Die Schule der Quoten

River Plate v Sarmiento de Junin

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-15 22:45 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

37 Wettanbieter (15 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

River Plate (Heim)

Prognose 64.35%1.55faire Quote
EV -4.77%
Vorteil -3.22%
Kelly -9.93%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.48

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
62.56%64.28%64.36%65.94%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.281.431.441.4878.13%69.72%69.44%67.57%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Sarmiento de Junin (Auswärts)

Prognose 12.08%8.28faire Quote
EV +14.61%
Vorteil +1.54%
Kelly +1.72%
Wachstum +0.251%

bei einer Höchstquote von 9.49

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
10.12%12.13%12.01%13.56%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
6.507.778.009.4915.38%12.87%12.50%10.54%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 23.58%4.24faire Quote
EV -1.68%
Vorteil -0.403%
Kelly -0.530%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.17

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.52%23.59%23.63%25.76%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.403.883.904.1729.41%25.76%25.64%23.98%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (37 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
1xBet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.32%EV -5.41%E -3.68%K -11.52%G +0.000%9.49I 10.54%NM 10.12%EV +14.61%E +1.54%K +1.72%G +0.251%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.56%EV -7.81%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 22:40
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.63%EV -9.92%E -7.08%K -24.79%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV +2.65%E +0.312%K +0.353%G +0.009%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 22:40
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.20%EV -7.99%E -5.58%K -18.57%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.37%EV -0.973%E -0.119%K -0.135%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.43%EV -6.16%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 22:40
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 65.08%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.93%G +0.000%8.15I 12.27%NM 11.82%EV -1.58%E -0.194%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.10%EV -1.68%E -0.403%K -0.530%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 22:40
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.59%EV -2.18%E -0.269%K -0.307%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.19%EV -4.51%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 22:40
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.59%EV -2.18%E -0.269%K -0.307%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.19%EV -4.51%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 22:40
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 64.98%EV -5.41%E -3.68%K -11.52%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.94%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.07%EV -2.39%E -0.577%K -0.760%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 21:15
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 64.98%EV -5.41%E -3.68%K -11.52%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.94%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.07%EV -2.39%E -0.577%K -0.760%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 21:15
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.12%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.02%EV -6.87%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 22:40
Unibet (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.12%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.02%EV -6.87%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 22:35
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 65.31%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.76%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -3.33%E -0.812%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 21:40
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 64.78%EV -6.70%E -4.62%K -14.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 22:30
Bovada1.44I 69.44%NM 64.74%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.87%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 22:37
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 63.99%EV -6.70%E -4.62%K -14.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -10.40%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 22:40
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 65.94%EV -9.92%E -7.08%K -24.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -3.33%E -0.812%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 22:40
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 64.67%EV -8.63%E -6.08%K -20.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -9.22%E -2.40%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 22:40
Bet Right1.44I 69.44%NM 63.73%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.47%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -12.76%E -3.45%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 22:35
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 65.19%EV -9.92%E -7.08%K -24.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 22:39
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 64.79%EV -9.92%E -7.08%K -24.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -10.40%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 22:40
BetAnything1.46I 68.49%NM 64.18%EV -6.06%E -4.15%K -13.16%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.09%EV -6.41%E -0.827%K -0.949%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -6.87%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 22:40
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.38%EV -8.63%E -6.08%K -20.55%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.61%EV -6.41%E -0.827%K -0.949%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -15.12%E -4.20%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-15 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.80%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.93%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.43%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 22:35
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.80%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.93%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.43%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 22:35
DraftKings1.47I 68.03%NM 63.96%EV -5.41%E -3.68%K -11.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -9.43%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 22:35
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.42%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.93%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV -9.43%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 22:35
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.42%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.93%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV -9.43%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 22:34
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 63.66%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -9.43%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -10.40%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 22:35
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 63.98%EV -8.63%E -6.08%K -20.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -9.43%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -10.40%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 22:40
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 63.98%EV -8.63%E -6.08%K -20.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -9.43%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -10.40%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10%EV -9.92%E -7.08%K -24.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -9.43%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.93%EV -11.58%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-15 22:35
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 63.47%EV -9.92%E -7.08%K -24.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -9.43%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.68%EV -15.12%E -4.20%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-15 22:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.56%EV -9.92%E -7.08%K -24.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.68%EV -9.43%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.76%EV -19.83%E -5.83%K -8.26%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-15 22:40
PMU (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 65.09%EV -17.64%E -13.78%K -62.99%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.11%EV -9.43%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.80%EV -17.48%E -4.99%K -6.99%G +0.000%20.0%2026-03-15 22:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.67%EV -9.92%E -7.08%K -24.79%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.56%EV -14.26%E -2.01%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -11.58%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-15 22:35
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 63.31%EV -9.27%E -6.58%K -22.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -15.46%E -2.21%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.93%EV -12.05%E -3.23%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 22:38
Winamax (DE)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.54%EV -7.99%E -5.58%K -18.57%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -18.48%E -2.74%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -6.87%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 22:35
Winamax (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.94%EV -9.92%E -7.08%K -24.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.56%EV -21.50%E -3.31%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -11.58%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-15 22:35
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 67.84%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.50%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.66%0.3%2026-03-15 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.49%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.18%0.3%2026-03-15 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.45%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%0.8%2026-03-15 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%0.9%2026-03-15 22:40
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 67.17%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.87%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%1.3%2026-03-15 22:40