Language:English
Platense v Talleres
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Platense (Local)
Prediction 36.17%2.76fair odd
EV +1.64%
Edge +0.583%
Kelly +0.906%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 2.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.48%36.19%36.27%38.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.572.582.8142.55%38.86%38.83%35.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Talleres (Visit)
Prediction 30.18%3.31fair odd
EV +2.92%
Edge +0.855%
Kelly +1.21%
Growth +0.035%
assuming max odds 3.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.15%30.24%30.06%31.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.063.053.4134.48%32.65%32.79%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 33.65%2.97fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -0.834%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.15%33.57%33.67%35.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.772.772.9038.46%36.16%36.04%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Platense (Local): 36.17%; Talleres (Visit): 30.18%; Draw: 33.65%. For Talleres (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.31. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.41, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.92%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.94%EV -8.49%E -3.36%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.15%EV +2.92%E +0.855%K +1.21%G +0.035% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.92%EV -4.77%E -1.69%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-03 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.95%EV -2.70%E -1.00%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.76%EV -1.91%E -0.588%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.29%EV -5.11%E -1.81%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-03 21:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.95%EV -2.70%E -1.00%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.76%EV -1.91%E -0.588%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.29%EV -5.11%E -1.81%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.48%EV +1.64%E +0.583%K +0.906%G +0.015% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.90%EV -2.21%E -0.683%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.62%EV -8.48%E -3.12%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-03 21:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.83%EV -2.34%E -0.867%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.86%EV -2.21%E -0.683%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.31%EV -5.11%E -1.81%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-03 21:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -5.96%E -2.29%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -3.42%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -7.47%E -2.72%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 16:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -7.77%E -3.05%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -3.42%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.78%E -2.07%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 16:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -7.77%E -3.05%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -3.42%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -7.47%E -2.72%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 16:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.65%EV -4.15%E -1.57%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -4.93%E -1.57%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.36%EV -7.47%E -2.72%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 21:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -5.96%E -2.29%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -4.93%E -1.57%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 21:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -5.96%E -2.29%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -6.44%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV -2.42%E -0.834%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 19:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.96%E -2.29%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -6.44%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -5.78%E -2.07%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 21:53 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -4.15%E -1.57%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -6.44%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-03 21:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.05%EV -15.00%E -6.38%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -6.44%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-03 21:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.60%EV -3.06%E -1.14%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -7.95%E -2.61%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.12%EV -3.09%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.60%EV -3.06%E -1.14%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -7.95%E -2.61%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.12%EV -3.09%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -4.15%E -1.57%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -7.95%E -2.61%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.78%E -2.07%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 21:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -4.15%E -1.57%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -7.95%E -2.61%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.78%E -2.07%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 21:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -11.38%E -4.65%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -7.95%E -2.61%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -7.47%E -2.72%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-03 16:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.14%EV -13.19%E -5.50%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -7.95%E -2.61%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -10.83%E -4.09%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-03 21:33 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -4.15%E -1.57%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -9.46%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -4.10%E -1.44%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 21:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.89%EV -5.23%E -2.00%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -9.46%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.76%EV -3.43%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 21:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -5.23%E -2.00%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -9.46%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -7.47%E -2.72%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-03 21:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.57%E -3.83%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.46%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -5.78%E -2.07%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-01 22:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.57%E -3.83%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.46%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -5.78%E -2.07%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-03 18:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.47%EV -7.77%E -3.05%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -9.46%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.39%EV -11.50%E -4.37%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-03 21:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.57%E -3.83%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -9.46%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -11.84%E -4.52%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-03 20:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -9.57%E -3.83%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.46%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -12.51%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-03 21:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -13.19%E -5.50%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -9.46%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-03 16:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -7.77%E -3.05%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.29%EV -10.06%E -3.38%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -2.42%E -0.834%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-03 21:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.96%E -2.29%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -10.97%E -3.72%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -4.10%E -1.44%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 21:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -7.77%E -3.05%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -10.97%E -3.72%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -5.78%E -2.07%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-03 10:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.60%EV -7.77%E -3.05%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -10.97%E -3.72%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-03 21:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -9.57%E -3.83%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -10.97%E -3.72%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -7.47%E -2.72%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-03 10:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.24%EV -12.47%E -5.15%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.03%EV -11.87%E -4.07%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.73%EV -12.51%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-03 16:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -5.96%E -2.29%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -12.48%E -4.30%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -5.78%E -2.07%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.63%EV -7.77%E -3.05%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -12.48%E -4.30%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -7.47%E -2.72%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-03 21:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -7.77%E -3.05%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -12.48%E -4.30%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-03 21:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.61% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.62% | 0.3% | 2026-08-03 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.61% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.62% | 0.3% | 2026-08-03 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.61% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.62% | 0.3% | 2026-08-03 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.45% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.22% | 1.5% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.97% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.07% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.96% | 3.0% | 2026-08-03 21:15 |
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