Idioma:Español
Platense v Talleres
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Platense (Local)
Predicción 36.17%2.76momio equitativo
EV +1.64%
Ventaja +0.583%
Kelly +0.906%
Crecimiento +0.015%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.81
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.48%36.19%36.27%38.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.352.572.582.8142.55%38.86%38.83%35.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Talleres (Visitante)
Predicción 30.18%3.31momio equitativo
EV +2.92%
Ventaja +0.855%
Kelly +1.21%
Crecimiento +0.035%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.41
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.15%30.24%30.06%31.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.063.053.4134.48%32.65%32.79%29.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 33.65%2.97momio equitativo
EV -2.42%
Ventaja -0.834%
Kelly -1.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.15%33.57%33.67%35.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.602.772.772.9038.46%36.16%36.04%34.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Platense (Local): 36.17%; Talleres (Visitante): 30.18%; Empate: 33.65%. Para Talleres (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.31. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.41, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.92%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.94%EV -8.49%E -3.36%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.15%EV +2.92%E +0.855%K +1.21%G +0.035% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.92%EV -4.77%E -1.69%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-03 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.95%EV -2.70%E -1.00%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.76%EV -1.91%E -0.588%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.29%EV -5.11%E -1.81%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-03 21:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.95%EV -2.70%E -1.00%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.76%EV -1.91%E -0.588%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.29%EV -5.11%E -1.81%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.48%EV +1.64%E +0.583%K +0.906%G +0.015% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.90%EV -2.21%E -0.683%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.62%EV -8.48%E -3.12%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-03 21:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.83%EV -2.34%E -0.867%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.86%EV -2.21%E -0.683%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.31%EV -5.11%E -1.81%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-03 21:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -5.96%E -2.29%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -3.42%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -7.47%E -2.72%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 16:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -7.77%E -3.05%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -3.42%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.78%E -2.07%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 16:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -7.77%E -3.05%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -3.42%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -7.47%E -2.72%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 16:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.65%EV -4.15%E -1.57%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -4.93%E -1.57%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.36%EV -7.47%E -2.72%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 21:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -5.96%E -2.29%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -4.93%E -1.57%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 21:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -5.96%E -2.29%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -6.44%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV -2.42%E -0.834%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 19:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.96%E -2.29%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -6.44%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -5.78%E -2.07%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 21:53 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -4.15%E -1.57%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -6.44%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-03 21:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.05%EV -15.00%E -6.38%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -6.44%E -2.08%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-03 21:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.60%EV -3.06%E -1.14%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -7.95%E -2.61%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.12%EV -3.09%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.60%EV -3.06%E -1.14%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -7.95%E -2.61%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.12%EV -3.09%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -4.15%E -1.57%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -7.95%E -2.61%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.78%E -2.07%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 21:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -4.15%E -1.57%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -7.95%E -2.61%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.78%E -2.07%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 21:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -11.38%E -4.65%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -7.95%E -2.61%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -7.47%E -2.72%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-03 16:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.14%EV -13.19%E -5.50%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -7.95%E -2.61%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -10.83%E -4.09%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-03 21:33 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -4.15%E -1.57%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -9.46%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -4.10%E -1.44%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 21:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.89%EV -5.23%E -2.00%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -9.46%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.76%EV -3.43%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 21:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -5.23%E -2.00%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -9.46%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -7.47%E -2.72%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-03 21:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.57%E -3.83%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.46%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -5.78%E -2.07%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-01 22:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.57%E -3.83%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.46%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -5.78%E -2.07%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-03 18:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.47%EV -7.77%E -3.05%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -9.46%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.39%EV -11.50%E -4.37%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-03 21:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.57%E -3.83%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -9.46%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -11.84%E -4.52%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-03 20:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -9.57%E -3.83%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.46%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -12.51%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-03 21:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -13.19%E -5.50%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -9.46%E -3.15%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-03 16:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -7.77%E -3.05%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.29%EV -10.06%E -3.38%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -2.42%E -0.834%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-03 21:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.96%E -2.29%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -10.97%E -3.72%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -4.10%E -1.44%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 21:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -7.77%E -3.05%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -10.97%E -3.72%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -5.78%E -2.07%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-03 10:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.60%EV -7.77%E -3.05%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -10.97%E -3.72%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-03 21:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -9.57%E -3.83%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -10.97%E -3.72%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -7.47%E -2.72%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-03 10:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.24%EV -12.47%E -5.15%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.03%EV -11.87%E -4.07%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.73%EV -12.51%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-03 16:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -5.96%E -2.29%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -12.48%E -4.30%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -5.78%E -2.07%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.63%EV -7.77%E -3.05%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -12.48%E -4.30%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -7.47%E -2.72%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-03 21:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -7.77%E -3.05%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -12.48%E -4.30%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-03 21:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.61% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.62% | 0.3% | 2026-08-03 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.61% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.62% | 0.3% | 2026-08-03 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.61% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.62% | 0.3% | 2026-08-03 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.45% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.22% | 1.5% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.97% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.07% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.96% | 3.0% | 2026-08-03 21:15 |