Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

River Plate v Argentinos Juniors

Inizio: 2026-08-16 21:00 UTC

Finale: River Plate 2–0 Argentinos Juniors

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

38 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

River Plate (Casa)

Previsione 49.67%2.01quota equa
EV -3.15%
Vantaggio -1.61%
Kelly -3.31%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.16%49.85%49.70%52.27%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.761.861.861.9556.82%53.73%53.76%51.28%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Argentinos Juniors (Trasferta)

Previsione 21.13%4.73quota equa
EV +4.59%
Vantaggio +0.927%
Kelly +1.16%
Crescita +0.053%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.54%21.03%20.99%22.18%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.104.394.334.9524.39%22.79%23.09%20.20%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 29.20%3.42quota equa
EV +0.165%
Vantaggio +0.048%
Kelly +0.068%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.43

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.19%29.12%29.30%30.30%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.173.203.4334.48%31.52%31.25%29.15%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: River Plate (Casa): 49.67%; Argentinos Juniors (Trasferta): 21.13%; Pareggio: 29.20%. Per Argentinos Juniors (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.73. 5 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.95, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +4.59%.

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.27%EV -8.11%E -4.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.54%EV +4.59%E +0.927%K +1.16%G +0.053%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.19%EV +0.165%E +0.048%K +0.068%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-16 20:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.27%EV -8.11%E -4.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.54%EV +4.59%E +0.927%K +1.16%G +0.053%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.19%EV +0.165%E +0.048%K +0.068%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-16 20:49
BetAnything🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.27%EV -8.11%E -4.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.54%EV +4.59%E +0.927%K +1.16%G +0.053%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.19%EV +0.165%E +0.048%K +0.068%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-16 20:49
Pinnacle🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.62%EV -7.12%E -3.81%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.82%EV +2.90%E +0.595%K +0.749%G +0.022%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.56%EV -1.30%E -0.383%K -0.544%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-16 20:45
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.01%EV -4.64%E -2.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.17%EV +0.575%E +0.121%K +0.153%G +0.001%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.82%EV -5.97%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 20:55
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.22%EV -9.11%E -4.98%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -2.81%E -0.610%K -0.779%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 20:45
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.13%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -4.92%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 20:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.74%EV -6.13%E -3.24%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -4.92%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 20:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -6.62%E -3.52%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -4.92%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 20:54
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.11%E -4.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -4.92%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 20:45
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -9.11%E -4.98%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -4.92%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 20:44
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%EV -5.13%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.03%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 20:49
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.11%EV -4.64%E -2.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.03%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 20:49
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.52%EV -4.14%E -2.15%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.03%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 20:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.52%EV -4.14%E -2.15%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.03%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 20:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.41%EV -6.13%E -3.24%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -7.03%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.37%EV -7.14%E -2.24%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 20:49
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -6.62%E -3.52%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -7.03%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 20:53
Unibet (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.70%EV -12.58%E -7.15%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.51%EV -8.09%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 20:54
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.90%EV -6.62%E -3.52%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -8.51%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 20:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.07%EV -5.13%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.64%EV -8.51%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 20:49
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.61%EV -5.13%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -8.51%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 20:49
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -7.12%E -3.81%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.32%EV -8.51%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 20:49
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.55%EV -10.60%E -5.89%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -8.51%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-16 20:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.55%EV -10.60%E -5.89%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -8.51%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-16 20:49
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.35%EV -3.15%E -1.61%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.18%EV -10.20%E -2.40%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 20:54
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.81%EV -6.62%E -3.52%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -10.20%E -2.40%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-16 20:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.80%EV -11.09%E -6.20%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.97%EV -10.20%E -2.40%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%EV -10.93%E -3.58%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-16 20:54
PlayUp🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.16%EV -4.64%E -2.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -11.26%E -2.68%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 20:54
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -6.62%E -3.52%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -11.26%E -2.68%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 13:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.67%EV -8.61%E -4.68%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -11.26%E -2.68%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 20:54
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -9.11%E -4.98%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -11.26%E -2.68%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 13:35
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -10.60%E -5.89%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -11.26%E -2.68%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 20:44
NetBet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.72%EV -12.09%E -6.83%K -15.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.95%EV -11.26%E -2.68%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-16 20:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.83%EV -8.11%E -4.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -13.37%E -3.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-16 13:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.51%EV -10.60%E -5.89%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -13.37%E -3.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-16 20:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.25%EV -8.61%E -4.68%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.65%EV -13.37%E -3.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.10%EV -13.85%E -4.70%K -7.10%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-16 20:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.25%EV -8.61%E -4.68%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.65%EV -13.37%E -3.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.10%EV -13.85%E -4.70%K -7.10%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-16 20:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.27%EV -9.60%E -5.28%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.43%EV -13.37%E -3.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.30%EV -15.31%E -5.28%K -8.06%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-16 20:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.27%0.5%2026-08-16 20:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.78%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14%0.9%2026-08-16 20:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.78%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14%0.9%2026-08-16 20:55
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.76%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-08-16 20:50
Smarkets◎1.98I 50.51%NM 49.91%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.03%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-08-16 20:50