语言:简体中文
River Plate v Argentinos Juniors
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
River Plate (主队)
预测 49.67%2.01公平赔率
EV -3.15%
优势 -1.61%
Kelly -3.31%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.95
博彩公司预测分布
48.16%49.85%49.70%52.27%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.761.861.861.9556.82%53.73%53.76%51.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
Argentinos Juniors (客队)
预测 21.13%4.73公平赔率
EV +4.59%
优势 +0.927%
Kelly +1.16%
增长率 +0.053%
假设最高赔率为 4.95
博彩公司预测分布
19.54%21.03%20.99%22.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.104.394.334.9524.39%22.79%23.09%20.20%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 29.20%3.42公平赔率
EV +0.165%
优势 +0.048%
Kelly +0.068%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.43
博彩公司预测分布
28.19%29.12%29.30%30.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.173.203.4334.48%31.52%31.25%29.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：River Plate (主队)：49.67%；Argentinos Juniors (客队)：21.13%；平局：29.20%。 对于“Argentinos Juniors (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.73。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.95，对应+4.59%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (38 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.27%EV -8.11%E -4.39%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.54%EV +4.59%E +0.927%K +1.16%G +0.053% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.19%EV +0.165%E +0.048%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-16 20:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.27%EV -8.11%E -4.39%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.54%EV +4.59%E +0.927%K +1.16%G +0.053% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.19%EV +0.165%E +0.048%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-16 20:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.27%EV -8.11%E -4.39%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.54%EV +4.59%E +0.927%K +1.16%G +0.053% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.19%EV +0.165%E +0.048%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-16 20:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.62%EV -7.12%E -3.81%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.82%EV +2.90%E +0.595%K +0.749%G +0.022% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.56%EV -1.30%E -0.383%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-16 20:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.01%EV -4.64%E -2.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.17%EV +0.575%E +0.121%K +0.153%G +0.001% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.82%EV -5.97%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 20:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.22%EV -9.11%E -4.98%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -2.81%E -0.610%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 20:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.13%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -4.92%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 20:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.74%EV -6.13%E -3.24%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -4.92%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 20:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -6.62%E -3.52%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -4.92%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 20:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.11%E -4.39%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -4.92%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 20:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -9.11%E -4.98%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -4.92%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-16 20:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%EV -5.13%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.03%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 20:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.11%EV -4.64%E -2.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.03%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 20:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.52%EV -4.14%E -2.15%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.03%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 20:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.52%EV -4.14%E -2.15%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.03%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 20:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.41%EV -6.13%E -3.24%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -7.03%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.37%EV -7.14%E -2.24%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 20:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -6.62%E -3.52%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -7.03%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 20:53 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.70%EV -12.58%E -7.15%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.51%EV -8.09%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-16 20:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.90%EV -6.62%E -3.52%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -8.51%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-16 20:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.07%EV -5.13%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.64%EV -8.51%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 20:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.61%EV -5.13%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -8.51%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 20:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -7.12%E -3.81%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.32%EV -8.51%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 20:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.55%EV -10.60%E -5.89%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -8.51%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-16 20:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.55%EV -10.60%E -5.89%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -8.51%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-16 20:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.35%EV -3.15%E -1.61%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.18%EV -10.20%E -2.40%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 20:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.81%EV -6.62%E -3.52%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -10.20%E -2.40%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 20:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.80%EV -11.09%E -6.20%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.97%EV -10.20%E -2.40%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%EV -10.93%E -3.58%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-16 20:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.16%EV -4.64%E -2.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -11.26%E -2.68%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 20:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -6.62%E -3.52%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -11.26%E -2.68%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-16 13:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.67%EV -8.61%E -4.68%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -11.26%E -2.68%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-16 20:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -9.11%E -4.98%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -11.26%E -2.68%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 13:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -10.60%E -5.89%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -11.26%E -2.68%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-16 20:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.72%EV -12.09%E -6.83%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.95%EV -11.26%E -2.68%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-16 20:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.83%EV -8.11%E -4.39%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -13.37%E -3.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-16 13:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.51%EV -10.60%E -5.89%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -13.37%E -3.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-16 20:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.25%EV -8.61%E -4.68%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.65%EV -13.37%E -3.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.10%EV -13.85%E -4.70%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-16 20:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.25%EV -8.61%E -4.68%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.65%EV -13.37%E -3.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.10%EV -13.85%E -4.70%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-16 20:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.27%EV -9.60%E -5.28%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.43%EV -13.37%E -3.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.30%EV -15.31%E -5.28%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-16 20:49 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.27% | 0.5% | 2026-08-16 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.78% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.78% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 20:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.76% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 20:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.91% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.03% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 20:50 |