L’École des cotesFrançais
River Plate v Sarmiento de Junin
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
River Plate (Local)
Prévision 64.35%1.55cote équitable
EV -4.77%
Avantage -3.22%
Kelly -9.93%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.48
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.56%64.28%64.36%65.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.281.431.441.4878.13%69.72%69.44%67.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Sarmiento de Junin (Visiteur)
Prévision 12.08%8.28cote équitable
EV +14.61%
Avantage +1.54%
Kelly +1.72%
Croissance +0.251%
avec la cote maximale 9.49
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.12%12.13%12.01%13.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.507.778.009.4915.38%12.87%12.50%10.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 23.58%4.24cote équitable
EV -1.68%
Avantage -0.403%
Kelly -0.530%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.17
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.52%23.59%23.63%25.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.883.904.1729.41%25.76%25.64%23.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.32%EV -5.41%E -3.68%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 9.49I 10.54%NM 10.12%EV +14.61%E +1.54%K +1.72%G +0.251% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.56%EV -7.81%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.63%EV -9.92%E -7.08%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV +2.65%E +0.312%K +0.353%G +0.009% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.20%EV -7.99%E -5.58%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.37%EV -0.973%E -0.119%K -0.135%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.43%EV -6.16%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.08%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 8.15I 12.27%NM 11.82%EV -1.58%E -0.194%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.10%EV -1.68%E -0.403%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| Betsson | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.59%EV -2.18%E -0.269%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.19%EV -4.51%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.59%EV -2.18%E -0.269%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.19%EV -4.51%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.98%EV -5.41%E -3.68%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.94%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.07%EV -2.39%E -0.577%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 21:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.98%EV -5.41%E -3.68%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.94%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.07%EV -2.39%E -0.577%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 21:15 |
| Unibet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.12%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.02%EV -6.87%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.12%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.02%EV -6.87%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 22:35 |
| Fanatics | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.31%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.76%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -3.33%E -0.812%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 21:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.78%EV -6.70%E -4.62%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 22:30 |
| Bovada | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.74%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.87%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-15 22:37 |
| Betway | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.99%EV -6.70%E -4.62%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -10.40%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| Everygame | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.94%EV -9.92%E -7.08%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -3.33%E -0.812%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.67%EV -8.63%E -6.08%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -9.22%E -2.40%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.73%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.47%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -12.76%E -3.45%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-15 22:35 |
| FanDuel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.19%EV -9.92%E -7.08%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-15 22:39 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.79%EV -9.92%E -7.08%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -10.40%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| BetAnything | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.18%EV -6.06%E -4.15%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.09%EV -6.41%E -0.827%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -6.87%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.38%EV -8.63%E -6.08%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.61%EV -6.41%E -0.827%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -15.12%E -4.20%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.80%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.43%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-15 22:35 |
| theScore Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.80%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.43%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-15 22:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.96%EV -5.41%E -3.68%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -9.43%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-15 22:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.42%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV -9.43%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 22:35 |
| BetMGM | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.42%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV -9.43%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 22:34 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.66%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -9.43%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -10.40%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-15 22:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.98%EV -8.63%E -6.08%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -9.43%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -10.40%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.98%EV -8.63%E -6.08%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -9.43%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -10.40%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10%EV -9.92%E -7.08%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -9.43%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.93%EV -11.58%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-15 22:35 |
| Sky Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.47%EV -9.92%E -7.08%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -9.43%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.68%EV -15.12%E -4.20%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.56%EV -9.92%E -7.08%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.68%EV -9.43%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.76%EV -19.83%E -5.83%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 65.09%EV -17.64%E -13.78%K -62.99%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.11%EV -9.43%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.80%EV -17.48%E -4.99%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.67%EV -9.92%E -7.08%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 12.56%EV -14.26%E -2.01%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -11.58%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-15 22:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.31%EV -9.27%E -6.58%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -15.46%E -2.21%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 23.93%EV -12.05%E -3.23%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-15 22:38 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.54%EV -7.99%E -5.58%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -18.48%E -2.74%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -6.87%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-15 22:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.94%EV -9.92%E -7.08%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.56%EV -21.50%E -3.31%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -11.58%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-15 22:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.84% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.50% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.66% | 0.3% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.49% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.18% | 0.3% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.45% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07% | 0.8% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60% | 0.9% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.87% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96% | 1.3% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |