68%EV -9.43%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.76%EV -19.83%E -5.83%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 65.09%EV -17.64%E -13.78%K -62.99%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.11%EV -9.43%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.80%EV -17.48%E -4.99%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.67%EV -9.92%E -7.08%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 12.56%EV -14.26%E -2.01%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -11.58%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-15 22:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.31%EV -9.27%E -6.58%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -15.46%E -2.21%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 23.93%EV -12.05%E -3.23%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-15 22:38 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.54%EV -7.99%E -5.58%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -18.48%E -2.74%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -6.87%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-15 22:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.94%EV -9.92%E -7.08%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.56%EV -21.50%E -3.31%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -11.58%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-15 22:35 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.84% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.50% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.66% | 0.3% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.49% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.18% | 0.3% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.45% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07% | 0.8% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60% | 0.9% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.87% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96% | 1.3% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |