Langue:Français
River Plate v Argentinos Juniors
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
River Plate (Local)
Prévision 49.67%2.01cote équitable
EV -3.15%
Avantage -1.61%
Kelly -3.31%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.16%49.85%49.70%52.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.761.861.861.9556.82%53.73%53.76%51.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Argentinos Juniors (Visiteur)
Prévision 21.13%4.73cote équitable
EV +4.59%
Avantage +0.927%
Kelly +1.16%
Croissance +0.053%
avec la cote maximale 4.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.54%21.03%20.99%22.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.104.394.334.9524.39%22.79%23.09%20.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 29.20%3.42cote équitable
EV +0.165%
Avantage +0.048%
Kelly +0.068%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.43
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.19%29.12%29.30%30.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.173.203.4334.48%31.52%31.25%29.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : River Plate (Local) : 49.67% ; Argentinos Juniors (Visiteur) : 21.13% ; Match nul : 29.20%. Pour Argentinos Juniors (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.73. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.95, soit une espérance positive de +4.59%.
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.27%EV -8.11%E -4.39%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.54%EV +4.59%E +0.927%K +1.16%G +0.053% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.19%EV +0.165%E +0.048%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-16 20:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.27%EV -8.11%E -4.39%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.54%EV +4.59%E +0.927%K +1.16%G +0.053% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.19%EV +0.165%E +0.048%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-16 20:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.27%EV -8.11%E -4.39%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.54%EV +4.59%E +0.927%K +1.16%G +0.053% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.19%EV +0.165%E +0.048%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-16 20:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.62%EV -7.12%E -3.81%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.82%EV +2.90%E +0.595%K +0.749%G +0.022% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.56%EV -1.30%E -0.383%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-16 20:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.01%EV -4.64%E -2.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.17%EV +0.575%E +0.121%K +0.153%G +0.001% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.82%EV -5.97%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 20:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.22%EV -9.11%E -4.98%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -2.81%E -0.610%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 20:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.13%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -4.92%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 20:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.74%EV -6.13%E -3.24%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -4.92%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 20:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -6.62%E -3.52%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -4.92%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 20:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.11%E -4.39%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -4.92%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 20:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -9.11%E -4.98%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -4.92%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-16 20:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%EV -5.13%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.03%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 20:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.11%EV -4.64%E -2.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.03%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 20:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.52%EV -4.14%E -2.15%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.03%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 20:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.52%EV -4.14%E -2.15%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.03%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 20:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.41%EV -6.13%E -3.24%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -7.03%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.37%EV -7.14%E -2.24%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 20:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -6.62%E -3.52%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -7.03%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 20:53 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.70%EV -12.58%E -7.15%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.51%EV -8.09%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-16 20:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.90%EV -6.62%E -3.52%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -8.51%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-16 20:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.07%EV -5.13%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.64%EV -8.51%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 20:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.61%EV -5.13%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -8.51%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 20:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -7.12%E -3.81%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.32%EV -8.51%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 20:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.55%EV -10.60%E -5.89%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -8.51%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-16 20:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.55%EV -10.60%E -5.89%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -8.51%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-16 20:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.35%EV -3.15%E -1.61%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.18%EV -10.20%E -2.40%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 20:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.81%EV -6.62%E -3.52%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -10.20%E -2.40%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 20:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.80%EV -11.09%E -6.20%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.97%EV -10.20%E -2.40%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%EV -10.93%E -3.58%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-16 20:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.16%EV -4.64%E -2.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -11.26%E -2.68%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 20:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -6.62%E -3.52%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -11.26%E -2.68%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-16 13:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.67%EV -8.61%E -4.68%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -11.26%E -2.68%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-16 20:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -9.11%E -4.98%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -11.26%E -2.68%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 13:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -10.60%E -5.89%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -11.26%E -2.68%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-16 20:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.72%EV -12.09%E -6.83%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.95%EV -11.26%E -2.68%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-16 20:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.83%EV -8.11%E -4.39%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -13.37%E -3.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-16 13:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.51%EV -10.60%E -5.89%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -13.37%E -3.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-16 20:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.25%EV -8.61%E -4.68%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.65%EV -13.37%E -3.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.10%EV -13.85%E -4.70%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-16 20:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.25%EV -8.61%E -4.68%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.65%EV -13.37%E -3.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.10%EV -13.85%E -4.70%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-16 20:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.27%EV -9.60%E -5.28%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.43%EV -13.37%E -3.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.30%EV -15.31%E -5.28%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-16 20:49 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.27% | 0.5% | 2026-08-16 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.78% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.78% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 20:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.76% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 20:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.91% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.03% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 20:50 |