La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
River Plate v Sarmiento de Junin
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
River Plate (Local)
Predicción 64.35%1.55momio equitativo
EV -4.77%
Ventaja -3.22%
Kelly -9.93%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.56%64.28%64.36%65.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.281.431.441.4878.13%69.72%69.44%67.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Sarmiento de Junin (Visitante)
Predicción 12.08%8.28momio equitativo
EV +14.61%
Ventaja +1.54%
Kelly +1.72%
Crecimiento +0.251%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.49
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.12%12.13%12.01%13.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.507.778.009.4915.38%12.87%12.50%10.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.58%4.24momio equitativo
EV -1.68%
Ventaja -0.403%
Kelly -0.530%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.17
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.52%23.59%23.63%25.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.883.904.1729.41%25.76%25.64%23.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.32%EV -5.41%E -3.68%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 9.49I 10.54%NM 10.12%EV +14.61%E +1.54%K +1.72%G +0.251% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.56%EV -7.81%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.63%EV -9.92%E -7.08%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV +2.65%E +0.312%K +0.353%G +0.009% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.20%EV -7.99%E -5.58%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.37%EV -0.973%E -0.119%K -0.135%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.43%EV -6.16%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.08%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 8.15I 12.27%NM 11.82%EV -1.58%E -0.194%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.10%EV -1.68%E -0.403%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| Betsson | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.59%EV -2.18%E -0.269%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.19%EV -4.51%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.59%EV -2.18%E -0.269%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.19%EV -4.51%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.98%EV -5.41%E -3.68%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.94%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.07%EV -2.39%E -0.577%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 21:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.98%EV -5.41%E -3.68%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.94%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.07%EV -2.39%E -0.577%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 21:15 |
| Unibet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.12%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.02%EV -6.87%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.12%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.02%EV -6.87%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 22:35 |
| Fanatics | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.31%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.76%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -3.33%E -0.812%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 21:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.78%EV -6.70%E -4.62%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 22:30 |
| Bovada | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.74%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.87%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-15 22:37 |
| Betway | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.99%EV -6.70%E -4.62%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -10.40%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| Everygame | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.94%EV -9.92%E -7.08%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -3.33%E -0.812%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.67%EV -8.63%E -6.08%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -9.22%E -2.40%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.73%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.47%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -12.76%E -3.45%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-15 22:35 |
| FanDuel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.19%EV -9.92%E -7.08%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-15 22:39 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.79%EV -9.92%E -7.08%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -3.39%E -0.424%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -10.40%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| BetAnything | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.18%EV -6.06%E -4.15%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.09%EV -6.41%E -0.827%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -6.87%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.38%EV -8.63%E -6.08%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.61%EV -6.41%E -0.827%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -15.12%E -4.20%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.80%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.43%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-15 22:35 |
| theScore Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.80%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.43%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-15 22:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.96%EV -5.41%E -3.68%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -9.43%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-15 22:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.42%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV -9.43%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 22:35 |
| BetMGM | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.42%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV -9.43%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 22:34 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.66%EV -7.34%E -5.10%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -9.43%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -10.40%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-15 22:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.98%EV -8.63%E -6.08%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -9.43%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -10.40%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.98%EV -8.63%E -6.08%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -9.43%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -10.40%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10%EV -9.92%E -7.08%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -9.43%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.93%EV -11.58%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-15 22:35 |
| Sky Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.47%EV -9.92%E -7.08%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -9.43%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.68%EV -15.12%E -4.20%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.56%EV -9.92%E -7.08%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.68%EV -9.43%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.76%EV -19.83%E -5.83%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 65.09%EV -17.64%E -13.78%K -62.99%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.11%EV -9.43%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.80%EV -17.48%E -4.99%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.67%EV -9.92%E -7.08%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 12.56%EV -14.26%E -2.01%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -11.58%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-15 22:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.31%EV -9.27%E -6.58%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -15.46%E -2.21%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 23.93%EV -12.05%E -3.23%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-15 22:38 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.54%EV -7.99%E -5.58%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -18.48%E -2.74%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -6.87%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-15 22:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.94%EV -9.92%E -7.08%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.56%EV -21.50%E -3.31%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -11.58%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-15 22:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.84% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.50% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.66% | 0.3% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.49% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.18% | 0.3% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.45% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07% | 0.8% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60% | 0.9% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.87% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96% | 1.3% | 2026-03-15 22:40 |