语言:简体中文
Platense v Talleres
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Platense (主队)
预测 36.17%2.76公平赔率
EV +1.64%
优势 +0.583%
Kelly +0.906%
增长率 +0.015%
假设最高赔率为 2.81
博彩公司预测分布
34.48%36.19%36.27%38.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.352.572.582.8142.55%38.86%38.83%35.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
Talleres (客队)
预测 30.18%3.31公平赔率
EV +2.92%
优势 +0.855%
Kelly +1.21%
增长率 +0.035%
假设最高赔率为 3.41
博彩公司预测分布
28.15%30.24%30.06%31.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.063.053.4134.48%32.65%32.79%29.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 33.65%2.97公平赔率
EV -2.42%
优势 -0.834%
Kelly -1.27%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.90
博彩公司预测分布
32.15%33.57%33.67%35.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.602.772.772.9038.46%36.16%36.04%34.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Platense (主队)：36.17%；Talleres (客队)：30.18%；平局：33.65%。 对于“Talleres (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.31。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.41，对应+2.92%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (38 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.94%EV -8.49%E -3.36%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.15%EV +2.92%E +0.855%K +1.21%G +0.035% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.92%EV -4.77%E -1.69%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-03 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.95%EV -2.70%E -1.00%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.76%EV -1.91%E -0.588%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.29%EV -5.11%E -1.81%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-03 21:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.95%EV -2.70%E -1.00%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.76%EV -1.91%E -0.588%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.29%EV -5.11%E -1.81%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.48%EV +1.64%E +0.583%K +0.906%G +0.015% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.90%EV -2.21%E -0.683%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.62%EV -8.48%E -3.12%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-03 21:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.83%EV -2.34%E -0.867%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.86%EV -2.21%E -0.683%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.31%EV -5.11%E -1.81%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-03 21:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -5.96%E -2.29%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -3.42%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -7.47%E -2.72%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 16:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -7.77%E -3.05%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -3.42%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.78%E -2.07%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 16:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -7.77%E -3.05%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -3.42%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -7.47%E -2.72%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 16:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.65%EV -4.15%E -1.57%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -4.93%E -1.57%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.36%EV -7.47%E -2.72%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 21:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -5.96%E -2.29%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -4.93%E -1.57%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 21:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -5.96%E -2.29%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -6.44%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV -2.42%E -0.834%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 19:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.96%E -2.29%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -6.44%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -5.78%E -2.07%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 21:53 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -4.15%E -1.57%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -6.44%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-03 21:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.05%EV -15.00%E -6.38%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -6.44%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-03 21:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.60%EV -3.06%E -1.14%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -7.95%E -2.61%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.12%EV -3.09%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.60%EV -3.06%E -1.14%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -7.95%E -2.61%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.12%EV -3.09%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -4.15%E -1.57%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -7.95%E -2.61%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.78%E -2.07%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 21:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -4.15%E -1.57%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -7.95%E -2.61%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.78%E -2.07%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 21:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -11.38%E -4.65%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -7.95%E -2.61%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -7.47%E -2.72%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-03 16:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.14%EV -13.19%E -5.50%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -7.95%E -2.61%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -10.83%E -4.09%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-03 21:33 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -4.15%E -1.57%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -9.46%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -4.10%E -1.44%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 21:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.89%EV -5.23%E -2.00%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -9.46%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.76%EV -3.43%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 21:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -5.23%E -2.00%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -9.46%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -7.47%E -2.72%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-03 21:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.57%E -3.83%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.46%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -5.78%E -2.07%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-01 22:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.57%E -3.83%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.46%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -5.78%E -2.07%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-03 18:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.47%EV -7.77%E -3.05%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -9.46%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.39%EV -11.50%E -4.37%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-03 21:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.57%E -3.83%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -9.46%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -11.84%E -4.52%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-03 20:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -9.57%E -3.83%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.46%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -12.51%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-03 21:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -13.19%E -5.50%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -9.46%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-03 16:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -7.77%E -3.05%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.29%EV -10.06%E -3.38%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -2.42%E -0.834%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-03 21:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.96%E -2.29%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -10.97%E -3.72%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -4.10%E -1.44%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 21:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -7.77%E -3.05%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -10.97%E -3.72%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -5.78%E -2.07%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-03 10:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.60%EV -7.77%E -3.05%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -10.97%E -3.72%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-03 21:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -9.57%E -3.83%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -10.97%E -3.72%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -7.47%E -2.72%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-03 10:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.24%EV -12.47%E -5.15%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.03%EV -11.87%E -4.07%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.73%EV -12.51%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-03 16:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -5.96%E -2.29%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -12.48%E -4.30%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -5.78%E -2.07%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.63%EV -7.77%E -3.05%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -12.48%E -4.30%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -7.47%E -2.72%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-03 21:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -7.77%E -3.05%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -12.48%E -4.30%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-03 21:55 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.61% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.62% | 0.3% | 2026-08-03 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.61% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.62% | 0.3% | 2026-08-03 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.61% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.62% | 0.3% | 2026-08-03 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.45% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.22% | 1.5% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.97% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.07% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.96% | 3.0% | 2026-08-03 21:15 |